CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Aurora Gaming - Map 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbbb5757763008c09db01fb1823739e3ec5559b961fe10f2c85cae09e6aa4dd76
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Aurora Gamingof PARIVISION, Aurora Gaming
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $106,256
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $108,586
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $106,256 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 113 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Aurora Gaming | 75c | 15,213$11,435 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,778 | 3,257 | 50.3%1,638 W · 1,619 L | +98.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf070…ac55backed PARIVISION | 46c | 11,111$5,111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,110.96 | 333 | 43.8%146 W · 187 L | -14.0wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8fbb…9a17backed Aurora Gaming | 54c | 8,252$4,456 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,795.85 | 159 | 47.8%76 W · 83 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda1a…3407backed PARIVISION | 11c | 7,667$815 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$815.01 | 289 | 60.6%175 W · 114 L | +14.1wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcf60…a6f5backed PARIVISION | 5c | 6,578$326 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$326.11 | 500 | 54.4%272 W · 228 L | -9.9wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3763…345fbacked PARIVISION | 49c | 4,899$2,380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,380 | 535 | 45%241 W · 294 L | -11.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c93…33d5backed PARIVISION | 1c | 3,993$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.93 | 484 | 37.6%182 W · 302 L | +13.7wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | +42%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked PARIVISION | 30c | 3,576$1,060 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,059.69 | 1,611 | 45.4%731 W · 880 L | +30.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b9a…a06bbacked PARIVISION | 1c | 3,000$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 696 | 24%167 W · 529 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 24cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d39…6053backed PARIVISION | 26c | 2,204$572 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$571.5 | 887 | 46.7%414 W · 473 L | +8.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3471…f17ebacked PARIVISION | 29c | 2,187$624 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$624.12 | 1,054 | 49%516 W · 538 L | +38.1wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked Aurora Gaming | 67c | 2,165$1,442 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$722.83 | 2,328 | 51.1%1,189 W · 1,139 L | +92.3wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x482d…ba5ebacked Aurora Gaming | 56c | 2,000$1,120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$879.99 | 74 | 41.9%31 W · 43 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe4da…1772backed Aurora Gaming | 54c | 1,500$810 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$689.99 | 537 | 46.2%248 W · 289 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c1b…de56backed PARIVISION | 27c | 1,470$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 104 | 42.3%44 W · 60 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ef…ca6bbacked PARIVISION | 29c | 1,350$393 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$393.08 | 1,513 | 57.2%865 W · 648 L | +65.4wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd4e2…0f82backed PARIVISION | 27c | 1,250$337 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$337.5 | 47 | 34%16 W · 31 L | -3.3wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed Aurora Gaming | 71c | 1,210$856 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$353.68 | 4,228 | 49.2%2,080 W · 2,148 L | +59.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa5a8…bf60backed Aurora Gaming | 60c | 1,062$637 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$424.67 | 988 | 56.1%554 W · 434 L | +21.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Aurora Gaming | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 195 | 43.6%85 W · 110 L | +6.5wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x081e…f76ebacked PARIVISION | 47c | 957.45$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 817 | 51.7%422 W · 395 L | -6.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa6c…a9b3backed Aurora Gaming | 57c | 875.86$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$375.86 | 1,163 | 54.3%631 W · 532 L | -38.8wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9307…9da3backed Aurora Gaming | 79c | 800$634 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166 | 1,008 | 69.3%699 W · 309 L | +152.8wins | +0.15per pick | 54cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 66+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x483a…01d6backed Aurora Gaming | 69c | 719.79$494 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225.85 | 203 | 49.3%100 W · 103 L | -12.9wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed PARIVISION | 22c | 706.98$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.9 | 5,287 | 31.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L | -383.3wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc0cc…c8ddbacked PARIVISION | 2c | 700$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 92 | 16.3%15 W · 77 L | +3.7wins | +0.04per pick | 12cpaid | +33.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0cef…fa91backed Aurora Gaming | 53c | 661.71$351 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$311 | 52 | 51.9%27 W · 25 L | +4.9wins | +0.09per pick | 43cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x634a…6de3backed Aurora Gaming | 55c | 638$351 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$287.1 | 426 | 51.6%220 W · 206 L | -12.3wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed PARIVISION | 40c | 617.83$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 5,830 | 37.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L | +79.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x17fe…b0cabacked PARIVISION | 35c | 572.29$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 158 | 38%60 W · 98 L | -4.8wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc908…2f61backed Aurora Gaming | 70c | 561.8$394 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.8 | 24 | 70.8%17 W · 7 L | +2.5wins | +0.10per pick | 60cpaid | +19%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfe8a…23cebacked Aurora Gaming | 70c | 545.46$380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.55 | 2,214 | 47.5%1,052 W · 1,162 L | -5.