WNBA · resolved market
Los Angeles Sparks vs. Golden State Valkyries: O/U 172.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd52ec9c8e7b1eb33e8b93d5f179c3253e18c3435e608c78ccce5b39fb2148c75
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- WNBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $8,101
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $8,207
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,101 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 28 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in WNBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in WNBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2d53…eb1abacked Over | 49c | 4,614$2,277 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,277.05 | 45 | 35.6%16 W · 29 L | -4.6wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 56c | 2,341$1,306 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,035.18 | 1,611 | 50.2%809 W · 802 L | +37.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1065…6218backed Under | 50c | 1,349$675 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$674.7 | 38 | 39.5%15 W · 23 L | -3.4wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7cfa…9743backed Over | 51c | 1,347$688 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$688.25 | 21 | 23.8%5 W · 16 L | -2.8wins | -0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -38.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed Under | 49c | 1,000$490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$510 | 135 | 38.5%52 W · 83 L | -5.5wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0249…5b4bbacked Under | 49c | 955$468 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$487.05 | 34 | 58.8%20 W · 14 L | +3.2wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +18%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Under | 51c | 700$357 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$343 | 851 | 58.4%497 W · 354 L | +70.2wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe7c0…24eebacked Over | 51c | 486.64$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$248.19 | 75 | 46.7%35 W · 40 L | -3.8wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Under | 51c | 209.8$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.8 | 785 | 48.8%383 W · 402 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Over | 51c | 178.65$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.11 | 386 | 45.9%177 W · 209 L | -15.6wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbb42…6e09backed Over | 51c | 172.55$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88 | 43 | 51.2%22 W · 21 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Under | 49c | 170$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.7 | 127 | 51.2%65 W · 62 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e65…444cbacked Over | 44c | 136.55$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.58 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Over | 20c | 127$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.66 | 349 | 18.3%64 W · 285 L | -49.5wins | -0.14per pick | 33cpaid | -58.1%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x5b8d…bb92backed Under | 49c | 100$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51 | 73 | 50.7%37 W · 36 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0152…b455backed Under | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 48 | 54.2%26 W · 22 L | +2.2wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x32f1…c96ebacked Over | 52c | 100$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 113 | 49.6%56 W · 57 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee60…6902backed Under | 55c | 100$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 48 | 62.5%30 W · 18 L | +7.0wins | +0.14per pick | 48cpaid | +25.4%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Under | 48c | 88.09$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.81 | 1,765 | 51.7%912 W · 853 L | +53.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6553…7a71backed Over | 51c | 85$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.35 | 327 | 43.7%143 W · 184 L | -23.7wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Over | 34c | 84$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.56 | 610 | 42.5%259 W · 351 L | -31.0wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6707…d4d8backed Under | 50c | 63$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.5 | 57 | 43.9%25 W · 32 L | -7.5wins | -0.13per pick | 57cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4d28…0d64backed Under | 66c | 61$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.74 | 53 | 37.7%20 W · 33 L | -5.4wins | -0.10per pick | 48cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x67bc…3503backed Under | 61c | 44.39$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.31 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7497…18cebacked Under | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 70 | 40%28 W · 42 L | -6.1wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe803…b60ebacked Under | 50c | 38.9$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.45 | 36 | 44.4%16 W · 20 L | -2.0wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd9ae…5310backed Under | 49c | 30.43$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.43 | 98 | 51%50 W · 48 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4676…b720backed Under | 75c | 18.08$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.5 | 40 | 70%28 W · 12 L | +4.3wins | +0.11per pick | 59cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in WNBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Los Angeles Sparks vs. Golden State Valkyries: O/U 172.5this page
- Los Angeles Sparks vs. Golden State ValkyriesGolden State Valkyries won
- Los Angeles Sparks vs. Golden State Valkyries: O/U 171.5Under won
- Los Angeles Sparks vs. Golden State Valkyries: O/U 173.5Under won
- Spread: Golden State Valkyries (-4.5)Golden State Valkyries won
- Spread: Golden State Valkyries (-5.5)Golden State Valkyries won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.