Lol · resolved market
LoL: Misa Esports vs E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS - Game 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xba02df98c42fcc0ceb2bc6d7c21bc7843db4c6f7cca4d10f24764f0e62794189
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Misa Esportsof Misa Esports, E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $36,565
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $41,737
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $36,565 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 73 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6e71…e570backed Misa Esports | 73c | 4,708$3,437 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,271.15 | 45 | 60%27 W · 18 L | +2.9wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6918…782bbacked E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS | 27c | 3,777$1,015 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,014.54 | 1,501 | 54.5%818 W · 683 L | +34.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x048f…9992backed E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS | 1c | 3,000$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 592 | 0%0 W · 592 L | -7.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6436…da96backed E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS | 9c | 2,407$214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$214.19 | 118 | 54.2%64 W · 54 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x31a4…7afcbacked Misa Esports | 69c | 1,952$1,347 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$605.26 | 878 | 44.2%388 W · 490 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e32…ab65backed E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS | 25c | 1,656$408 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$408.15 | 2,156 | 53.2%1,148 W · 1,008 L | +57.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3818…9797backed E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS | 37c | 1,638$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 579 | 57.9%335 W · 244 L | +25.2wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcfad…fa05backed E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS | 36c | 1,112$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 1,218 | 58.1%708 W · 510 L | +44.2wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Misa Esports | 62c | 1,107$685 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$421.34 | 2,202 | 33.3%733 W · 1,469 L | -72.4wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f03…b1bebacked E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS | 27c | 1,086$293 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$293.18 | 1,132 | 52.5%594 W · 538 L | +7.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a3f…4333backed E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS | 36c | 1,060$377 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$376.92 | 160 | 48.1%77 W · 83 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc387…5a97backed E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS | 31c | 978.51$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 603 | 54.7%330 W · 273 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcdca…66ebbacked Misa Esports | 71c | 901.89$640 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$261.89 | 960 | 57.4%551 W · 409 L | +22.3wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Misa Esports | 68c | 833.96$563 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270.65 | 1,061 | 54.7%580 W · 481 L | +13.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Misa Esports | 78c | 829.67$645 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.47 | 2,938 | 44.5%1,308 W · 1,630 L | -92.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x71cf…10fdbacked Misa Esports | 73c | 800$585 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215 | 34 | 29.4%10 W · 24 L | -5.7wins | -0.17per pick | 46cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS | 11c | 530.2$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.48 | 1,922 | 42.2%811 W · 1,111 L | -45.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa469…0782backed Misa Esports | 72c | 527.87$380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.36 | 1,322 | 53.2%703 W · 619 L | +36.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8144…8472backed Misa Esports | 76c | 500.15$380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.04 | 104 | 43.3%45 W · 59 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed Misa Esports | 73c | 500.1$365 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.03 | 246 | 43.1%106 W · 140 L | -8.8wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x764a…83d3backed Misa Esports | 75c | 500$375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125 | 62 | 40.3%25 W · 37 L | -4.6wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xde41…58bdbacked Misa Esports | 75c | 500$375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125 | 46 | 65.2%30 W · 16 L | +7.7wins | +0.17per pick | 48cpaid | +33.2%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xdfa8…cae6backed E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS | 32c | 500$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.6 | 829 | 53.4%443 W · 386 L | -3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4337…8882backed E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS | 22c | 445.96$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.11 | 1,098 | 34.8%382 W · 716 L | -17.1wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4bb6…50fcbacked Misa Esports | 74c | 443.06$328 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.2 | 53 | 56.6%30 W · 23 L | +4.4wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2a25…8055backed Misa Esports | 78c | 440.96$344 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.01 | 114 | 46.5%53 W · 61 L | -7.1wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS | 25c | 359.07$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.89 | 1,063 | 47.2%502 W · 561 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x14e7…a32cbacked E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS | 22c | 359$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.62 | 353 | 41.9%148 W · 205 L | -11.6wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x16ce…eba1backed E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS | 3c | 355$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.2 | 1,517 | 3.3%50 W · 1,467 L | -53.9wins | -0.04per pick | 7cpaid | -74.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8688…9d8cbacked E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS | 27c | 354.93$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.83 | 160 | 47.5%76 W · 84 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7cba…3ec4backed E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS | 16c | 317.12$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1,545 | 43.7%675 W · 870 L | -18.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2957…b26abacked Misa Esports | 64c | 307.26$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.69 | 137 | 39.4%54 W · 83 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe1f1…3a05backed E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS | 30c | 300$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 152 | 32.2%49 W · 103 L | -6.9wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…b387backed E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS | 31c | 263$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.53 | 647 | 49.5%320 W · 327 L | +3.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf95e…1816backed Misa Esports | 73c | 231.51$169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.51 | 197 | 52.8%104 W · 93 L | +5.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS | 21c | 220$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.2 | 1,318 | 47.3%624 W · 694 L | -31.