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a78…add7backed Aurora Gaming | 70c | 500$348 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.5 | 1,969 | 46.7%919 W · 1,050 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe76d…5a75backed Aurora Gaming | 52c | 500$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240 | 534 | 44.9%240 W · 294 L | +11.2wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2785…ce75backed Aurora Gaming | 73c | 500$365 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135 | 135 | 50.4%68 W · 67 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -11%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8705…edbabacked Aurora Gaming | 54c | 500$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230 | 401 | 40.6%163 W · 238 L | -10.0wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x04db…7703backed PARIVISION | 10c | 499.99$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 416 | 45.9%191 W · 225 L | +22.3wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x180c…cd04backed PARIVISION | 45c | 499.97$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224.99 | 449 | 39.2%176 W · 273 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x80ba…2e78backed PARIVISION | 36c | 474$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.64 | 327 | 32.4%106 W · 221 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6117…2fafbacked Aurora Gaming | 74c | 452.84$337 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.89 | 98 | 56.1%55 W · 43 L | -4.2wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -11%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f9…bb8fbacked Aurora Gaming | 53c | 420$223 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$197.4 | 101 | 38.6%39 W · 62 L | -6.6wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4ec3…34a7backed PARIVISION | 31c | 406$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.72 | 1,109 | 50.5%560 W · 549 L | -3.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked PARIVISION | 23c | 400$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.89 | 1,779 | 59.1%1,052 W · 727 L | +104.8wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x614b…ca37backed PARIVISION | 18c | 380.9$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67 | 119 | 59.7%71 W · 48 L | +7.4wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked Aurora Gaming | 55c | 364.72$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.47 | 5,050 | 55.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L | +117.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad6c…586bbacked PARIVISION | 32c | 362.09$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.87 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +92.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7055…49bbbacked PARIVISION | 22c | 308.94$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67 | 145 | 49.7%72 W · 73 L | +5.3wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa76e…dcb6backed Aurora Gaming | 53c | 300$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141 | 1,310 | 53.7%703 W · 607 L | +32.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9a5…c602backed PARIVISION | 14c | 290.43$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.37 | 332 | 37%123 W · 209 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x82dc…5700backed PARIVISION | 47c | 264.1$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.13 | 870 | 47.9%417 W · 453 L | +15.6wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -14%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb775…36f5backed PARIVISION | 6c | 258.24$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 227 | 57.3%130 W · 97 L | +10.2wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ce…7a7dbacked PARIVISION | 38c | 237.25$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.03 | 1,256 | 46.7%587 W · 669 L | +17.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -16%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7344…98f6backed PARIVISION | 24c | 212.5$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 180 | 43.3%78 W · 102 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0e0…fe90backed PARIVISION | 6c | 210.87$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 24 | 25%6 W · 18 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -36.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc75b…3ea7backed PARIVISION | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 102 | 54.9%56 W · 46 L | +3.7wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5cb4…4576backed Aurora Gaming | 54c | 200.38$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.18 | 82 | 46.3%38 W · 44 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed52…2dbdbacked PARIVISION | 44c | 200$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88 | 135 | 53.3%72 W · 63 L | +7.6wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x32f1…c96ebacked PARIVISION | 44c | 200$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88 | 86 | 64%55 W · 31 L | +3.8wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6281…e326backed PARIVISION | 10c | 199.98$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 99 | 40.4%40 W · 59 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc086…8128backed PARIVISION | 7c | 198.46$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 147 | 48.3%71 W · 76 L | -3.7wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd88…dadbbacked Aurora Gaming | 54c | 190$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.74 | 648 | 52%337 W · 311 L | +10.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b51…9ea6backed PARIVISION | 21c | 187.51$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.94 | 190 | 53.2%101 W · 89 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4411…985ebacked PARIVISION | 27c | 186.3$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 384 | 54.2%208 W · 176 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9851…1320backed Aurora Gaming | 75c | 164.08$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.02 | 128 | 48.4%62 W · 66 L | -11.3wins | -0.09per pick | 57cpaid | -28%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2e62…b22ebacked PARIVISION | 15c | 154.67$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.82 | 228 | 38.6%88 W · 140 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa820…2dcebacked PARIVISION | 13c | 153.85$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 169 | 46.2%78 W · 91 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x45a7…bc63backed PARIVISION | 23c | 152.4$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 88 | 47.7%42 W · 46 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72be…c534backed PARIVISION | 47c | 148.94$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 372 | 32.5%121 W · 251 L | -14.2wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa497…7891backed Aurora Gaming | 76c | 146.85$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.5 | 112 | 59.8%67 W · 45 L | +4.0wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x31a6…0dcfbacked Aurora Gaming | 69c | 144.93$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.93 | 81 | 38.3%31 W · 50 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe80c…f3e6backed Aurora Gaming | 55c | 112.58$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.25 | 419 | 38.9%163 W · 256 L | -8.5wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Aurora Gaming | 73c | 109.3$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.51 | 4,038 | 48.