CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: illwill vs Nuclear TigeRES (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Playoffs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x925615dd833ccc0a5b028bb3ca9fbcdc2a80deffd4cf4d3403498854dabb0bee
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- illwillof illwill, Nuclear TigeRES
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $53,053
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $54,398
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $53,053 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 136 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2606…ba10backed Nuclear TigeRES | 48c | 12,374$5,913 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,913.37 | 39 | 56.4%22 W · 17 L | -1.8wins | -0.05per pick | 61cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked illwill | 44c | 9,561$4,230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,331.45 | 3,256 | 50.3%1,637 W · 1,619 L | +97.8wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6551…e043backed Nuclear TigeRES | 48c | 7,000$3,360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,359.96 | 31 | 58.1%18 W · 13 L | +2.8wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3a95…343bbacked illwill | 52c | 6,493$3,376 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,116.59 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked illwill | 53c | 5,714$3,029 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,684.51 | 7,892 | 50.5%3,983 W · 3,909 L | +182.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4b59…3aa6backed Nuclear TigeRES | 48c | 4,000$1,920 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,919.99 | 846 | 58.4%494 W · 352 L | +60.7wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed illwill | 45c | 1,263$571 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$692.1 | 6,466 | 42.9%2,777 W · 3,689 L | -78.0wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd8b6…c7dbbacked Nuclear TigeRES | 51c | 1,100$560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$559.94 | 362 | 53.3%193 W · 169 L | +6.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed illwill | 54c | 1,075$577 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$497.5 | 4,220 | 49.2%2,078 W · 2,142 L | +61.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36d8…c7c7backed illwill | 52c | 965.27$499 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$466.19 | 576 | 41.5%239 W · 337 L | -8.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7140…47e3backed illwill | 52c | 933.85$486 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$448.25 | 106 | 51.9%55 W · 51 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf3b…0375backed illwill | 52c | 768.87$399 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$369.38 | 391 | 45.8%179 W · 212 L | -7.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf6ee…0e41backed illwill | 50c | 731.99$366 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$366 | 1,037 | 39.8%413 W · 624 L | +20.4wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d42…f124backed Nuclear TigeRES | 48c | 718.5$348 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$348.09 | 176 | 44.9%79 W · 97 L | +9.4wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xab6a…3319backed illwill | 55c | 710.33$389 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$321.18 | 58 | 58.6%34 W · 24 L | +2.7wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Nuclear TigeRES | 44c | 677.86$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300.15 | 4,038 | 48.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5674…8b14backed illwill | 42c | 643.95$271 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$372.65 | 367 | 42.8%157 W · 210 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc49f…9e05backed Nuclear TigeRES | 48c | 626.2$301 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300.58 | 351 | 53.8%189 W · 162 L | +12.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9fca…e8edbacked illwill | 52c | 622.9$323 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$299.79 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -33.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2529…548abacked illwill | 47c | 577.02$273 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$303.65 | 3,217 | 51.3%1,649 W · 1,568 L | +89.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x058e…a2acbacked illwill | 51c | 565.6$291 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$274.33 | 48 | 37.5%18 W · 30 L | -7.9wins | -0.17per pick | 54cpaid | -33%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x8ddc…9c0fbacked illwill | 54c | 503.89$272 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$232.37 | 290 | 44.8%130 W · 160 L | -7.2wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc98…5308backed illwill | 52c | 442.8$229 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$213.66 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.8wins | -0.16per pick | 52cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x906f…2877backed Nuclear TigeRES | 50c | 434.49$217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216.88 | 645 | 54.4%351 W · 294 L | +25.9wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa16b…b541backed Nuclear TigeRES | 44c | 420.02$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.73 | 430 | 55.1%237 W · 193 L | +13.9wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8e8c…65ddbacked Nuclear TigeRES | 44c | 419.63$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.64 | 844 | 54.3%458 W · 386 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9902…34b3backed illwill | 50c | 419.09$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$209.49 | 38 | 28.9%11 W · 27 L | -1.8wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -42.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed Nuclear TigeRES | 50c | 375.95$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.35 | 5,810 | 37.8%2,196 W · 3,614 L | +78.9wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d62…5409backed illwill | 52c | 373.54$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.3 | 485 | 62.7%304 W · 181 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa0f…574cbacked illwill | 52c | 373.54$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.3 | 22 | 63.6%14 W · 8 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked illwill | 52c | 353.02$182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.7 | 5,474 | 46.9%2,565 W · 2,909 L | +38.6wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8bec…7800backed illwill | 51c | 341.03$173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.41 | 331 | 48.3%160 W · 171 L | +6.7wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd3d1…f540backed Nuclear TigeRES | 49c | 323.09$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.32 | 178 | 49.4%88 W · 90 L | +5.