Crypto Milestones · resolved market
Will Solana dip to $60 June 1-7?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x03a58ad34f5c36887125081322eba4957423e198a71d4d40062aa34fbaf67a2f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Crypto Milestonesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $87,571
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $81,744
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $87,571 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 33 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Crypto Milestones is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3526…aababacked Yes | 8c | 23,542$1,783 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,783.36 | 54 | 25.9%14 W · 40 L | +8.0wins | +0.15per pick | 11cpaid | +83.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x41ae…51e0backed Yes | 13c | 6,005$769 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$768.5 | 140 | 19.3%27 W · 113 L | +5.4wins | +0.04per pick | 15cpaid | +119.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf023…8e33backed Yes | 11c | 5,503$596 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$595.68 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | +2.0wins | +0.15per pick | 23cpaid | +126%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf69b…0a45backed Yes | 14c | 1,235$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.82 | 99 | 27.3%27 W · 72 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 25cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x41d6…01f9backed Yes | 6c | 1,200$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.2 | 79 | 7.6%6 W · 73 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 6cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84a1…2842backed Yes | 6c | 1,200$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.2 | 148 | 3.4%5 W · 143 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 4cpaid | -56.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x55be…dca3backed No | 80c | 810.73$646 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.98 | 291 | 26.5%77 W · 214 L | -7.5wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee67…67a6backed Yes | 3c | 768.73$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.6 | 292 | 2.1%6 W · 286 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7495…7fcfbacked No | 17c | 748.13$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$622.74 | 212 | 6.6%14 W · 198 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 6cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x640f…fe1dbacked Yes | 16c | 681.89$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5651…66a6backed No | 68c | 630.34$432 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198.62 | 62 | 50%31 W · 31 L | -8.4wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x8ec6…d9edbacked Yes | 14c | 500$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce2d…8b81backed Yes | 7c | 499.99$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.48 | 14 | 7.1%1 W · 13 L | -1.1wins | -0.08per pick | 15cpaid | -79.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7300…e52cbacked Yes | 15c | 468$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.67 | 38 | 23.7%9 W · 29 L | -3.9wins | -0.10per pick | 34cpaid | +30%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 16c | 364.48$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.57 | 1,844 | 4.4%81 W · 1,763 L | -13.1wins | -0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa229…0b73backed Yes | 6c | 339.31$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 10cpaid | -76.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x535f…9667backed Yes | 8c | 305$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.87 | 36 | 0%0 W · 36 L | -1.8wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7e80…631bbacked No | 38c | 252.86$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.08 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7647…9f44backed Yes | 7c | 200$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +116.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x659c…d142backed Yes | 7c | 200$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.2 | 33 | 3%1 W · 32 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 5cpaid | -69.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa951…8a2fbacked No | 79c | 150$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.65 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa280…b987backed Yes | 21c | 124.48$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.86 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.34per pick | 16cpaid | +383.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x41a9…0d8bbacked Yes | 11c | 119.91$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.19 | 36 | 25%9 W · 27 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa5fe…d173backed Yes | 18c | 112.27$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd083…d678backed Yes | 10c | 110$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.22 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2e1f…8fdebacked No | 54c | 100$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.5 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.5wins | -0.17per pick | 39cpaid | -63.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2ab3…07bcbacked Yes | 26c | 53.64$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.08 | 63 | 20.6%13 W · 50 L | +5.5wins | +0.09per pick | 12cpaid | +62.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x34fd…15a0backed No | 64c | 50$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.1 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ae…ac55backed No | 49c | 50$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.55 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.12per pick | 63cpaid | +26.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8674…0d1ebacked No | 54c | 50$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.25 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.08per pick | 35cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf528…7e5bbacked No | 80c | 36.15$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.36 | 29 | 82.8%24 W · 5 L | +2.8wins | +0.10per pick | 73cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdbac…87c5backed No | 68c | 36.15$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.71 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd297…2919backed No | 74c | 16.14$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.27 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 62cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Solana dip to $60 June 1-7?this page
- Will Solana dip to $50 June 1-7?No won
- Will Solana dip to $70 June 1-7?Yes won
- Will Solana reach $150 June 1-7?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.