CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: illwill vs Nuclear TigeRES - Map 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2bde585e9191c9cbd0b32570b5779e52b14b3c01776f239e6aa2e5f1b72776b7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Nuclear TigeRESof illwill, Nuclear TigeRES
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,962
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,099
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,962 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 19 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed Nuclear TigeRES | 63c | 250.39$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.77 | 4,228 | 49.2%2,080 W · 2,148 L | +59.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9a5…c602backed illwill | 35c | 165.9$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.58 | 332 | 37%123 W · 209 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Nuclear TigeRES | 60c | 102.62$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.99 | 3,257 | 50.3%1,638 W · 1,619 L | +98.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e1…49ddbacked Nuclear TigeRES | 63c | 88.2$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.39 | 1,398 | 48.4%676 W · 722 L | +11.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa74a…4893backed illwill | 39c | 86.7$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.77 | 1,216 | 40.1%488 W · 728 L | -65.0wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd41b…f231backed illwill | 42c | 80.43$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.78 | 49 | 55.1%27 W · 22 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa073…a3babacked Nuclear TigeRES | 63c | 75.94$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.41 | 1,117 | 68.6%766 W · 351 L | +20.3wins | +0.02per pick | 67cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b14…5301backed illwill | 32c | 64.87$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.61 | 33 | 36.4%12 W · 21 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -30%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d2…d67bbacked illwill | 43c | 54.13$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.28 | 1,315 | 51.1%672 W · 643 L | -99.5wins | -0.08per pick | 59cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked Nuclear TigeRES | 70c | 50$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 2,604 | 52.6%1,371 W · 1,233 L | +98.0wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x00f7…4476backed illwill | 32c | 49.94$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.98 | 86 | 25.6%22 W · 64 L | -13.4wins | -0.16per pick | 41cpaid | -41.8%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x2529…548abacked illwill | 32c | 46.28$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.81 | 3,225 | 51.2%1,651 W · 1,574 L | +88.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Nuclear TigeRES | 73c | 39.84$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.72 | 4,064 | 50.9%2,067 W · 1,997 L | +69.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f0c…51dbbacked Nuclear TigeRES | 50c | 38.8$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.4 | 401 | 48.4%194 W · 207 L | -14.5wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x09f4…58c4backed illwill | 34c | 38.61$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.13 | 117 | 68.4%80 W · 37 L | +5.2wins | +0.04per pick | 64cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9bd9…084fbacked Nuclear TigeRES | 56c | 30$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.2 | 472 | 60%283 W · 189 L | +31.8wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked illwill | 41c | 25.61$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.42 | 5,511 | 47%2,590 W · 2,921 L | +42.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa0f…574cbacked Nuclear TigeRES | 60c | 23.41$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.36 | 22 | 63.6%14 W · 8 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x22a7…64fabacked Nuclear TigeRES | 69c | 20.06$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.31 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.6wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +66.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: illwill vs Nuclear TigeRES - Map 1 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: illwill vs Nuclear TigeRES (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Playoffsillwill won
- Counter-Strike: illwill vs Nuclear TigeRES - Map 2 Winnerillwill won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.