MLB · resolved market
Minnesota Twins vs. Washington Nationals
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x29b4afd721ece1bfc6936078c6390d3acfc79b32db019eed3eaecab17b13b14d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Minnesota Twinsof Minnesota Twins, Washington Nationals
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $241,589
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $277,057
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $241,589 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 232 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9495…9a27backed Washington Nationals | 48c | 33,309$15,992 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,991.57 | 2,293 | 48.1%1,103 W · 1,190 L | -24.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1467…4372backed Minnesota Twins | 52c | 32,727$17,018 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,708.79 | 130 | 45.4%59 W · 71 L | -5.0wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -11%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1ef5…dc05backed Washington Nationals | 42c | 26,561$11,179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,178.51 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Minnesota Twins | 64c | 16,265$10,467 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,798.84 | 11,357 | 52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L | +209.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6498…8910backed Washington Nationals | 63c | 15,000$9,426 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,425.73 | 517 | 56.5%292 W · 225 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Minnesota Twins | 51c | 14,313$7,319 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,993.39 | 1,660 | 50.1%832 W · 828 L | -22.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xabb8…bba3backed Washington Nationals | 49c | 12,245$6,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,000 | 981 | 49.9%490 W · 491 L | -17.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed Minnesota Twins | 51c | 11,999$6,120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,879.74 | 604 | 51%308 W · 296 L | -2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Minnesota Twins | 70c | 10,050$7,032 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,017.22 | 1,381 | 48.1%664 W · 717 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3df…82fabacked Minnesota Twins | 59c | 6,666$3,906 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,759.84 | 488 | 50.2%245 W · 243 L | +5.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7760…21f0backed Washington Nationals | 51c | 6,210$3,161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,160.63 | 2,369 | 47.4%1,122 W · 1,247 L | -11.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Washington Nationals | 48c | 4,613$2,214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,214.3 | 5,401 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbf11…c679backed Washington Nationals | 49c | 3,673$1,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,800 | 289 | 44.3%128 W · 161 L | -12.8wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Minnesota Twins | 57c | 3,461$1,961 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,500.13 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b90…2194backed Minnesota Twins | 52c | 3,000$1,560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,440 | 51 | 49%25 W · 26 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a6c…236dbacked Washington Nationals | 49c | 3,000$1,470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,470 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | -4.9wins | -0.25per pick | 55cpaid | -46.9%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x4379…2e16backed Washington Nationals | 48c | 3,000$1,440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,439.99 | 779 | 51.1%398 W · 381 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Minnesota Twins | 51c | 3,000$1,530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,469.99 | 1,063 | 48.2%512 W · 551 L | -11.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe3ad…45f9backed Minnesota Twins | 49c | 2,650$1,299 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,351.5 | 117 | 41.9%49 W · 68 L | -8.9wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -14%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x78c5…fb0fbacked Minnesota Twins | 52c | 1,924$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$923.34 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -2.0wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x09af…9728backed Minnesota Twins | 52c | 1,765$918 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$847.05 | 891 | 53.5%477 W · 414 L | +24.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb07e…0df5backed Washington Nationals | 4c | 1,721$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.24 | 997 | 44.1%440 W · 557 L | -38.0wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Washington Nationals | 51c | 1,713$866 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$865.56 | 2,407 | 48.5%1,167 W · 1,240 L | -62.3wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4d6f…be20backed Washington Nationals | 40c | 1,543$622 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$621.98 | 234 | 54.7%128 W · 106 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58b9…ee8bbacked Washington Nationals | 49c | 1,500$735 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$735 | 752 | 48.8%367 W · 385 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Minnesota Twins | 54c | 1,377$737 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$640.14 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x202f…7b58backed Minnesota Twins | 47c | 1,212$570 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$642.43 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.8wins | +0.15per pick | 43cpaid | +38.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa1a9…e22ebacked Washington Nationals | 51c | 1,135$579 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$579.29 | 373 | 48.3%180 W · 193 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Minnesota Twins | 61c | 1,034$627 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$407.19 | 1,456 | 42.7%622 W · 834 L | -39.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Minnesota Twins | 51c | 1,020$517 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$502.81 | 3,453 | 51.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L | +58.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x695d…60d5backed Minnesota Twins | 51c | 1,020$520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$499.8 | 31 | 67.7%21 W · 10 L | +5.6wins | +0.18per pick | 50cpaid | +33.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xba8d…009dbacked Washington Nationals | 24c | 1,003$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$239.61 | 98 | 37.8%37 W · 61 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +29.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x40ff…9d91backed Washington Nationals | 16c | 960.5$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 204 | 43.1%88 W · 116 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Washington Nationals | 43c | 949$408 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$408.07 | 1,723 | 50.3%867 W · 856 L | +55.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1831…6c99backed Minnesota Twins | 80c | 926$737 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189.36 | 475 | 89.1%423 W · 52 L | +84.9wins | +0.18per pick | 71cpaid | +25%equal weight | 69+0.17 edge/pick |
