Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in London be 23°C on May 21?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x87493a6aaf3f6346e9135e910ac9b7fb5ce56ef9cc706d8b1d0cc445ec62aac9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $25,723
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $26,700
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $25,723 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 177 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6ff2…f140backed Yes | 34c | 604.59$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206.49 | 1,250 | 25.4%317 W · 933 L | +57.9wins | +0.05per pick | 21cpaid | +14%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7231…5afebacked No | 61c | 522.93$321 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201.8 | 96 | 34.4%33 W · 63 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1a6…1507backed No | 61c | 510.31$311 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.35 | 2,626 | 54%1,418 W · 1,208 L | -56.4wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x23b2…605cbacked No | 64c | 438.9$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.9 | 114 | 59.6%68 W · 46 L | -7.1wins | -0.06per pick | 66cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb0d6…7475backed No | 59c | 430.16$253 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.64 | 1,525 | 52.6%802 W · 723 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f3c…758dbacked Yes | 45c | 410.73$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.05 | 113 | 37.2%42 W · 71 L | +8.1wins | +0.07per pick | 30cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3e96…b306backed Yes | 2c | 409.74$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.13 | 201 | 44.8%90 W · 111 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd540…f3dbbacked Yes | 43c | 340.88$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146 | 81 | 34.6%28 W · 53 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdedd…17e1backed No | 58c | 312.27$181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.11 | 2,432 | 60.4%1,470 W · 962 L | +30.2wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x019c…e8d2backed No | 53c | 232.18$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.23 | 565 | 43.5%246 W · 319 L | -31.8wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8b5d…57d3backed Yes | 45c | 225.06$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.48 | 743 | 38.2%284 W · 459 L | +17.8wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe7c3…20e0backed No | 57c | 223$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.51 | 637 | 57.6%367 W · 270 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2403…4a2ebacked Yes | 47c | 213.63$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ff2…01b9backed Yes | 42c | 210$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.18 | 869 | 52.7%458 W · 411 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x570c…91c5backed No | 57c | 206.19$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.38 | 711 | 59.2%421 W · 290 L | -9.5wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3690…e16fbacked No | 56c | 185.08$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.2 | 767 | 55.4%425 W · 342 L | +40.7wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2612…5289backed No | 59c | 182.5$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.19 | 3,048 | 40.5%1,234 W · 1,814 L | -121.5wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x32c9…5a3ebacked Yes | 39c | 175.24$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.43 | 76 | 28.9%22 W · 54 L | -3.2wins | -0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c2…d53dbacked No | 64c | 154.4$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.04 | 137 | 55.5%76 W · 61 L | -6.4wins | -0.05per pick | 60cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x85db…1423backed No | 67c | 151$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.57 | 66 | 66.7%44 W · 22 L | +4.4wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +31.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2b13…62d3backed Yes | 38c | 149.43$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.59 | 1,052 | 31.2%328 W · 724 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd91…32b8backed No | 56c | 141.81$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.31 | 1,428 | 52.1%744 W · 684 L | -21.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a88…f471backed Yes | 42c | 141.02$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.32 | 297 | 32.3%96 W · 201 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f60…026abacked No | 59c | 136.39$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.82 | 999 | 63.5%634 W · 365 L | -3.0wins | 0.00per pick | 64cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdf95…d76ebacked Yes | 44c | 133.24$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.24 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.07per pick | 65cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x27ab…e521backed No | 59c | 130.86$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.2 | 659 | 65.4%431 W · 228 L | -12.7wins | -0.02per pick | 67cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 47c | 128.72$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.98 | 3,366 | 31.1%1,047 W · 2,319 L | -34.1wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Yes | 39c | 128.3$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.07 | 7,148 | 9.3%666 W · 6,482 L | -1,105.8wins | -0.15per pick | 25cpaid | -75.9%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xb06a…52f5backed Yes | 19c | 125.99$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.48 | 5,832 | 36.7%2,138 W · 3,694 L | +211.1wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa708…9321backed No | 55c | 124.91$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.94 | 1,299 | 57.5%747 W · 552 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6930…d846backed No | 53c | 119.99$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +88.