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b85…bf37backed illwill | 51c | 304.08$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.06 | 198 | 50.5%100 W · 98 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3996…1b4fbacked Nuclear TigeRES | 49c | 299.99$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147 | 37 | 51.4%19 W · 18 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d78…b8b9backed Nuclear TigeRES | 49c | 298.44$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.38 | 164 | 50.6%83 W · 81 L | +6.0wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x30db…44e1backed illwill | 52c | 295.62$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.9 | 45 | 55.6%25 W · 20 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d29…c9eebacked illwill | 56c | 289.55$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.96 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd9a5…c602backed illwill | 47c | 277.76$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.44 | 332 | 37%123 W · 209 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf42a…7ef9backed illwill | 50c | 259.89$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.91 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +67.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ec3…34a7backed illwill | 53c | 259.78$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.5 | 1,109 | 50.5%560 W · 549 L | -3.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdf66…e823backed Nuclear TigeRES | 43c | 220$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.6 | 179 | 41.3%74 W · 105 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e1…49ddbacked illwill | 42c | 218.04$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.54 | 1,398 | 48.4%676 W · 722 L | +11.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2baf…8023backed Nuclear TigeRES | 46c | 210$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.64 | 45 | 55.6%25 W · 20 L | +2.7wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5de7…5417backed illwill | 52c | 201.03$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.51 | 1,146 | 43.5%499 W · 647 L | -17.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x00b7…5b93backed Nuclear TigeRES | 50c | 195.36$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.87 | 196 | 53.1%104 W · 92 L | +5.4wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2409…215ebacked illwill | 53c | 192$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.98 | 127 | 46.5%59 W · 68 L | -11.0wins | -0.09per pick | 55cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed illwill | 68c | 191.13$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.26 | 4,040 | 50.9%2,057 W · 1,983 L | +71.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5625…6c2abacked illwill | 52c | 186.77$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.65 | 361 | 51.8%187 W · 174 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…316cbacked illwill | 51c | 174.71$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.61 | 543 | 48.6%264 W · 279 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb59…fb90backed Nuclear TigeRES | 55c | 167.36$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.05 | 50 | 48%24 W · 26 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x24ca…5829backed Nuclear TigeRES | 50c | 164.03$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.02 | 333 | 52.6%175 W · 158 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d28…6d7abacked illwill | 52c | 161.08$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.32 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -3.1wins | -0.17per pick | 45cpaid | -38.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1769…94efbacked illwill | 50c | 150$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75 | 916 | 48.9%448 W · 468 L | +4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x87ed…b497backed illwill | 51c | 150$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74 | 183 | 52.5%96 W · 87 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x37d7…f131backed illwill | 55c | 141.59$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.47 | 334 | 51.5%172 W · 162 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb3e…9120backed illwill | 51c | 135.12$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.21 | 146 | 41.1%60 W · 86 L | -5.6wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x49ec…ac1cbacked illwill | 53c | 132.9$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.13 | 95 | 38.9%37 W · 58 L | -5.2wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x62a1…d53ebacked Nuclear TigeRES | 44c | 115.93$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.23 | 179 | 30.2%54 W · 125 L | -10.8wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -21%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0ac5…f963backed illwill | 52c | 115.37$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.38 | 510 | 55.9%285 W · 225 L | +19.4wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd208…cbcdbacked illwill | 52c | 112.06$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.79 | 34 | 61.8%21 W · 13 L | +2.3wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +25%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xef5c…6ababacked illwill | 53c | 110.72$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.43 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +1.2wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x73a2…3b68backed illwill | 52c | 110.64$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.06 | 956 | 49.7%475 W · 481 L | -18.