Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in London be 22°C on May 21?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8aad92bef1dc62829b856be013e24772c3bebb55140f3012199be91ea2cd8527
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $26,708
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $28,125
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $26,708 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 96 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xafde…3e1dbacked Yes | 1c | 2,117$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.26 | 1,331 | 20.8%277 W · 1,054 L | +33.9wins | +0.03per pick | 18cpaid | -19%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1838…29b4backed Yes | 5c | 1,141$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.18 | 963 | 13.7%132 W · 831 L | +33.9wins | +0.04per pick | 10cpaid | +35.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ff2…f140backed Yes | 6c | 1,089$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.89 | 1,250 | 25.4%317 W · 933 L | +57.9wins | +0.05per pick | 21cpaid | +14%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x57ee…8112backed Yes | 4c | 932.24$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.26 | 1,727 | 18%311 W · 1,416 L | +74.3wins | +0.04per pick | 14cpaid | +11%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9e83…9394backed Yes | 2c | 560$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.47 | 352 | 32.7%115 W · 237 L | +20.9wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | +40.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd1a6…1507backed No | 77c | 510.31$392 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.41 | 2,626 | 54%1,418 W · 1,208 L | -56.4wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9686…1701backed Yes | 6c | 499.97$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 351 | 33.6%118 W · 233 L | +10.3wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7c92…3cd0backed Yes | 20c | 410.58$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83 | 171 | 35.1%60 W · 111 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0d6…7475backed No | 80c | 407.29$325 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.96 | 1,525 | 52.6%802 W · 723 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdedd…17e1backed No | 79c | 355.39$281 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.17 | 2,432 | 60.4%1,470 W · 962 L | +30.2wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf132…c706backed Yes | 7c | 350.16$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.31 | 308 | 13.6%42 W · 266 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 12cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21fb…842cbacked Yes | 27c | 341.69$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.5 | 49 | 34.7%17 W · 32 L | -3.3wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3972…a677backed Yes | 9c | 325.48$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 817 | 56.4%461 W · 356 L | -23.0wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77fc…0eacbacked Yes | 5c | 312$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.32 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 22cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x49c4…db5bbacked Yes | 7c | 277.75$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1,275 | 36.5%465 W · 810 L | -15.9wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f21…b376backed Yes | 28c | 248.83$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.49 | 17,355 | 19.9%3,460 W · 13,895 L | +396.7wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x85c0…e01dbacked Yes | 15c | 204.99$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.67 | 1,032 | 24.3%251 W · 781 L | +40.9wins | +0.04per pick | 20cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0f3c…758dbacked Yes | 21c | 199.99$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.5 | 113 | 37.2%42 W · 71 L | +8.1wins | +0.07per pick | 30cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7596…02a9backed Yes | 9c | 172.44$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -2.8wins | -0.13per pick | 58cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e1…7e35backed Yes | 10c | 160.07$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.5 | 56 | 28.6%16 W · 40 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f4…1e34backed Yes | 16c | 158.5$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.79 | 1,312 | 45%590 W · 722 L | +33.6wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa708…9321backed No | 80c | 154.52$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.4 | 1,299 | 57.5%747 W · 552 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6bee…7e78backed Yes | 8c | 150$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.7 | 1,076 | 23.5%253 W · 823 L | +69.1wins | +0.06per pick | 17cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7841…7273backed Yes | 13c | 149.98$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.5 | 35 | 14.3%5 W · 30 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 16cpaid | -45.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c11…33c9backed No | 74c | 135.33$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.75 | 896 | 61.7%553 W · 343 L | +15.2wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa996…e251backed No | 74c | 134.58$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.58 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 78cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x27ab…e521backed No | 74c | 130.56$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.09 | 659 | 65.4%431 W · 228 L | -12.7wins | -0.02per pick | 67cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x261e…c09fbacked Yes | 27c | 129.97$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.49 | 118 | 35.6%42 W · 76 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfa9e…2264backed No | 77c | 129.02$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.11 | 103 | 51.5%53 W · 50 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x080e…da87backed Yes | 29c | 122.28$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 185 | 34.6%64 W · 121 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f60…026abacked No | 71c | 