Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in London be 24°C on May 21?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5ae362c39fbc183f32c3408f7486c2be4213a88f4038d75fdb0a98698ea325a6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $27,046
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $31,353
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $27,046 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 125 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6ff2…f140backed Yes | 49c | 1,278$627 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$651.55 | 1,250 | 25.4%317 W · 933 L | +57.9wins | +0.05per pick | 21cpaid | +14%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaf17…5c20backed No | 2c | 627.79$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.45 | 1,787 | 25.7%460 W · 1,327 L | +132.5wins | +0.07per pick | 18cpaid | +50.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd1a6…1507backed No | 74c | 520.4$386 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$385.84 | 2,626 | 54%1,418 W · 1,208 L | -56.4wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb0d6…7475backed No | 62c | 497.3$308 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$308.41 | 1,525 | 52.6%802 W · 723 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8fb4…b9edbacked Yes | 34c | 457$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$303.07 | 421 | 30.4%128 W · 293 L | +19.5wins | +0.05per pick | 26cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x32c9…5a3ebacked Yes | 19c | 399.99$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$324.89 | 76 | 28.9%22 W · 54 L | -3.2wins | -0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdafd…2ad4backed Yes | 25c | 392.66$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$293.21 | 122 | 28.7%35 W · 87 L | +9.2wins | +0.08per pick | 21cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb06a…52f5backed Yes | 75c | 342.23$258 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.91 | 5,832 | 36.7%2,138 W · 3,694 L | +211.1wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdedd…17e1backed No | 62c | 308.82$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.67 | 2,432 | 60.4%1,470 W · 962 L | +30.2wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e54…7986backed No | 37c | 282.69$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd91…32b8backed No | 37c | 278.65$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.71 | 1,428 | 52.1%744 W · 684 L | -21.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x019c…e8d2backed No | 65c | 265.82$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.66 | 565 | 43.5%246 W · 319 L | -31.8wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6a8d…50f9backed Yes | 20c | 259.19$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.36 | 9,799 | 44.6%4,367 W · 5,432 L | +256.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd540…f3dbbacked Yes | 37c | 258.1$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.1 | 81 | 34.6%28 W · 53 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3690…e16fbacked No | 55c | 256.82$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.01 | 767 | 55.4%425 W · 342 L | +40.7wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9b72…a958backed Yes | 26c | 246.76$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182.6 | 686 | 45.8%314 W · 372 L | -10.7wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e5c…d892backed No | 9c | 239.53$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.66 | 570 | 44.9%256 W · 314 L | +36.5wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +13%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8b5d…57d3backed Yes | 36c | 226$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.83 | 743 | 38.2%284 W · 459 L | +17.8wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x570c…91c5backed No | 65c | 217.93$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.74 | 711 | 59.2%421 W · 290 L | -9.5wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7cc9backed No | 36c | 198.77$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.58 | 12,498 | 19.5%2,441 W · 10,057 L | -2,667.3wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -66.8%equal weight | 26-0.21 edge/pick |
| 0x6bee…7e78backed Yes | 19c | 194.21$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.97 | 1,076 | 23.5%253 W · 823 L | +69.1wins | +0.06per pick | 17cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6b17…03b2backed No | 25c | 191.23$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.21 | 539 | 25.6%138 W · 401 L | -18.4wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -40.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x764b…6badbacked No | 7c | 173.73$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.3 | 3,755 | 61.1%2,293 W · 1,462 L | -36.5wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc518…2594backed No | 26c | 170.41$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.12 | 1,928 | 53.5%1,032 W · 896 L | +39.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x11fc…8262backed Yes | 62c | 162.75$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.48 | 379 | 42.2%160 W · 219 L | -14.0wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3636…1a57backed Yes | 23c | 148$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.52 | 85 | 51.8%44 W · 41 L | +7.2wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb64a…0c47backed No | 74c | 134.64$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 73cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc34f…7d2ebacked No | 56c | 130.59$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.17 | 12,173 | 46.8%5,692 W · 6,481 L | -42.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7827…a351backed Yes | 47c | 128.33$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.33 | 37 | 40.5%15 W · 22 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x198e…ede0backed Yes | 24c | 127.99$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.56 | 564 | 34.6%195 W · 369 L | +21.0wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed No | 10c | 123.77$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.98 | 7,148 | 9.3%666 W · 6,482 L | -1,105.8wins | -0.15per pick | 25cpaid | -75.9%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xecad…f818backed No | 49c | 122.72$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa708…9321backed No | 68c | 119.52$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.44 | 1,299 | 57.5%747 W · 552 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd15…b352backed No | 11c | 104.31$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.66 | 1,857 | 18.7%347 W · 1,510 L | +77.0wins | +0.04per pick | 15cpaid | +25.