CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: illwill vs Nuclear TigeRES - Map 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x997dce31aff66cf0bfac4c77f988327176c35f8f5596ee518e32006b68ba957d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- illwillof illwill, Nuclear TigeRES
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $13,583
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $16,929
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $13,583 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 37 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Nuclear TigeRES | 52c | 1,521$795 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$795.15 | 3,257 | 50.3%1,638 W · 1,619 L | +98.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x60b6…eb2bbacked illwill | 48c | 1,147$550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$596.6 | 264 | 38.6%102 W · 162 L | -5.5wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x53a5…fc83backed Nuclear TigeRES | 39c | 999.99$390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$389.99 | 53 | 47.2%25 W · 28 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa2e9…a86ebacked illwill | 67c | 590.41$394 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196.44 | 193 | 55.4%107 W · 86 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5501…fe9abacked illwill | 35c | 549.81$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$357.62 | 187 | 36.9%69 W · 118 L | -6.9wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed Nuclear TigeRES | 43c | 475.44$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203.17 | 4,228 | 49.2%2,080 W · 2,148 L | +59.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e1…49ddbacked illwill | 71c | 449.28$318 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.2 | 1,398 | 48.4%676 W · 722 L | +11.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c1c…dd59backed illwill | 46c | 326.51$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.33 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +2.4wins | +0.22per pick | 41cpaid | +25.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2529…548abacked Nuclear TigeRES | 35c | 285.27$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.45 | 3,225 | 51.2%1,651 W · 1,574 L | +88.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Nuclear TigeRES | 41c | 246.57$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.1 | 4,038 | 48.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f9b…cdeebacked Nuclear TigeRES | 16c | 230$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.68 | 313 | 28.4%89 W · 224 L | -21.8wins | -0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -38.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Nuclear TigeRES | 48c | 228.87$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.27 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe59…0d2ebacked illwill | 40c | 226.46$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.88 | 583 | 43.6%254 W · 329 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x09ad…1e6dbacked Nuclear TigeRES | 51c | 210.24$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.83 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x949e…20afbacked illwill | 50c | 150$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75 | 432 | 37.7%163 W · 269 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc63b…6e4ebacked Nuclear TigeRES | 26c | 105$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.05 | 363 | 34.2%124 W · 239 L | -6.4wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93ed…a4cbbacked illwill | 57c | 102.55$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.1 | 260 | 48.8%127 W · 133 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0947…bea7backed Nuclear TigeRES | 53c | 97.18$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.51 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x66b1…340fbacked illwill | 42c | 96.52$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.98 | 1,157 | 48.2%558 W · 599 L | +3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa74a…4893backed Nuclear TigeRES | 37c | 93.81$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.07 | 1,216 | 40.1%488 W · 728 L | -65.0wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x82bf…de71backed illwill | 61c | 90.17$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.17 | 623 | 50.9%317 W · 306 L | +18.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf6c8…a184backed Nuclear TigeRES | 28c | 80$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.4 | 644 | 39.8%256 W · 388 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9902…34b3backed Nuclear TigeRES | 57c | 79.87$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.36 | 38 | 28.9%11 W · 27 L | -1.8wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -42.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa073…a3babacked Nuclear TigeRES | 66c | 75.49$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.76 | 1,117 | 68.6%766 W · 351 L | +20.3wins | +0.02per pick | 67cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x24bb…3e49backed Nuclear TigeRES | 26c | 73$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.76 | 452 | 24.3%110 W · 342 L | -52.4wins | -0.12per pick | 36cpaid | -45.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x39e4…f089backed illwill | 42c | 69.4$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.25 | 321 | 38.3%123 W · 198 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked illwill | 50c | 55.59$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.79 | 5,511 | 47%2,590 W · 2,921 L | +42.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc74d…9690backed Nuclear TigeRES | 24c | 53$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.72 | 368 | 45.9%169 W · 199 L | +15.8wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x99f7…1a59backed Nuclear TigeRES | 23c | 53$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.19 | 579 | 35.1%203 W · 376 L | -11.2wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x54e0…b02cbacked Nuclear TigeRES | 41c | 52.79$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.49 | 1,650 | 32.7%540 W · 1,110 L | -49.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x252f…2561backed illwill | 49c | 39.57$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.18 | 564 | 54.3%306 W · 258 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fca…e8edbacked Nuclear TigeRES | 42c | 38.79$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.29 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -33.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Nuclear TigeRES | 52c | 38.06$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.81 | 4,064 | 50.9%2,067 W · 1,997 L | +69.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a22…2929backed Nuclear TigeRES | 58c | 23.43$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.61 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +1.7wins | +0.09per pick | 44cpaid | +3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3b14…5301backed illwill | 50c | 22.81$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.52 | 33 | 36.4%12 W · 21 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -30%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7479…e171backed Nuclear TigeRES | 51c | 22.31$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.47 | 101 | 33.7%34 W · 67 L | -14.2wins | -0.14per pick | 48cpaid | -42.1%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…ba2cbacked Nuclear TigeRES | 55c | 19.58$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.84 | 445 | 63.8%284 W · 161 L | +19.5wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: illwill vs Nuclear TigeRES - Map 2 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: illwill vs Nuclear TigeRES (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Playoffsillwill won
- Counter-Strike: illwill vs Nuclear TigeRES - Map 1 WinnerNuclear TigeRES won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.