121.67$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.95 | 999 | 63.5%634 W · 365 L | -3.0wins | 0.00per pick | 64cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8fbd…a959backed Yes | 12c | 121.46$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.74 | 8,952 | 26.7%2,392 W · 6,560 L | +120.3wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b13…62d3backed Yes | 25c | 117.8$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.04 | 1,052 | 31.2%328 W · 724 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf709…7697backed Yes | 19c | 107.74$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 28 | 21.4%6 W · 22 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 23cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc323…4408backed No | 74c | 107.59$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.51 | 335 | 67.5%226 W · 109 L | -6.3wins | -0.02per pick | 69cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x361c…d705backed Yes | 16c | 100.62$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.74 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.13per pick | 47cpaid | -48.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32c9…5a3ebacked Yes | 22c | 100$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 76 | 28.9%22 W · 54 L | -3.2wins | -0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb7…fd80backed Yes | 17c | 99.99$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5bc3…b0aebacked Yes | 17c | 99.99$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 959 | 33.5%321 W · 638 L | +28.3wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbad1…8151backed Yes | 30c | 99.99$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 28 | 28.6%8 W · 20 L | -1.9wins | -0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5a88…f471backed Yes | 15c | 99.98$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 297 | 32.3%96 W · 201 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ca9…fe9cbacked Yes | 20c | 95.88$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.85 | 46 | 28.3%13 W · 33 L | -2.9wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4c1c…25f0backed Yes | 16c | 92.97$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 92 | 39.1%36 W · 56 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9fd…1902backed Yes | 24c | 89.84$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.74 | 112 | 57.1%64 W · 48 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3127…6f1bbacked Yes | 28c | 87.86$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.35 | 36 | 36.1%13 W · 23 L | -1.7wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9f20…12c3backed No | 74c | 82.83$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.82 | 4,104 | 56.6%2,322 W · 1,782 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x044f…d1f1backed No | 72c | 82.11$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.99 | 8,162 | 49.4%4,035 W · 4,127 L | +269.7wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4e8a…ad94backed Yes | 25c | 80$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 331 | 39.6%131 W · 200 L | +7.0wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e1a…d5a3backed Yes | 19c | 78.8$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2451…09fabacked Yes | 26c | 77.29$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 221 | 25.3%56 W · 165 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6659…b7cabacked Yes | 29c | 77.24$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.67 | 938 | 37.6%353 W · 585 L | -14.5wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e18…b3ecbacked Yes | 14c | 76.37$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 46 | 52.2%24 W · 22 L | +6.5wins | +0.14per pick | 38cpaid | +30.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x12ea…a131backed No | 74c | 75.6$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.69 | 985 | 65.1%641 W · 344 L | -13.1wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf6be…f6a3backed Yes | 26c | 75.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.69 | 299 | 41.1%123 W · 176 L | +20.8wins | +0.07per pick | 34cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc944…1686backed Yes | 14c | 70.92$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.01 | 345 | 33%114 W · 231 L | +20.6wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1f22…db25backed Yes | 21c | 70$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.7 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3594…cd28backed Yes | 22c | 69$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.18 | 51 | 58.8%30 W · 21 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe5f5…923abacked Yes | 16c | 66$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.88 | 37 | 40.5%15 W · 22 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe2e2…a783backed Yes | 15c | 64.89$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.02 | 50 | 42%21 W · 29 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c63…93d4backed Yes | 24c | 63.94$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.21 | 10,354 | 37.9%3,919 W · 6,435 L | +417.6wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa1bd…940ebacked No | 70c | 62.31$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.39 | 170 | 71.2%121 W · 49 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 70cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf73f…ee53backed No | 73c | 61.83$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.69 | 2,950 | 33.6%992 W · 1,958 L | +9.9wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | +4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe5bd…339abacked Yes | 29c | 60$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.2 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 33cpaid | +27.