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39fc…e2f2backed PARIVISION | 35c | 105.71$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 193 | 29%56 W · 137 L | -23.4wins | -0.12per pick | 41cpaid | -40.9%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Aurora Gaming | 75c | 102.05$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.51 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed Aurora Gaming | 53c | 100$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47 | 991 | 48.3%479 W · 512 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7cbc…b637backed PARIVISION | 16c | 99.99$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 625 | 38.6%241 W · 384 L | -16.0wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Aurora Gaming | 68c | 92.47$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.79 | 3,910 | 36.6%1,431 W · 2,479 L | -197.6wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x54ac…47e6backed Aurora Gaming | 65c | 90.47$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.5 | 673 | 72.2%486 W · 187 L | +119.1wins | +0.18per pick | 55cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 69+0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x8d43…3f6cbacked Aurora Gaming | 75c | 86.01$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.5 | 174 | 67.8%118 W · 56 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 66cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Aurora Gaming | 72c | 84.62$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.69 | 4,064 | 50.9%2,067 W · 1,997 L | +69.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed PARIVISION | 38c | 81.71$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.73 | 2,102 | 16.8%353 W · 1,749 L | -286.5wins | -0.14per pick | 30cpaid | -47.2%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xe11c…c7f7backed Aurora Gaming | 54c | 78.54$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.13 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | -2.6wins | -0.10per pick | 52cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf91e…7e0bbacked Aurora Gaming | 58c | 74.47$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.63 | 538 | 59.3%319 W · 219 L | +18.2wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Aurora Gaming | 55c | 69.55$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.5 | 2,624 | 51.8%1,359 W · 1,265 L | +18.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ab6…4880backed PARIVISION | 30c | 68.93$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 593 | 54.8%325 W · 268 L | +14.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed Aurora Gaming | 76c | 60.04$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.37 | 1,003 | 55.7%559 W · 444 L | +24.5wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked PARIVISION | 47c | 59.57$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 1,710 | 52.3%895 W · 815 L | -73.4wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf64f…9f48backed PARIVISION | 30c | 57.01$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.01 | 43 | 25.6%11 W · 32 L | -2.2wins | -0.05per pick | 31cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x82a5…674ebacked Aurora Gaming | 76c | 56.04$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.5 | 274 | 52.2%143 W · 131 L | -10.9wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe013…764fbacked PARIVISION | 26c | 54.99$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.34 | 73 | 61.6%45 W · 28 L | +5.9wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf3a6…52d2backed PARIVISION | 21c | 53$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.01 | 79 | 59.5%47 W · 32 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 63cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x41f6…f591backed Aurora Gaming | 52c | 50$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 82 | 36.6%30 W · 52 L | -6.2wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x62f9…ae42backed Aurora Gaming | 69c | 49.28$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.28 | 147 | 51%75 W · 72 L | -7.2wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6c8f…da09backed Aurora Gaming | 67c | 47.81$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.81 | 97 | 56.7%55 W · 42 L | +4.0wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb0f…6906backed PARIVISION | 27c | 47$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.69 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +23.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeecd…4fefbacked PARIVISION | 47c | 43.29$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.34 | 378 | 59.5%225 W · 153 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1073…9b1fbacked Aurora Gaming | 69c | 42.2$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.08 | 74 | 71.6%53 W · 21 L | +4.6wins | +0.06per pick | 65cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3ea7…7fc0backed PARIVISION | 44c | 41.25$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.15 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd62…a229backed Aurora Gaming | 51c | 38.85$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.85 | 128 | 43.8%56 W · 72 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc34b…9296backed Aurora Gaming | 56c | 36.52$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.07 | 2,009 | 53.9%1,082 W · 927 L | +7.6wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Aurora Gaming - Map 1 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Aurora Gaming (BO3) - PGL Astana Group StageAurora Gaming won
- Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Aurora Gaming - Map 2 WinnerAurora Gaming won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- Map Handicap: AUR (-1.5) vs PARIVISION (+1.5)Aurora Gaming won
- Map Handicap: PRV (-1.5) vs Aurora Gaming (+1.5)Aurora Gaming won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.