| 0xd96a…d8cebacked Washington Nationals | 3c | 723.2$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.63 | 335 | 15.5%52 W · 283 L | -12.7wins | -0.04per pick | 19cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x519d…37a1backed Washington Nationals | 1c | 714.08$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.04 | 585 | 2.1%12 W · 573 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | -45.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x18a4…3a31backed Minnesota Twins | 57c | 575.71$329 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$246.85 | 2,147 | 50.2%1,078 W · 1,069 L | +27.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8aa6…83f9backed Minnesota Twins | 52c | 500$259 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240.64 | 192 | 48.4%93 W · 99 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked Washington Nationals | 49c | 479.99$233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$232.8 | 1,769 | 51.6%912 W · 857 L | +16.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Minnesota Twins | 50c | 463.48$232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$231.74 | 1,515 | 51.1%774 W · 741 L | +7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Minnesota Twins | 51c | 454.05$232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$222.49 | 1,010 | 48.1%486 W · 524 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09ee…90a4backed Washington Nationals | 49c | 432$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$211.68 | 1,569 | 51.1%801 W · 768 L | +15.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0f4…6fa9backed Minnesota Twins | 67c | 403.3$269 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.66 | 1,777 | 58.4%1,037 W · 740 L | +91.8wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…caccbacked Washington Nationals | 32c | 395.05$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.7 | 1,141 | 42.9%490 W · 651 L | -37.4wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Washington Nationals | 18c | 386.87$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.88 | 873 | 52.7%460 W · 413 L | +9.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc23…8283backed Minnesota Twins | 52c | 384.62$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.62 | 431 | 53.6%231 W · 200 L | +10.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Washington Nationals | 49c | 379.07$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.73 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d28…6d7abacked Minnesota Twins | 49c | 360$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.6 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.9wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Washington Nationals | 49c | 350$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.5 | 3,291 | 46.2%1,521 W · 1,770 L | +20.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Minnesota Twins | 59c | 345.42$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.29 | 1,499 | 58.9%883 W · 616 L | +75.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x72f3…d396backed Washington Nationals | 49c | 336.73$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165 | 506 | 47%238 W · 268 L | -21.3wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Minnesota Twins | 50c | 322.49$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.25 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b5…c8f8backed Washington Nationals | 49c | 306.12$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 1,708 | 49.9%852 W · 856 L | -17.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6676…22f3backed Washington Nationals | 49c | 306.12$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 529 | 47.4%251 W · 278 L | -24.8wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7d7f…86d2backed Washington Nationals | 61c | 300$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183 | 503 | 37.2%187 W · 316 L | -42.3wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9b97…6084backed Washington Nationals | 50c | 300$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 591 | 50.3%297 W · 294 L | +9.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd17a…0373backed Minnesota Twins | 49c | 300$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153 | 770 | 50.5%389 W · 381 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbca…ca8dbacked Washington Nationals | 51c | 294.12$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 432 | 47%203 W · 229 L | -19.2wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x32bf…ec60backed Minnesota Twins | 37c | 270.27$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.27 | 141 | 34%48 W · 93 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x83a3…6292backed Washington Nationals | 53c | 264.15$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 665 | 51.1%340 W · 325 L | -17.0wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x783b…dc4cbacked Washington Nationals | 23c | 250$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.58 | 609 | 41.4%252 W · 357 L | -22.4wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4cf4…ed22backed Washington Nationals | 22c | 246.87$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.11 | 61 | 29.5%18 W · 43 L | -7.2wins | -0.12per pick | 41cpaid | -41.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd991…faeabacked Washington Nationals | 49c | 244.9$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 404 | 49.3%199 W · 205 L | -13.7wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc468…530fbacked Minnesota Twins | 74c | 240$179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.48 | 332 | 74.1%246 W · 86 L | +28.8wins | +0.09per pick | 65cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2ce1…a25dbacked Washington Nationals | 14c | 240$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.6 | 61 | 52.5%32 W · 29 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f8d…a92abacked Minnesota Twins | 52c | 240$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.2 | 237 | 54%128 W · 109 L | +8.