WNBA · resolved market
Spread: Golden State Valkyries (-5.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2342fffd6f2629318e8700d496010094b500a655e5812105850d5911034ef217
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Golden State Valkyriesof Golden State Valkyries, Los Angeles Sparks
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- WNBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $15,129
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $15,018
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $15,129 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 28 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in WNBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in WNBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf658…655ebacked Los Angeles Sparks | 54c | 8,288$4,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,500 | 87 | 62.1%54 W · 33 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Golden State Valkyries | 46c | 3,471$1,597 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,873.99 | 859 | 48.4%416 W · 443 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c3a…a56bbacked Los Angeles Sparks | 52c | 2,093$1,087 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,087.38 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Golden State Valkyries | 46c | 1,913$889 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,023.95 | 1,787 | 51.7%924 W · 863 L | +54.1wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x815f…1eefbacked Golden State Valkyries | 46c | 1,661$764 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$896.78 | 143 | 46.2%66 W · 77 L | -7.3wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Golden State Valkyries | 70c | 1,121$780 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$340.59 | 1,632 | 50.2%819 W · 813 L | +37.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c8e…a316backed Golden State Valkyries | 45c | 1,000$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$550 | 81 | 45.7%37 W · 44 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Golden State Valkyries | 46c | 772.35$356 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$416.38 | 904 | 49.4%447 W · 457 L | +5.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8927…f5c6backed Los Angeles Sparks | 15c | 500$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 131 | 24.4%32 W · 99 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 22cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe7c0…24eebacked Golden State Valkyries | 49c | 500$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255.38 | 75 | 46.7%35 W · 40 L | -3.8wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe65b…271bbacked Golden State Valkyries | 48c | 400$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208 | 103 | 48.5%50 W · 53 L | -6.6wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x889c…e375backed Golden State Valkyries | 50c | 400$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 95 | 54.7%52 W · 43 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed Los Angeles Sparks | 9c | 276.66$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.98 | 122 | 16.4%20 W · 102 L | -4.2wins | -0.03per pick | 20cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc392…595dbacked Los Angeles Sparks | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 119 | 41.2%49 W · 70 L | -12.0wins | -0.10per pick | 51cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Los Angeles Sparks | 32c | 139.79$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.54 | 351 | 18.5%65 W · 286 L | -49.3wins | -0.14per pick | 33cpaid | -57.9%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Golden State Valkyries | 49c | 92.9$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.38 | 390 | 45.9%179 W · 211 L | -15.4wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd738…eeeebacked Los Angeles Sparks | 34c | 86.91$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.35 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Golden State Valkyries | 45c | 81.46$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.8 | 761 | 42.7%325 W · 436 L | -19.3wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x07cd…fbebbacked Los Angeles Sparks | 53c | 75.43$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.98 | 133 | 46.6%62 W · 71 L | -9.0wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x35c9…bc74backed Los Angeles Sparks | 53c | 56.6$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 126 | 51.6%65 W · 61 L | -4.1wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb482…e138backed Los Angeles Sparks | 53c | 39.61$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.99 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8683…56c7backed Los Angeles Sparks | 52c | 38.46$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -1.5wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x10ac…0e0bbacked Golden State Valkyries | 45c | 33.76$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.57 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0576…6232backed Golden State Valkyries | 48c | 33.4$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.37 | 427 | 49.4%211 W · 216 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa64b…e453backed Los Angeles Sparks | 53c | 31.64$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.77 | 15 | 13.3%2 W · 13 L | -5.4wins | -0.36per pick | 49cpaid | -73.3%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x7497…18cebacked Golden State Valkyries | 49c | 30.61$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.61 | 70 | 40%28 W · 42 L | -6.1wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2638…8e2dbacked Golden State Valkyries | 46c | 26.5$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.31 | 49 | 61.2%30 W · 19 L | +4.1wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Golden State Valkyries | 48c | 22.93$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.92 | 712 | 45.4%323 W · 389 L | -19.6wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in WNBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Golden State Valkyries (-5.5)this page
- Los Angeles Sparks vs. Golden State ValkyriesGolden State Valkyries won
- Los Angeles Sparks vs. Golden State Valkyries: O/U 171.5Under won
- Los Angeles Sparks vs. Golden State Valkyries: O/U 172.5Under won
- Los Angeles Sparks vs. Golden State Valkyries: O/U 173.5Under won
- Spread: Golden State Valkyries (-4.5)Golden State Valkyries won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.