South American Leagues · resolved market
Will CA Rosario Central win on 2026-05-19?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xba5ca5c9b76ca1dd2581c821cb055befa6fcc35d16ded1928c62c6909692bd41
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $47,941
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $51,252
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $47,941 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 40 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x81b0…ad6dbacked No | 5c | 7,484$374 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$374.2 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.37per pick | 13cpaid | +145.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed No | 18c | 6,852$1,208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,208.3 | 2,514 | 39%980 W · 1,534 L | -32.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed No | 17c | 3,150$536 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$535.5 | 436 | 18.8%82 W · 354 L | -4.6wins | -0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6871…e9dcbacked No | 19c | 1,004$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.72 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | +0.8wins | +0.07per pick | 20cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf37…993fbacked No | 13c | 964.42$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.27 | 99 | 25.3%25 W · 74 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed No | 16c | 953.56$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.06 | 422 | 50.2%212 W · 210 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13a1…d9bcbacked Yes | 80c | 900$716 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.28 | 181 | 60.2%109 W · 72 L | +8.9wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 17c | 884.66$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.86 | 1,366 | 52.4%716 W · 650 L | +51.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed No | 16c | 780.25$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.89 | 1,651 | 50.6%836 W · 815 L | -4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3b4e…12aebacked No | 4c | 578$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.39 | 73 | 28.8%21 W · 52 L | -5.5wins | -0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x23e4…e501backed No | 18c | 555.56$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99d7…6435backed No | 17c | 499.99$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfcab…e71dbacked No | 66c | 496$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$329.82 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x597a…a4e4backed Yes | 34c | 496$166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$329.82 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x564f…d93bbacked No | 14c | 434.14$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.2 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +20%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 18c | 345$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.74 | 2,335 | 51.5%1,202 W · 1,133 L | +2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 17c | 344.09$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 1,487 | 48.7%724 W · 763 L | -17.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40d7…47cbbacked No | 11c | 337.47$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.19 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -2.1wins | -0.14per pick | 40cpaid | -45.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe44c…32a5backed No | 9c | 333.33$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 8cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcaea…5795backed No | 15c | 333.33$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 42 | 28.6%12 W · 30 L | -6.8wins | -0.16per pick | 45cpaid | -50.4%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x6932…6878backed No | 16c | 299.97$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | +3.3wins | +0.11per pick | 31cpaid | +39.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7d7f…86d2backed No | 11c | 277.22$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.9 | 267 | 45.3%121 W · 146 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 19c | 259.65$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.68 | 1,362 | 44.9%611 W · 751 L | -22.0wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed No | 16c | 216$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.56 | 1,290 | 42.8%552 W · 738 L | -2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 17c | 205$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.74 | 1,444 | 56.4%815 W · 629 L | +51.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2a11…ef8ebacked No | 19c | 200.2$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.04 | 101 | 58.4%59 W · 42 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4e61…0e06backed No | 9c | 200$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 489 | 22.9%112 W · 377 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e7f…a844backed No | 15c | 169.28$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.49 | 132 | 48.5%64 W · 68 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21dd…0b83backed No | 17c | 147.53$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.08 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 23cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b59…9db6backed No | 17c | 121.66$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.6 | 152 | 47.4%72 W · 80 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd0fd…e954backed No | 17c | 105.88$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 25 | 32%8 W · 17 L | +1.7wins | +0.07per pick | 25cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0362…449ebacked No | 16c | 100$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 516 | 54.8%283 W · 233 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…caccbacked No | 15c | 99.98$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.86 | 375 | 40%150 W · 225 L | -16.6wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x76e9…b7dbbacked No | 16c | 91.31$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.61 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7468…3d24backed No | 17c | 73.76$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.54 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 26cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ccd…017cbacked Yes | 77c | 71.43$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.43 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.12per pick | 68cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfddc…931abacked Yes | 70c | 69$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.7 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +2.2wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +35.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd443…5f71backed No | 30c | 69$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.7 | 296 | 53%157 W · 139 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked No | 20c | 59.64$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.03 | 675 | 48%324 W · 351 L | -18.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x95ad…4eebbacked Yes | 78c | 42.05$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.25 | 107 | 67.3%72 W · 35 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 66cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will CA Rosario Central win on 2026-05-19?this page
- Will CA Rosario Central vs. Universidad Central de Venezuela FC end in a draw?No won
- Will Universidad Central de Venezuela FC win on 2026-05-19?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.