Other European Leagues · resolved market
Will SC Braga win on 2026-01-25?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd6a9b0c1a4a9e310dfa6d8f78045e429e205d809af0e50a4b4f061ac11c6e18b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $84,303
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $105,998
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $84,303 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 61 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x80cf…427dbacked Yes | 68c | 18,000$12,240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,760 | 194 | 45.9%89 W · 105 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe524…d34fbacked Yes | 69c | 12,510$8,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,909.76 | 102 | 46.1%47 W · 55 L | +3.6wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed No | 34c | 9,178$3,120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,120.36 | 660 | 47.6%314 W · 346 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 31c | 7,714$2,391 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,391.34 | 2,179 | 48%1,046 W · 1,133 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 25c | 2,632$655 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$654.81 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed No | 32c | 2,480$794 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$793.51 | 119 | 49.6%59 W · 60 L | +3.7wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Yes | 66c | 2,152$1,425 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$726.8 | 2,130 | 45.8%975 W · 1,155 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked No | 32c | 1,500$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480 | 473 | 25.4%120 W · 353 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 70c | 1,042$733 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$309.41 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe18a…fd87backed Yes | 65c | 999.98$650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$349.99 | 88 | 44.3%39 W · 49 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7fc7…969bbacked No | 33c | 999.98$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$329.99 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 27cpaid | +71.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b02…ae87backed Yes | 69c | 845.5$582 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$263.04 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | -2.3wins | -0.11per pick | 71cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked No | 3c | 554$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.48 | 133 | 30.1%40 W · 93 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Yes | 66c | 510$339 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.19 | 853 | 40.1%342 W · 511 L | -12.3wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5773…ac11backed Yes | 66c | 400$264 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136 | 145 | 42.8%62 W · 83 L | -4.8wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc0c…218abacked Yes | 66c | 378.79$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.79 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.20per pick | 70cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb891…969bbacked No | 35c | 200$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 210 | 44.8%94 W · 116 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a8d…31eabacked Yes | 69c | 172.45$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.46 | 366 | 47.3%173 W · 193 L | -9.8wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a09…76e9backed No | 31c | 161.29$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 12 | 0%0 W · 12 L | -3.2wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xdf39…0e83backed Yes | 66c | 151.52$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.52 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb3db…30f1backed Yes | 67c | 149.25$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.25 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.19per pick | 69cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7146…cc73backed Yes | 67c | 149.25$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.25 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -2.3wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | -24%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd5aa…54c1backed Yes | 68c | 147.06$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.06 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -51%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec15…86abbacked Yes | 70c | 142.86$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.86 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa55f…ce65backed Yes | 67c | 107$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.31 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb71…4371backed Yes | 66c | 100$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34 | 25 | 68%17 W · 8 L | +2.3wins | +0.09per pick | 59cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x11cb…b931backed Yes | 68c | 100$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +45%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc3…861abacked Yes | 66c | 100$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.19per pick | 56cpaid | +21.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xac98…7281backed No | 34c | 100$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 105 | 24.8%26 W · 79 L | -4.9wins | -0.05per pick | 29cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xadc5…e2afbacked No | 32c | 93.46$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.91 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd29b…b518backed Yes | 67c | 87.58$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.9 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c86…15c0backed Yes | 70c | 85.71$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.71 | 65 | 63.1%41 W · 24 L | +5.2wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbfcf…6c9bbacked Yes | 66c | 71.21$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.21 | 80 | 50%40 W · 40 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xafd4…4432backed Yes | 66c | 70$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.8 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.15per pick | 32cpaid | -74.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5cff…83c4backed Yes | 67c | 70$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.1 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd8b…63b2backed Yes | 66c | 63.64$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.64 | 27 | 74.1%20 W · 7 L | +1.7wins | +0.06per pick | 68cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6c8e…22c3backed No | 32c | 62.5$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e10…70f4backed Yes | 66c | 59.83$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.34 | 49 | 49%24 W · 25 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Yes | 66c | 59.43$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.21 | 1,143 | 53.2%608 W · 535 L | +44.9wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa4ba…c5d8backed No | 34c | 59$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.06 | 217 | 55.3%120 W · 97 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x45a5…4f2fbacked No | 33c | 50.52$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.67 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked No | 34c | 49.98$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.99 | 216 | 44.4%96 W · 120 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86c3…2020backed Yes | 66c | 45.45$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.45 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | -1.8wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x82af…f919backed Yes | 66c | 45.45$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.45 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -3.8wins | -0.21per pick | 60cpaid | -40.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8f…3782backed No | 34c | 44.12$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 93 | 25.8%24 W · 69 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26ae…97b8backed No | 34c | 43.98$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.95 | 151 | 62.3%94 W · 57 L | +7.9wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf60b…c18ebacked No | 34c | 41.99$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.28 | 96 | 39.6%38 W · 58 L | -4.5wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Yes | 69c | 40$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.6 | 938 | 45.4%426 W · 512 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72ee…a848backed Yes | 68c | 40$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.8 | 167 | 50.9%85 W · 82 L | -8.5wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x99a6…598cbacked Yes | 67c | 37.31$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.31 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +49.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7464…71cfbacked Yes | 66c | 36$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.18 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 70cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x97e0…8194backed Yes | 66c | 35.72$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.14 | 84 | 57.1%48 W · 36 L | +5.3wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x713d…15d0backed Yes | 68c | 28.84$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.26 | 19 | 73.7%14 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 69cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfee4…d386backed Yes | 66c | 28.59$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.72 | 143 | 60.8%87 W · 56 L | +6.3wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4712…5bd6backed Yes | 70c | 28.57$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.57 | 25 | 76%19 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 75cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa375…0374backed Yes | 66c | 27.5$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.35 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b7d…866bbacked Yes | 66c | 22.73$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.73 | 90 | 70%63 W · 27 L | +8.1wins | +0.09per pick | 61cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe367…12ecbacked Yes | 67c | 21.54$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.11 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +57.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7d2a…3daebacked Yes | 70c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcaad…b5a9backed Yes | 66c | 17$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.78 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | -3.1wins | -0.10per pick | 55cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x234c…0fa8backed Yes | 67c | 15$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.9 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +39.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will SC Braga win on 2026-01-25?this page
- Will FC Alverca win on 2026-01-25?No won
- Will SC Braga vs. FC Alverca end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.