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16fd…b4d3backed illwill | 29c | 103.01$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.86 | 298 | 40.3%120 W · 178 L | -9.3wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xced8…221ebacked Nuclear TigeRES | 47c | 100$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 700 | 38.9%272 W · 428 L | -29.5wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked illwill | 46c | 100$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54 | 2,603 | 52.6%1,370 W · 1,233 L | +97.5wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeaff…5f75backed Nuclear TigeRES | 57c | 99.96$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.86 | 52 | 23.1%12 W · 40 L | -9.3wins | -0.18per pick | 41cpaid | -52.3%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x1eb3…6bfebacked illwill | 50c | 99$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.5 | 75 | 40%30 W · 45 L | -6.0wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa74a…4893backed illwill | 46c | 98.82$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.13 | 1,216 | 40.1%488 W · 728 L | -65.0wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6722…865fbacked Nuclear TigeRES | 49c | 98$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.48 | 277 | 54.9%152 W · 125 L | +7.5wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x04b7…7491backed Nuclear TigeRES | 48c | 97$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.56 | 117 | 56.4%66 W · 51 L | +7.7wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8726…0f36backed Nuclear TigeRES | 48c | 95.99$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.08 | 738 | 54.5%402 W · 336 L | +14.4wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2273…7e01backed illwill | 49c | 93.76$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.13 | 45 | 55.6%25 W · 20 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4177…a2b4backed illwill | 31c | 93.66$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.9 | 1,248 | 41.3%516 W · 732 L | +5.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x08a6…a40abacked illwill | 52c | 93.58$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.02 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x523e…3128backed illwill | 52c | 93.42$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.86 | 155 | 44.5%69 W · 86 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c1c…dd59backed illwill | 52c | 93.38$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.82 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +2.4wins | +0.22per pick | 41cpaid | +25.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3e6d…2671backed Nuclear TigeRES | 51c | 92.85$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.92 | 762 | 48.4%369 W · 393 L | +13.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd12…9debbacked illwill | 53c | 92.76$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.84 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +1.5wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +25%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdde2…743dbacked illwill | 53c | 92.37$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.79 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +90.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf13d…6b6ebacked illwill | 54c | 91.59$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.98 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 59cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2528…b77dbacked illwill | 57c | 87.71$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.4 | 388 | 58.2%226 W · 162 L | -5.0wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3f6…bab8backed illwill | 57c | 85.95$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.25 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked illwill | 60c | 85.91$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.05 | 2,326 | 55.7%1,296 W · 1,030 L | +44.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c4c…dc70backed Nuclear TigeRES | 44c | 85.65$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.69 | 116 | 51.7%60 W · 56 L | +4.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1110…4f1dbacked Nuclear TigeRES | 69c | 81.31$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.11 | 11 | 81.8%9 W · 2 L | +1.8wins | +0.16per pick | 66cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8670…b34bbacked illwill | 50c | 78.15$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.08 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | +2.2wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2077…8161backed illwill | 58c | 77.31$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.47 | 107 | 57%61 W · 46 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfcb6…ef3abacked illwill | 49c | 75.97$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.74 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadb9…ef55backed illwill | 52c | 74.71$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.86 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +1.5wins | +0.11per pick | 61cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x07b9…3efebacked illwill | 67c | 73.15$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.14 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x267b…5081backed Nuclear TigeRES | 18c | 67.4$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.27 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.18per pick | 43cpaid | -65.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaee4…471fbacked Nuclear TigeRES | 48c | 66.38$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.84 | 357 | 52.9%189 W · 168 L | +22.6wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7b28…ff4fbacked Nuclear TigeRES | 33c | 63.95$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.21 | 1,318 | 51.7%682 W · 636 L | +28.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa427…f87fbacked Nuclear TigeRES | 48c | 63.37$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.42 | 37 | 32.4%12 W · 25 L | -4.2wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf4e0…cf2dbacked Nuclear TigeRES | 51c | 63.09$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.18 | 48 | 52.1%25 W · 23 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe2df…2368backed illwill | 32c | 59.35$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.36 | 117 | 50.4%59 W · 58 L | -5.1wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7344…98f6backed illwill | 33c | 58.17$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.97 | 180 | 43.3%78 W · 102 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09ad…1e6dbacked illwill | 52c | 57.09$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.4 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb1cc…1958backed illwill | 53c | 55.36$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.21 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.3wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | +13%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: illwill vs Nuclear TigeRES (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Playoffsthis page
- Counter-Strike: illwill vs Nuclear TigeRES - Map 1 WinnerNuclear TigeRES won
- Counter-Strike: illwill vs Nuclear TigeRES - Map 2 Winnerillwill won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.