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x57ef…4b15backed Yes | 31c | 102.18$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.18 | 129 | 41.9%54 W · 75 L | +5.1wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd55…f905backed No | 48c | 102$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.02 | 4,547 | 58.4%2,655 W · 1,892 L | -107.5wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e8e…cf0fbacked No | 80c | 100$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.29per pick | 79cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb25e…6e0dbacked No | 80c | 100$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.4wins | -0.71per pick | 71cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa77c…ddccbacked No | 75c | 100$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -2.4wins | -0.41per pick | 57cpaid | -77.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3594…cd28backed No | 79c | 100$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79 | 51 | 58.8%30 W · 21 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x640c…0b67backed No | 75c | 100$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.25per pick | 65cpaid | -46.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x117a…b669backed No | 79c | 99.93$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.94 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.29per pick | 79cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6739…a52ebacked Yes | 57c | 97.69$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.69 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -2.8wins | -0.28per pick | 48cpaid | -67.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x12f8…bfa5backed Yes | 33c | 92.66$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.08 | 55 | 47.3%26 W · 29 L | -3.5wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed Yes | 43c | 92.54$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.75 | 1,322 | 32.2%426 W · 896 L | -43.7wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2612…5289backed No | 72c | 91.9$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.19 | 3,048 | 40.5%1,234 W · 1,814 L | -121.5wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x87f0…85f7backed Yes | 30c | 91$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.47 | 67 | 17.9%12 W · 55 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 21cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c38…f194backed No | 13c | 90$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.45 | 2,517 | 47.2%1,188 W · 1,329 L | +52.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff74…5de4backed Yes | 20c | 89.62$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.94 | 659 | 34.1%225 W · 434 L | +36.6wins | +0.06per pick | 29cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf73f…ee53backed No | 72c | 87.62$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.39 | 2,950 | 33.6%992 W · 1,958 L | +9.9wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | +4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x942d…278ebacked Yes | 21c | 86.3$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.6 | 434 | 30.9%134 W · 300 L | +10.2wins | +0.02per pick | 29cpaid | +78.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a2c…80e5backed No | 75c | 85$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.75 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.8wins | -0.29per pick | 46cpaid | -77.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed No | 74c | 83.99$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.3 | 9,490 | 45.9%4,360 W · 5,130 L | -278.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 76c | 81.22$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.64 | 5,897 | 49.4%2,913 W · 2,984 L | -103.3wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b4…a38abacked No | 14c | 80.5$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.03 | 16 | 12.5%2 W · 14 L | -3.1wins | -0.20per pick | 32cpaid | -81.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0f60…026abacked No | 80c | 79$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.18 | 999 | 63.5%634 W · 365 L | -3.0wins | 0.00per pick | 64cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b2…7c84backed Yes | 48c | 76.47$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.52 | 110 | 38.2%42 W · 68 L | -6.9wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -17%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8bca…e136backed Yes | 35c | 73.02$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.7 | 445 | 36.2%161 W · 284 L | +13.0wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1044…8cebbacked Yes | 33c | 72.79$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.77 | 29 | 17.2%5 W · 24 L | -2.9wins | -0.10per pick | 27cpaid | -64.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8edc…80d8backed No | 70c | 72.01$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.41 | 1,179 | 56.4%665 W · 514 L | +19.0wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeaff…5f75backed Yes | 29c | 67.15$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.01 | 70 | 47.1%33 W · 37 L | +2.1wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -10%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d6f…0e20backed Yes | 30c | 66.99$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.9 | 914 | 44.7%409 W · 505 L | +16.7wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x510f…a43cbacked Yes | 35c | 66.29$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.34 | 3,474 | 33.9%1,177 W · 2,297 L | -175.6wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7c35…3f6dbacked No | 48c | 64.68$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.23 | 80 | 36.3%29 W · 51 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7231…5afebacked Yes | 45c | 64.43$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.53 | 96 | 34.4%33 W · 63 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd43e…3604backed Yes | 33c | 62.76$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.15 | 515 | 53.6%276 W · 239 L | -9.0wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcfff…673dbacked No | 68c | 62$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.07 | 3,057 | 61.6%1,883 W · 1,174 L | -35.2wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7082…3a10backed Yes | 19c | 61.99$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.21 | 35 | 28.6%10 W · 25 L | -1.7wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc944…1686backed Yes | 45c | 61.3$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.56 | 345 | 33%114 W · 231 L | +20.6wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5aad…dc28backed Yes | 22c | 60.93$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.83 | 676 | 33.7%228 W · 448 L | +33.8wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcdbc…bd73backed No | 70c | 60.7$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.68 | 918 | 61.5%565 W · 353 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe5bd…339abacked Yes | 19c | 60$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.4 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 33cpaid | +27.