Dota2 · resolved market
Game Handicap: YG (-1.5) vs InterActive Philippines (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x58ea7f6172df91acede973f01dae9d0d50cba7fb495845fb1f35b89d9444f492
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- InterActive Philippinesof Yangon Galacticos, InterActive Philippines
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $10,878
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $13,194
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,878 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 25 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe16d…5e30backed Yangon Galacticos | 49c | 4,100$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 1,210 | 57.1%691 W · 519 L | +44.5wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3ea7…7fc0backed InterActive Philippines | 51c | 1,400$714 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$686 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5556…2759backed InterActive Philippines | 52c | 1,143$593 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$550.05 | 292 | 43.2%126 W · 166 L | -14.4wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5006…48cabacked InterActive Philippines | 51c | 1,000$510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$490 | 40 | 50%20 W · 20 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfdd2…0abfbacked InterActive Philippines | 46c | 861.44$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$461.44 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.20per pick | 40cpaid | -56.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ab…16d0backed InterActive Philippines | 60c | 831.99$499 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$333.14 | 430 | 67%288 W · 142 L | +31.9wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe694…0a08backed Yangon Galacticos | 52c | 685$356 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$356.2 | 181 | 52.5%95 W · 86 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b5e…ba7ebacked InterActive Philippines | 48c | 604.33$290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$314.25 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.20per pick | 47cpaid | +50.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea9b…2be5backed InterActive Philippines | 48c | 500$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.17per pick | 54cpaid | +28.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8494…814abacked InterActive Philippines | 51c | 500$255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -1.5wins | -0.12per pick | 35cpaid | -46.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1982…bc7bbacked InterActive Philippines | 45c | 340.48$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.55 | 102 | 44.1%45 W · 57 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked InterActive Philippines | 47c | 299.99$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.41 | 264 | 45.1%119 W · 145 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0193…bad1backed InterActive Philippines | 45c | 222.22$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.22 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.12per pick | 45cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3c27…97c2backed InterActive Philippines | 51c | 161.22$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79 | 28 | 35.7%10 W · 18 L | -1.9wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x764a…83d3backed InterActive Philippines | 51c | 122.45$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 56 | 53.6%30 W · 26 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x24f5…98d2backed InterActive Philippines | 60c | 102.74$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.1 | 43 | 51.2%22 W · 21 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f87…f04ebacked InterActive Philippines | 60c | 94.38$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.75 | 112 | 50.9%57 W · 55 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -13%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3d60…6df2backed InterActive Philippines | 45c | 60$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26d0…566ebacked InterActive Philippines | 60c | 50$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 43 | 53.5%23 W · 20 L | +3.3wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +26.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xabbc…04a3backed InterActive Philippines | 60c | 50$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | +2.2wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7aa7…afb4backed InterActive Philippines | 60c | 43$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.2 | 68 | 57.4%39 W · 29 L | +3.7wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfce8…2686backed InterActive Philippines | 48c | 41.88$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.87 | 145 | 66.2%96 W · 49 L | +4.6wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x097c…630abacked Yangon Galacticos | 48c | 37.5$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.8wins | +0.20per pick | 47cpaid | +40%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9d5b…1578backed Yangon Galacticos | 52c | 33.9$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.63 | 92 | 39.1%36 W · 56 L | -6.7wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed InterActive Philippines | 48c | 25$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13 | 529 | 50.9%269 W · 260 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Game Handicap: YG (-1.5) vs InterActive Philippines (+1.5)this page
- Dota 2: Yangon Galacticos vs InterActive Philippines (BO3) - The International Southeast Asia Closed Qualifier PlayoffsInterActive Philippines won
- Dota 2: Yangon Galacticos vs InterActive Philippines - Game 1 WinnerYangon Galacticos won
- Dota 2: Yangon Galacticos vs InterActive Philippines - Game 2 WinnerInterActive Philippines won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.