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1df2…89a0backed Minnesota Twins | 78c | 235.98$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.96 | 1,113 | 49%545 W · 568 L | +22.1wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -11%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea6e…7c46backed Washington Nationals | 49c | 214.29$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 674 | 49.4%333 W · 341 L | -28.0wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6597…b746backed Minnesota Twins | 52c | 213.23$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.35 | 253 | 51.8%131 W · 122 L | +5.7wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a0a…75acbacked Washington Nationals | 49c | 208.16$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 465 | 46%214 W · 251 L | -17.8wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5d…54dbbacked Minnesota Twins | 63c | 203.46$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.96 | 115 | 35.7%41 W · 74 L | -12.8wins | -0.11per pick | 47cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xad88…3c1ebacked Washington Nationals | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 483 | 54.7%264 W · 219 L | +20.8wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4706…286ebacked Washington Nationals | 51c | 200$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101 | 354 | 46%163 W · 191 L | -9.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e7…bf64backed Washington Nationals | 49c | 200$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 707 | 44.7%316 W · 391 L | -22.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x50c3…ace1backed Washington Nationals | 49c | 200$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 866 | 53%459 W · 407 L | +16.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3354…5042backed Washington Nationals | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 203 | 50.2%102 W · 101 L | -8.8wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x03ba…bebabacked Washington Nationals | 35c | 199.86$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.19 | 825 | 51.6%426 W · 399 L | +3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5628…abbcbacked Minnesota Twins | 53c | 199.72$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.33 | 1,435 | 50%717 W · 718 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc546…058ebacked Minnesota Twins | 44c | 195.6$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.04 | 5,127 | 54.7%2,805 W · 2,322 L | +232.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8351…9bebbacked Minnesota Twins | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.31 | 652 | 48.3%315 W · 337 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc911…3dc5backed Washington Nationals | 51c | 184$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.84 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.20per pick | 53cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2ea0…865dbacked Washington Nationals | 51c | 182.35$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93 | 169 | 52.1%88 W · 81 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x812b…c16bbacked Washington Nationals | 51c | 181$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.31 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.5wins | +0.14per pick | 50cpaid | +23.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x54ea…f74abacked Minnesota Twins | 41c | 173.17$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.17 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f4e…1fb8backed Washington Nationals | 28c | 171.93$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.51 | 3,792 | 45.8%1,738 W · 2,054 L | -5.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b31…f4cfbacked Washington Nationals | 51c | 167$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.17 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.12per pick | 51cpaid | +25.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec3e…11c0backed Washington Nationals | 15c | 166$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.9 | 96 | 41.7%40 W · 56 L | -8.0wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x049a…6185backed Washington Nationals | 69c | 157.1$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.4 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0df7…1ec1backed Minnesota Twins | 73c | 155$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.94 | 440 | 58.9%259 W · 181 L | +29.0wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Washington Nationals | 49c | 150$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.5 | 2,261 | 45.4%1,026 W · 1,235 L | +57.4wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9f98…753ebacked Washington Nationals | 51c | 148$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.48 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.8wins | +0.18per pick | 52cpaid | +35.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Washington Nationals | 33c | 139.19$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.37 | 8,470 | 52.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L | +510.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2b15…fa73backed Minnesota Twins | 60c | 138.45$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.93 | 338 | 64.2%217 W · 121 L | +23.1wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd490…8d59backed Washington Nationals | 49c | 134.69$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 289 | 44.3%128 W · 161 L | -12.8wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0ab5…ef2ebacked Washington Nationals | 51c | 128$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.28 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -3.2wins | -0.30per pick | 48cpaid | -63.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4259…77c1backed Minnesota Twins | 55c | 127.73$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.48 | 2,243 | 57.6%1,293 W · 950 L | +37.1wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed Washington Nationals | 51c | 125$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.13 | 1,001 | 48.3%483 W · 518 L | -15.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2201…b675backed Washington Nationals | 49c | 122.45$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 245 | 44.1%108 W · 137 L | -11.8wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb81e…8ab9backed Washington Nationals | 49c | 121$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.29 | 478 | 48.5%232 W · 246 L | -15.3wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Minnesota Twins vs. Washington Nationalsthis page
- Minnesota Twins vs. Washington Nationals: O/U 12.5Over won
- Minnesota Twins vs. Washington Nationals: O/U 14.5Under won
- Minnesota Twins vs. Washington Nationals: O/U 8.5Over won
- Minnesota Twins vs. Washington Nationals: O/U 9.5Over won
- Spread: Minnesota Twins (-1.5)Minnesota Twins won
- Spread: Washington Nationals (-1.5)Minnesota Twins won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Minnesota Twins vs. Washington NationalsYes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.