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd1b…ff31backed Yes | 20c | 60$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 39 | 38.5%15 W · 24 L | +1.8wins | +0.05per pick | 34cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x425d…6cb0backed Yes | 51c | 55.02$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.02 | 253 | 44.7%113 W · 140 L | -5.7wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf225…42e0backed Yes | 27c | 55$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.15 | 119 | 47.1%56 W · 63 L | +8.2wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2ca9…fe9cbacked Yes | 27c | 54.63$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.63 | 46 | 28.3%13 W · 33 L | -2.9wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x391a…9d8fbacked Yes | 55c | 54.36$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.36 | 36 | 36.1%13 W · 23 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e18…b3ecbacked Yes | 28c | 54.12$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.12 | 46 | 52.2%24 W · 22 L | +6.5wins | +0.14per pick | 38cpaid | +30.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5042…f296backed Yes | 40c | 53.75$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.3 | 97 | 44.3%43 W · 54 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xce05…ff90backed Yes | 33c | 53$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.52 | 240 | 53.3%128 W · 112 L | -9.5wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xea6a…3ee2backed Yes | 52c | 50$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.23 | 104 | 39.4%41 W · 63 L | +3.1wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ae4…fc82backed No | 75c | 50$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.5 | 2,530 | 50.4%1,275 W · 1,255 L | -48.9wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x263d…fc4cbacked No | 59c | 50$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.5 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -1.5wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xda91…d760backed No | 55c | 49.98$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.49 | 1,010 | 40.3%407 W · 603 L | +16.9wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad64…4a5cbacked Yes | 23c | 49.97$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.32 | 83 | 37.3%31 W · 52 L | +5.1wins | +0.06per pick | 31cpaid | +14%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x13e0…7465backed Yes | 42c | 48.77$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.37 | 352 | 33%116 W · 236 L | -4.0wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ff7…82c5backed Yes | 25c | 45.07$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.6 | 115 | 15.7%18 W · 97 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 19cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5964…35dfbacked No | 38c | 45$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.98 | 1,279 | 33.6%430 W · 849 L | -6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe9b1…79d7backed No | 79c | 43.06$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.87 | 889 | 73.2%651 W · 238 L | +20.3wins | +0.02per pick | 71cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f4…1e34backed Yes | 52c | 41.21$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.68 | 1,312 | 45%590 W · 722 L | +33.6wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3e96…b306backed Yes | 61c | 40.8$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.93 | 201 | 44.8%90 W · 111 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe7da…138cbacked No | 65c | 40.35$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.04 | 15 | 86.7%13 W · 2 L | +2.9wins | +0.20per pick | 67cpaid | +28.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7112…6d11backed No | 56c | 37.55$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.95 | 349 | 70.2%245 W · 104 L | +8.0wins | +0.02per pick | 68cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa9e…2264backed No | 71c | 36.54$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.9 | 103 | 51.5%53 W · 50 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x49c4…db5bbacked No | 56c | 35.88$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1,275 | 36.5%465 W · 810 L | -15.9wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x996b…ec84backed Yes | 35c | 35.69$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.2 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +1.1wins | +0.16per pick | 27cpaid | +52.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3972…a677backed No | 74c | 34.95$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.86 | 817 | 56.4%461 W · 356 L | -23.0wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe48b…fdc2backed Yes | 48c | 34.89$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.14 | 619 | 29.1%180 W · 439 L | +21.8wins | +0.04per pick | 26cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf114…6eccbacked Yes | 66c | 33.33$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.49 | 1,090 | 74.2%809 W · 281 L | +179.3wins | +0.16per pick | 58cpaid | +34.1%equal weight | 68+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0x8780…5f74backed Yes | 68c | 32.16$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.16 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in London be 24°C on May 21?this page
- Will the highest temperature in London be 20°C on May 21?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 21°C on May 21?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 22°C on May 21?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 23°C on May 21?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 25°C on May 21?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 26°C on May 21?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 28°C or higher on May 21?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.