CS2 · resolved market
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Vitality (-3.5) vs BetBoom Team (+3.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3aa95b5dd4223bcc5b5af57ad382bcdd47df36f31cf367e8b9cdc3d4b62ada6e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Vitalityof Vitality, BetBoom Team
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $3,119
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $3,403
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,119 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 13 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked BetBoom Team | 46c | 992.83$457 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$456.7 | 5,050 | 55.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L | +117.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3881…804ebacked Vitality | 53c | 917.16$485 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$431.69 | 1,496 | 51.5%771 W · 725 L | -7.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4337…8882backed Vitality | 54c | 554.97$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255.29 | 882 | 42.3%373 W · 509 L | -13.0wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1bac…d241backed BetBoom Team | 48c | 525.14$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$252.07 | 406 | 39.4%160 W · 246 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x09c1…0ddfbacked Vitality | 53c | 427$226 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.69 | 25 | 84%21 W · 4 L | +7.2wins | +0.29per pick | 55cpaid | +65.5%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Vitality | 54c | 305.63$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.59 | 2,326 | 45.1%1,049 W · 1,277 L | -62.2wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6376…0d2abacked Vitality | 54c | 288.28$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.61 | 892 | 48%428 W · 464 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb25…eb12backed BetBoom Team | 46c | 138.35$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.64 | 500 | 51.4%257 W · 243 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c9e…fbfdbacked Vitality | 54c | 109.26$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.26 | 545 | 43.5%237 W · 308 L | -8.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e52…91d6backed Vitality | 52c | 88$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.24 | 256 | 34.4%88 W · 168 L | -12.7wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x68e9…845cbacked Vitality | 54c | 73.69$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.69 | 302 | 36.8%111 W · 191 L | -12.4wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc263…1e83backed BetBoom Team | 46c | 42.93$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.75 | 347 | 50.7%176 W · 171 L | -7.7wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked Vitality | 52c | 25$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 491 | 49.9%245 W · 246 L | -7.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Vitality (-3.5) vs BetBoom Team (+3.5)this page
- Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs Vitality (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3Vitality won
- Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs Vitality - Map 1 WinnerVitality won
- Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs Vitality - Map 2 WinnerVitality won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5Under won
- Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Vitality (-3.5) vs BetBoom Team (+3.5)BetBoom Team won
- Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5Over won
- Map Handicap: VIT (-1.5) vs BetBoom Team (+1.5)Vitality won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.