CS2 · resolved market
Games Total: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x59f65bd10b6fd5de60b25c164906261bf40b3383a52b935ae71a475350ca3e56
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $38,225
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $42,707
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $38,225 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 77 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x25e4…9d25backed Over | 42c | 5,987$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Under | 59c | 3,295$1,944 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,350.9 | 149 | 34.9%52 W · 97 L | -14.1wins | -0.09per pick | 44cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Under | 59c | 2,500$1,479 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,020.91 | 2,434 | 44.6%1,085 W · 1,349 L | -64.0wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5a64…3c0abacked Over | 41c | 2,397$971 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$970.78 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | +1.7wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +23.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x49ac…2f1ebacked Over | 43c | 2,323$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 277 | 51.6%143 W · 134 L | +4.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f41…5ffcbacked Under | 57c | 1,628$927 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$701.43 | 56 | 58.9%33 W · 23 L | +4.6wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +23.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf95e…53ffbacked Under | 57c | 1,362$778 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$584.2 | 198 | 49.5%98 W · 100 L | +7.7wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Under | 58c | 1,279$741 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$538.38 | 277 | 53.8%149 W · 128 L | +9.4wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6401…f240backed Under | 68c | 1,273$866 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$407.36 | 350 | 54.6%191 W · 159 L | +17.3wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ab…16d0backed Under | 79c | 1,252$992 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$259.86 | 1,365 | 66.3%905 W · 460 L | +76.1wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3a72…0a38backed Over | 1c | 1,200$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 414 | 36.7%152 W · 262 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x66b1…340fbacked Under | 58c | 1,071$616 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$454.96 | 1,157 | 48.2%558 W · 599 L | +3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked Over | 39c | 980.35$382 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$382.34 | 5,050 | 55.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L | +117.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3881…804ebacked Under | 61c | 961.58$586 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$375.16 | 1,496 | 51.5%771 W · 725 L | -7.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4337…8882backed Under | 60c | 555$333 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$222 | 882 | 42.3%373 W · 509 L | -13.0wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc34b…9296backed Over | 39c | 534.74$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208.55 | 2,009 | 53.9%1,082 W · 927 L | +7.6wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x17cd…7423backed Under | 61c | 515.44$314 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201.02 | 462 | 43.3%200 W · 262 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc0c4…8129backed Over | 5c | 511.04$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.2 | 40 | 42.5%17 W · 23 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed Under | 58c | 500.1$290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210.04 | 266 | 50.8%135 W · 131 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x09c1…0ddfbacked Under | 59c | 500$295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205 | 25 | 84%21 W · 4 L | +7.2wins | +0.29per pick | 55cpaid | +65.5%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xe84a…02febacked Under | 59c | 500$295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205 | 50 | 56%28 W · 22 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6376…0d2abacked Under | 60c | 500$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 892 | 48%428 W · 464 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa76e…dcb6backed Under | 60c | 400$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160 | 1,310 | 53.7%703 W · 607 L | +32.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6326…6329backed Over | 5c | 366.27$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.09 | 593 | 43.2%256 W · 337 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6277…5a3fbacked Under | 59c | 336.16$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.16 | 635 | 41.9%266 W · 369 L | +10.2wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd31d…3d13backed Under | 63c | 318.52$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.52 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Over | 19c | 317.35$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.42 | 2,473 | 34.6%855 W · 1,618 L | -188.5wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x455b…e3d7backed Under | 67c | 293.64$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.9 | 53 | 54.7%29 W · 24 L | -2.9wins | -0.06per pick | 60cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Over | 22c | 288.88$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.55 | 2,776 | 37.4%1,038 W · 1,738 L | -140.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2ca6…6a20backed Over | 43c | 269.77$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116 | 474 | 47.5%225 W · 249 L | -12.7wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Over | 33c | 250$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.6 | 3,459 | 29.3%1,012 W · 2,447 L | -279.9wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4d1c…8408backed Under | 59c | 234.8$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.35 | 92 | 47.8%44 W · 48 L | -3.3wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x83ba…2404backed Over | 43c | 232.56$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 218 | 56%122 W · 96 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Over | 10c | 223.31$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.25 | 3,910 | 36.6%1,431 W · 2,479 L | -197.6wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5006…48cabacked Under | 59c | 201.76$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.72 | 91 | 60.4%55 W · 36 L | +8.0wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4f65…a0adbacked Over | 40c | 199.99$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 111 | 50.5%56 W · 55 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Over | 18c | 178.54$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.18 | 1,630 | 43.2%704 W · 926 L | -32.