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -17%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e31…0e6ebacked Misa Esports | 75c | 200.9$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.9 | 238 | 80.3%191 W · 47 L | +16.2wins | +0.07per pick | 73cpaid | +9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb891…969bbacked E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS | 15c | 200$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1,447 | 13.3%192 W · 1,255 L | -109.5wins | -0.08per pick | 21cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Misa Esports | 61c | 176$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.39 | 2,679 | 35.7%957 W · 1,722 L | -153.5wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe881…19abbacked E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS | 27c | 175.26$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.32 | 431 | 4.9%21 W · 410 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 5cpaid | -86.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa718…baf1backed Misa Esports | 73c | 167$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.09 | 85 | 42.4%36 W · 49 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc910…8bbcbacked Misa Esports | 68c | 151.59$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.59 | 19 | 15.8%3 W · 16 L | -4.5wins | -0.24per pick | 39cpaid | -70.3%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xc6f8…7fa1backed Misa Esports | 67c | 149.25$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.25 | 777 | 46.2%359 W · 418 L | +18.8wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…5c4cbacked Misa Esports | 64c | 140.55$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.6 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | +1.6wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0599…3c6abacked Misa Esports | 73c | 139.89$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.77 | 821 | 61%501 W · 320 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Misa Esports | 73c | 139.11$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.45 | 1,826 | 39.9%728 W · 1,098 L | -61.4wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5a07…923fbacked Misa Esports | 74c | 135.47$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.47 | 351 | 64.1%225 W · 126 L | +9.3wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ca0…38babacked Misa Esports | 74c | 135.24$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.24 | 1,443 | 43.4%626 W · 817 L | +105.5wins | +0.07per pick | 36cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS | 16c | 135$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.17 | 3,131 | 33.8%1,058 W · 2,073 L | -150.7wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0580…f78bbacked Misa Esports | 51c | 130.79$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.09 | 77 | 33.8%26 W · 51 L | +3.1wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d21…92e5backed Misa Esports | 76c | 127.57$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.16 | 698 | 41.8%292 W · 406 L | +46.3wins | +0.07per pick | 35cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x31fd…e144backed Misa Esports | 64c | 115.5$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.58 | 78 | 41%32 W · 46 L | -2.8wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x767f…533dbacked E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS | 27c | 111.11$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -2.0wins | -0.18per pick | 36cpaid | -63.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS | 27c | 107$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.89 | 105 | 46.7%49 W · 56 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57b2…9da2backed E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS | 27c | 103.7$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 354 | 43.2%153 W · 201 L | +12.7wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf859…a183backed Misa Esports | 67c | 100$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33 | 1,213 | 52.3%635 W · 578 L | +33.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa14d…45d1backed Misa Esports | 70c | 90$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27 | 135 | 49.6%67 W · 68 L | +5.3wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x969f…cbdcbacked E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS | 31c | 84$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.88 | 180 | 46.1%83 W · 97 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0bd7…8553backed E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS | 29c | 68.87$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 700 | 57.3%401 W · 299 L | +36.7wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdbac…87c5backed Misa Esports | 77c | 64.94$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.94 | 41 | 61%25 W · 16 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 65cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4b1c…8273backed Misa Esports | 78c | 63.76$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.76 | 91 | 64.8%59 W · 32 L | +5.8wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +23.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3e6d…2671backed E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS | 25c | 61.24$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.31 | 1,576 | 48.4%763 W · 813 L | +17.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3d…51b8backed Misa Esports | 64c | 54.69$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.69 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.11per pick | 56cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS | 35c | 48$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.91 | 1,638 | 46.7%765 W · 873 L | -26.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -16%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Misa Esports | 79c | 47.62$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 1,539 | 43.7%673 W · 866 L | -28.0wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x91ac…5ff3backed Misa Esports | 64c | 46.99$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.98 | 305 | 43%131 W · 174 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a02…a770backed E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS | 31c | 43.7$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.55 | 1,372 | 48.6%667 W · 705 L | +57.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5407…5bbdbacked E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS | 27c | 40$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +1.8wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +23.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6748…3c4cbacked E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS | 27c | 40$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 119 | 49.6%59 W · 60 L | -4.8wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Misa Esports | 72c | 39.57$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.08 | 602 | 43.4%261 W · 341 L | -10.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8494…814abacked Misa Esports | 75c | 29.37$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.34 | 78 | 39.7%31 W · 47 L | -5.4wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7a00…d958backed Misa Esports | 73c | 26.3$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.1 | 340 | 56.2%191 W · 149 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0e…4f01backed Misa Esports | 73c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.4 | 376 | 50%188 W · 188 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- LoL: Misa Esports vs E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS - Game 1 Winnerthis page
- Game 1: Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor?No won
- Game Handicap: ME (-1.5) vs E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS (+1.5)Misa Esports won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- LoL: Misa Esports vs E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS (BO3) - EMEA Masters Group AMisa Esports won
- LoL: Misa Esports vs E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS - Game 2 WinnerMisa Esports won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.