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7082…3a10backed Yes | 26c | 60$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.6 | 35 | 28.6%10 W · 25 L | -1.7wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca12…ea73backed Yes | 24c | 58.04$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.93 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f34…2f50backed No | 78c | 56.8$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.26 | 4,120 | 60.8%2,506 W · 1,614 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf31d…b5f1backed Yes | 19c | 56.16$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.62 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0857…dc72backed Yes | 20c | 54.19$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 37 | 37.8%14 W · 23 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4230…152ebacked Yes | 28c | 53.48$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 50 | 32%16 W · 34 L | -2.8wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -33.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x326b…eca1backed Yes | 27c | 50$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 16 | 12.5%2 W · 14 L | -1.9wins | -0.12per pick | 25cpaid | -54.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 72c | 49.34$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.72 | 5,897 | 49.4%2,913 W · 2,984 L | -103.3wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x906f…371abacked No | 74c | 49$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.5 | 2,495 | 69.9%1,744 W · 751 L | +80.3wins | +0.03per pick | 67cpaid | +5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc518…2594backed No | 80c | 48.86$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.94 | 1,928 | 53.5%1,032 W · 896 L | +39.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc243…5e94backed No | 75c | 48.61$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.29 | 260 | 67.3%175 W · 85 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 69cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf97a…3269backed Yes | 23c | 46.95$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.74 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -17%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e69…5f67backed Yes | 24c | 45.28$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.69 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.39per pick | 28cpaid | +179.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x58ed…d51bbacked Yes | 23c | 44.99$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.41 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -18%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc24f…81d3backed No | 76c | 44.97$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.84 | 985 | 71%699 W · 286 L | +5.7wins | +0.01per pick | 70cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f42…cd3cbacked No | 72c | 41.66$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.66 | 128 | 51.6%66 W · 62 L | -13.1wins | -0.10per pick | 62cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x194b…e572backed No | 76c | 40.7$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.88 | 193 | 53.9%104 W · 89 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd43e…3604backed No | 76c | 40$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.56 | 515 | 53.6%276 W · 239 L | -9.0wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xddc3…000bbacked Yes | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 98 | 32.7%32 W · 66 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x75b0…e7b7backed No | 74c | 35$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.1 | 1,585 | 78.5%1,244 W · 341 L | +39.7wins | +0.03per pick | 76cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x198e…ede0backed No | 75c | 34.77$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.7 | 564 | 34.6%195 W · 369 L | +21.0wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc432…8562backed Yes | 32c | 31.25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7dcf…a7bdbacked No | 72c | 29.99$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.4 | 1,586 | 61.9%982 W · 604 L | +20.2wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcfff…673dbacked No | 77c | 28$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.34 | 3,057 | 61.6%1,883 W · 1,174 L | -35.2wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd7a…7bfbbacked No | 71c | 27.99$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.12 | 4,961 | 68.3%3,386 W · 1,575 L | +65.6wins | +0.01per pick | 67cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe11c…24efbacked Yes | 36c | 27.88$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.14 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.8wins | -0.20per pick | 42cpaid | -59%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe2be…ff33backed No | 73c | 25$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.75 | 1,203 | 48.9%588 W · 615 L | -24.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa98a…a5a8backed No | 72c | 23.22$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.5 | 2,015 | 67.7%1,365 W · 650 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 68cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xce05…ff90backed No | 77c | 23$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.31 | 240 | 53.3%128 W · 112 L | -9.5wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2e27…9967backed No | 73c | 22.31$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.02 | 137 | 65.7%90 W · 47 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 63cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe5b1…30b2backed No | 70c | 17.71$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.31 | 503 | 73.2%368 W · 135 L | +25.3wins | +0.05per pick | 68cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x38e2…2909backed No | 77c | 16.86$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.88 | 3,479 | 53%1,845 W · 1,634 L | +72.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbea2…2d33backed No | 74c | 14$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.64 | 65 | 61.5%40 W · 25 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in London be 22°C on May 21?this page
- Will the highest temperature in London be 20°C on May 21?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 21°C on May 21?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 23°C on May 21?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 24°C on May 21?Yes won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 25°C on May 21?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 26°C on May 21?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 28°C or higher on May 21?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.