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeef9…8731backed Under | 58c | 162.38$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.2 | 374 | 53.2%199 W · 175 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8833…3ea1backed Over | 40c | 146$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.4 | 118 | 49.2%58 W · 60 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f87…f04ebacked Under | 78c | 145.48$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.17 | 266 | 53.4%142 W · 124 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x36de…4735backed Under | 70c | 142.86$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.86 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.22per pick | 55cpaid | -54%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x71a5…b594backed Over | 40c | 141$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.4 | 179 | 46.4%83 W · 96 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa718…baf1backed Under | 60c | 141$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.4 | 50 | 44%22 W · 28 L | -2.4wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb25…eb12backed Over | 39c | 130.13$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.75 | 500 | 51.4%257 W · 243 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x76f1…f655backed Over | 32c | 125$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.44 | 917 | 43.7%401 W · 516 L | -35.6wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Over | 24c | 122.24$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.92 | 2,468 | 24.6%607 W · 1,861 L | -317.8wins | -0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x2eb9…8d05backed Over | 41c | 119.51$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 146 | 53.4%78 W · 68 L | +5.1wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x67d3…b524backed Over | 43c | 116.28$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +3.3wins | +0.17per pick | 46cpaid | +37.5%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x09b5…fd79backed Over | 41c | 109.76$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -1.8wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -22%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa72d…1daebacked Over | 43c | 100$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43 | 14 | 14.3%2 W · 12 L | -2.6wins | -0.18per pick | 33cpaid | -69.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Under | 59c | 98.38$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.89 | 1,676 | 51.1%857 W · 819 L | +21.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcae3…288bbacked Over | 53c | 93.7$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 69cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ad8…5004backed Over | 42c | 93.62$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.32 | 143 | 44.1%63 W · 80 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Over | 33c | 89.28$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.27 | 1,378 | 45.2%623 W · 755 L | +17.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed12…86f8backed Under | 61c | 69.97$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.49 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +3.7wins | +0.25per pick | 48cpaid | +59.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1e52…91d6backed Over | 34c | 68.53$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.46 | 256 | 34.4%88 W · 168 L | -12.7wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdc7d…8895backed Over | 41c | 60.98$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 224 | 60.7%136 W · 88 L | +10.1wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4e46…8c1cbacked Under | 59c | 60.98$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 236 | 54.7%129 W · 107 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Under | 58c | 60$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.2 | 604 | 51%308 W · 296 L | +8.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e70…081bbacked Under | 67c | 59.56$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.56 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.24per pick | 56cpaid | +36.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8b9d…9b0ebacked Over | 43c | 58.14$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 232 | 34.9%81 W · 151 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x75f3…0e78backed Over | 43c | 58.14$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 285 | 41.1%117 W · 168 L | -12.7wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb6a8…b1f7backed Over | 42c | 52.38$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 119 | 44.5%53 W · 66 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3389…2411backed Over | 43c | 50.86$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.87 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | +1.8wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x332e…0747backed Under | 59c | 50.85$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.85 | 63 | 46%29 W · 34 L | -2.4wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xace6…a13dbacked Over | 41c | 48.78$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 60 | 58.3%35 W · 25 L | +6.6wins | +0.11per pick | 47cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5577…988cbacked Over | 42c | 47.21$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4572…83ffbacked Under | 67c | 46$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.02 | 323 | 48.9%158 W · 165 L | -11.5wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2455…7559backed Over | 43c | 44.19$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 48 | 62.5%30 W · 18 L | +5.1wins | +0.11per pick | 52cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8e28…f043backed Over | 46c | 43.86$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 103 | 50.5%52 W · 51 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6f8f…b302backed Under | 60c | 37.62$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.05 | 113 | 58.4%66 W · 47 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0729…df57backed Over | 42c | 35.58$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.10per pick | 48cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbd1f…fed5backed Under | 60c | 33.33$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.33 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f53…d5abbacked Over | 43c | 30$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.9 | 326 | 49.7%162 W · 164 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4c94…1b47backed Over | 40c | 25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 81 | 60.5%49 W · 32 L | +2.1wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0eba…cb3dbacked Under | 59c | 20.34$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.34 | 170 | 67.6%115 W · 55 L | +14.0wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8d10…940abacked Under | 61c | 19.3$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.53 | 256 | 50.4%129 W · 127 L | -9.3wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Games Total: O/U 2.5this page
- Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs Vitality (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3Vitality won
- Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs Vitality - Map 1 WinnerVitality won
- Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs Vitality - Map 2 WinnerVitality won
- Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Vitality (-3.5) vs BetBoom Team (+3.5)Vitality won
- Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5Under won
- Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Vitality (-3.5) vs BetBoom Team (+3.5)BetBoom Team won
- Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5Over won
- Map Handicap: VIT (-1.5) vs BetBoom Team (+1.5)Vitality won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.