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x080e…da87backed Yes | 38c | 119.85$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 185 | 34.6%64 W · 121 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6bee…7e78backed Yes | 40c | 117.53$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.26 | 1,076 | 23.5%253 W · 823 L | +69.1wins | +0.06per pick | 17cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5f21…b376backed Yes | 38c | 116.27$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.03 | 17,355 | 19.9%3,460 W · 13,895 L | +396.7wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa28…c37ebacked Yes | 38c | 113.71$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.85 | 3,939 | 35.3%1,392 W · 2,547 L | +35.4wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f4…1e34backed Yes | 40c | 112.99$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.21 | 1,312 | 45%590 W · 722 L | +33.6wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7c48…6b72backed Yes | 44c | 109.89$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.37 | 452 | 38.5%174 W · 278 L | -14.1wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5441…7c4ebacked Yes | 46c | 109.13$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.6wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2ca9…fe9cbacked Yes | 39c | 108.98$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.8 | 46 | 28.3%13 W · 33 L | -2.9wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc60…66a2backed Yes | 46c | 107.26$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.2 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf70…8f19backed Yes | 45c | 106$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.87 | 139 | 41.7%58 W · 81 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c9e…8d54backed No | 54c | 103$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.38 | 276 | 69.2%191 W · 85 L | -6.8wins | -0.02per pick | 72cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57ee…8112backed Yes | 49c | 102$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.7 | 1,727 | 18%311 W · 1,416 L | +74.3wins | +0.04per pick | 14cpaid | +11%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x57ef…4b15backed Yes | 38c | 101.43$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.5 | 129 | 41.9%54 W · 75 L | +5.1wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b17…03b2backed No | 55c | 100.18$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.09 | 539 | 25.6%138 W · 401 L | -18.4wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -40.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x35c4…d144backed Yes | 44c | 100.01$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.55 | 1,255 | 62.5%785 W · 470 L | +99.5wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed Yes | 45c | 100$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 1,322 | 32.2%426 W · 896 L | -43.7wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8444…1cf9backed Yes | 46c | 100$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 287 | 37.6%108 W · 179 L | -13.6wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x97ab…a19fbacked No | 59c | 100$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41 | 299 | 53.8%161 W · 138 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c11…33c9backed Yes | 40c | 100$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 896 | 61.7%553 W · 343 L | +15.2wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0888…e6e3backed No | 56c | 99.99$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44 | 54 | 50%27 W · 27 L | +3.9wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbad1…8151backed Yes | 34c | 99.99$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 28 | 28.6%8 W · 20 L | -1.9wins | -0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1838…29b4backed Yes | 42c | 97.26$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.77 | 963 | 13.7%132 W · 831 L | +33.9wins | +0.04per pick | 10cpaid | +35.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4e5c…d892backed No | 61c | 96.87$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.58 | 570 | 44.9%256 W · 314 L | +36.5wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +13%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x391a…9d8fbacked Yes | 42c | 95.28$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 36 | 36.1%13 W · 23 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb3…1367backed No | 57c | 91.45$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.73 | 1,554 | 33.1%515 W · 1,039 L | -66.6wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6739…a52ebacked Yes | 50c | 91.22$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.62 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -2.8wins | -0.28per pick | 48cpaid | -67.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x77d1…6d42backed Yes | 46c | 90.13$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.06 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.12per pick | 44cpaid | +25.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21fb…842cbacked Yes | 51c | 90.12$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.41 | 49 | 34.7%17 W · 32 L | -3.3wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9f20…12c3backed No | 57c | 89.34$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.77 | 4,104 | 56.6%2,322 W · 1,782 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3972…a677backed No | 53c | 86.81$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.42 | 817 | 56.4%461 W · 356 L | -23.0wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 57c | 86.43$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37 | 5,897 | 49.4%2,913 W · 2,984 L | -103.3wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f34…2f50backed No | 55c | 85.51$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.44 | 4,120 | 60.8%2,506 W · 1,614 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0081…947bbacked No | 56c | 79.99$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.8 | 316 | 49.7%157 W · 159 L | +17.5wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x52d8…b6a8backed Yes | 39c | 79.79$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.95 | 23 | 17.4%4 W · 19 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 16cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7cc9backed Yes | 38c | 77.57$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.26 | 12,498 | 19.5%2,441 W · 10,057 L | -2,667.3wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -66.8%equal weight | 26-0.21 edge/pick |
