Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Pepperdine Waves vs. Pacific Tigers
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf8e0819e0dfc2607d2e2ced19ab55b5916e89b1f2d711437cd65178893b856a1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Pacific Tigersof Pepperdine Waves, Pacific Tigers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $22,386
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $22,672
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $22,386 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 30 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Pacific Tigers | 80c | 5,779$4,611 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,167.88 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Pepperdine Waves | 11c | 2,404$273 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$272.97 | 318 | 37.7%120 W · 198 L | -10.1wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x28b9…9719backed Pepperdine Waves | 23c | 1,737$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 58 | 31%18 W · 40 L | -7.3wins | -0.13per pick | 44cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Pepperdine Waves | 10c | 1,727$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.94 | 2,555 | 41.6%1,062 W · 1,493 L | -15.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f08…ed44backed Pepperdine Waves | 22c | 1,545$345 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$344.95 | 464 | 46.8%217 W · 247 L | +6.4wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Pepperdine Waves | 13c | 1,109$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.97 | 1,951 | 45.1%880 W · 1,071 L | -19.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f49…1befbacked Pepperdine Waves | 9c | 1,081$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.78 | 57 | 14%8 W · 49 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 14cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…6749backed Pepperdine Waves | 22c | 1,037$227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$226.54 | 497 | 47.5%236 W · 261 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…2abfbacked Pepperdine Waves | 13c | 977$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.01 | 529 | 28.4%150 W · 379 L | -9.2wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa00f…8e56backed Pepperdine Waves | 16c | 558.12$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.71 | 735 | 49.1%361 W · 374 L | -14.6wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Pacific Tigers | 78c | 368.08$288 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.45 | 3,905 | 58.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L | +165.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2767…886abacked Pepperdine Waves | 6c | 333.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 12cpaid | -64.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Pepperdine Waves | 8c | 326.45$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.12 | 1,531 | 50.1%767 W · 764 L | +34.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed Pepperdine Waves | 14c | 318.57$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.43 | 2,003 | 53.7%1,076 W · 927 L | +101.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xec6c…23c7backed Pepperdine Waves | 13c | 299.18$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.72 | 383 | 43.6%167 W · 216 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Pepperdine Waves | 15c | 295.65$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.08 | 2,124 | 50.4%1,070 W · 1,054 L | +40.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1607…79bebacked Pepperdine Waves | 18c | 280$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.4 | 35 | 20%7 W · 28 L | +2.9wins | +0.08per pick | 12cpaid | +43%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xea81…eeaebacked Pepperdine Waves | 13c | 243$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.79 | 1,227 | 27.8%341 W · 886 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9bdb…a90dbacked Pepperdine Waves | 27c | 213.67$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.69 | 149 | 25.5%38 W · 111 L | -4.8wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Pepperdine Waves | 8c | 207$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.56 | 3,684 | 42.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L | +32.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0627…4301backed Pepperdine Waves | 9c | 204.09$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.8 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed Pepperdine Waves | 16c | 112.72$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.09 | 456 | 44.5%203 W · 253 L | -16.8wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x934f…f3b8backed Pepperdine Waves | 29c | 97.8$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.7 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.18per pick | 61cpaid | -41.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5db0…73f1backed Pepperdine Waves | 20c | 97.62$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +2.1wins | +0.19per pick | 45cpaid | +35.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb68a…f229backed Pepperdine Waves | 17c | 88.24$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.18per pick | 32cpaid | -77%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf37c…3c74backed Pepperdine Waves | 22c | 70.91$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.6 | 218 | 30.7%67 W · 151 L | -10.6wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x64aa…e774backed Pepperdine Waves | 28c | 70.34$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x418b…a741backed Pacific Tigers | 75c | 66.67$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.67 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.10per pick | 78cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf9ef…20ebbacked Pacific Tigers | 79c | 30$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.18 | 459 | 53.8%247 W · 212 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb5f…4884backed Pacific Tigers | 78c | 19.81$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.36 | 43 | 60.5%26 W · 17 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 63cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.