CS2 · resolved market
Games Total: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6e0f846b4441c12c3eebcdc186c3d9d45b565712943669b1d3a22833cf93b05a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $22,920
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $25,074
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $22,920 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 48 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc68b…f6eebacked Over | 50c | 3,968$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed Under | 54c | 2,326$1,267 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,058.88 | 4,228 | 49.2%2,080 W · 2,148 L | +59.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked Under | 68c | 1,414$954 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$459.47 | 2,328 | 51.1%1,189 W · 1,139 L | +92.3wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe8a…23cebacked Under | 53c | 1,150$609 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$540.74 | 2,214 | 47.5%1,052 W · 1,162 L | -5.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe4da…1772backed Under | 52c | 999.96$520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$479.98 | 537 | 46.2%248 W · 289 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a78…add7backed Under | 50c | 777.12$387 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$390.04 | 1,969 | 46.7%919 W · 1,050 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc63b…6e4ebacked Over | 12c | 657.67$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.94 | 363 | 34.2%124 W · 239 L | -6.4wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Over | 26c | 632$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.31 | 2,776 | 37.4%1,038 W · 1,738 L | -140.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8f76…aea6backed Over | 48c | 625$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 148 | 39.2%58 W · 90 L | -15.4wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xdd88…dadbbacked Over | 48c | 546$262 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$262.08 | 648 | 52%337 W · 311 L | +10.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa664…f849backed Under | 52c | 499.96$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$239.98 | 287 | 38%109 W · 178 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Over | 25c | 480.14$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.04 | 3,096 | 48.5%1,501 W · 1,595 L | +135.0wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2e62…b22ebacked Under | 38c | 322.25$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.67 | 228 | 38.6%88 W · 140 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4337…8882backed Under | 52c | 274.88$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.94 | 882 | 42.3%373 W · 509 L | -13.0wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ab…16d0backed Under | 56c | 274.67$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.83 | 1,365 | 66.3%905 W · 460 L | +76.1wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Under | 40c | 258.9$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.37 | 1,630 | 43.2%704 W · 926 L | -32.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2529…548abacked Under | 62c | 203.66$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.94 | 3,225 | 51.2%1,651 W · 1,574 L | +88.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc74d…9690backed Under | 50c | 200$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101 | 368 | 45.9%169 W · 199 L | +15.8wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1355…a695backed Over | 43c | 200$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85 | 145 | 45.5%66 W · 79 L | +7.3wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x54e0…b02cbacked Under | 40c | 188.99$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.29 | 1,650 | 32.7%540 W · 1,110 L | -49.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed Over | 39c | 166.33$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.18 | 1,547 | 33.9%524 W · 1,023 L | -73.4wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x65c5…2862backed Over | 50c | 160$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 90 | 46.7%42 W · 48 L | -7.6wins | -0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdfc1…818dbacked Over | 48c | 150$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 157 | 47.1%74 W · 83 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked Over | 49c | 111.92$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 1,710 | 52.3%895 W · 815 L | -73.4wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f5…57e2backed Under | 53c | 108.09$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.8 | 331 | 56.5%187 W · 144 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf9e4…24c2backed Over | 48c | 104.17$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 333 | 54.4%181 W · 152 L | +10.7wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 51c | 103.61$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.2 | 3,257 | 50.3%1,638 W · 1,619 L | +98.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x00d4…4c46backed Over | 51c | 100$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 452 | 40.3%182 W · 270 L | +15.1wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Over | 39c | 92$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.78 | 5,287 | 31.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L | -383.3wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1a59…a57ebacked Over | 36c | 83.07$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.2 | 452 | 38.3%173 W · 279 L | -29.4wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Over | 45c | 80$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.88 | 3,910 | 36.6%1,431 W · 2,479 L | -197.6wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf30a…61fbbacked Over | 32c | 80$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.44 | 314 | 40.1%126 W · 188 L | -17.0wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf6c8…a184backed Under | 51c | 67$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.51 | 644 | 39.8%256 W · 388 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd95…52fbbacked Over | 48c | 62.5$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | -3.9wins | -0.20per pick | 47cpaid | -50.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1e42…f22abacked Over | 51c | 56$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.56 | 217 | 41%89 W · 128 L | +5.8wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33d5…7146backed Over | 51c | 50$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.5 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | +4.0wins | +0.17per pick | 42cpaid | +44.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3e6d…2671backed Under | 50c | 42.57$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.21 | 762 | 48.4%369 W · 393 L | +13.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1791…3e87backed Under | 50c | 42.29$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.01 | 399 | 46.4%185 W · 214 L | -12.0wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd468…f6febacked Over | 54c | 37.04$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 460 | 42.8%197 W · 263 L | +16.6wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed Under | 38c | 36$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.23 | 1,304 | 26.5%345 W · 959 L | -89.4wins | -0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9833…1e38backed Over | 48c | 35.42$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 24 | 70.8%17 W · 7 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 67cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf3c8…e340backed Over | 37c | 35$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.95 | 223 | 24.7%55 W · 168 L | -21.2wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -39.5%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb69f…25bdbacked Over | 58c | 34.66$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 134 | 43.3%58 W · 76 L | -6.6wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -18%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed Under | 46c | 33.64$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.17 | 1,003 | 55.7%559 W · 444 L | +24.5wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8858…ed3ebacked Over | 48c | 31.25$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 81 | 46.9%38 W · 43 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x05bc…eabbbacked Over | 38c | 28.26$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.72 | 89 | 43.8%39 W · 50 L | -3.6wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0b3c…a34abacked Over | 54c | 27.78$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 264 | 43.2%114 W · 150 L | -10.3wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x54d7…55c2backed Over | 51c | 20.84$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.56 | 91 | 49.5%45 W · 46 L | -7.8wins | -0.09per pick | 58cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Games Total: O/U 2.5this page
- Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Aurora Gaming (BO3) - PGL Astana Group StageAurora Gaming won
- Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Aurora Gaming - Map 1 WinnerAurora Gaming won
- Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Aurora Gaming - Map 2 WinnerAurora Gaming won
- Map Handicap: AUR (-1.5) vs PARIVISION (+1.5)Aurora Gaming won
- Map Handicap: PRV (-1.5) vs Aurora Gaming (+1.5)Aurora Gaming won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.