| 0x7b20…eb02backed Yes | 44c | 76.07$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.47 | 348 | 46.6%162 W · 186 L | +14.6wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x198e…ede0backed Yes | 44c | 75$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.3 | 564 | 34.6%195 W · 369 L | +21.0wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3e4b…48bdbacked Yes | 43c | 72.65$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.9 | 45 | 40%18 W · 27 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x044f…d1f1backed No | 58c | 70.31$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.28 | 8,162 | 49.4%4,035 W · 4,127 L | +269.7wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d30…91d6backed Yes | 51c | 70$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.5 | 172 | 31.4%54 W · 118 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4230…152ebacked Yes | 43c | 69.77$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 50 | 32%16 W · 34 L | -2.8wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -33.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x51f0…186cbacked Yes | 45c | 66.7$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 63 | 36.5%23 W · 40 L | -4.9wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x764b…6badbacked No | 50c | 61.69$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.87 | 3,755 | 61.1%2,293 W · 1,462 L | -36.5wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x28bf…4a4ebacked No | 59c | 61$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.04 | 5,389 | 56%3,017 W · 2,372 L | -120.8wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8f2…96d7backed Yes | 34c | 60$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.4 | 244 | 66.8%163 W · 81 L | +20.2wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe5bd…339abacked Yes | 35c | 60$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.2 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 33cpaid | +27.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3127…6f1bbacked Yes | 44c | 59.72$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.29 | 36 | 36.1%13 W · 23 L | -1.7wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff74…5de4backed Yes | 37c | 59.65$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.17 | 659 | 34.1%225 W · 434 L | +36.6wins | +0.06per pick | 29cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7082…3a10backed Yes | 40c | 59$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.6 | 35 | 28.6%10 W · 25 L | -1.7wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2cff…468bbacked Yes | 35c | 58.26$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.39 | 162 | 63%102 W · 60 L | +4.8wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd55…f905backed No | 67c | 58$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.23 | 4,547 | 58.4%2,655 W · 1,892 L | -107.5wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0754…a576backed Yes | 44c | 56.59$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.9 | 164 | 37.2%61 W · 103 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f3f…af73backed Yes | 44c | 56.22$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 198 | 48%95 W · 103 L | +7.0wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8bca…e136backed Yes | 44c | 55.05$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.31 | 445 | 36.2%161 W · 284 L | +13.0wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x80bd…a8cdbacked Yes | 40c | 55$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.92 | 168 | 40.5%68 W · 100 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26cf…c000backed Yes | 36c | 54.89$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 79 | 55.7%44 W · 35 L | +3.9wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa9fd…1902backed Yes | 34c | 54.43$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.64 | 112 | 57.1%64 W · 48 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7c63…93d4backed Yes | 34c | 54.26$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.42 | 10,354 | 37.9%3,919 W · 6,435 L | +417.6wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc423…2ccdbacked Yes | 47c | 53.02$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 524 | 44.1%231 W · 293 L | -9.0wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc90…f8edbacked Yes | 47c | 52.58$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.71 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f3e…5337backed Yes | 39c | 50.79$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 818 | 48.5%397 W · 421 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1831…6c99backed Yes | 42c | 50$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.92 | 349 | 34.1%119 W · 230 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda91…d760backed Yes | 44c | 50$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 1,010 | 40.3%407 W · 603 L | +16.9wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77fc…0eacbacked Yes | 48c | 50$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 22cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9188…e046backed Yes | 28c | 50$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 569 | 21.8%124 W · 445 L | +11.8wins | +0.02per pick | 20cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x326b…eca1backed Yes | 39c | 50$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.5 | 16 | 12.5%2 W · 14 L | -1.9wins | -0.12per pick | 25cpaid | -54.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xea6a…3ee2backed Yes | 33c | 49.99$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.72 | 104 | 39.4%41 W · 63 L | +3.1wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x109e…9a31backed No | 61c | 49.99$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.67 | 38 | 44.7%17 W · 21 L | -4.8wins | -0.13per pick | 57cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfbc4…4f2cbacked Yes | 46c | 49.74$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.88 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in London be 23°C on May 21?this page
- Will the highest temperature in London be 20°C on May 21?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 21°C on May 21?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 22°C on May 21?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 24°C on May 21?Yes won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 25°C on May 21?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 26°C on May 21?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 28°C or higher on May 21?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.