Lol · resolved market
Game Handicap: ME (-1.5) vs E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9d2b960c494417a17b9274f7613c927e263784836c32ec1cc7fe85d310cde132
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Misa Esportsof Misa Esports, E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $17,870
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $19,457
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $17,870 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 50 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6918…782bbacked E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS | 47c | 3,384$1,601 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,601.46 | 1,522 | 54.7%832 W · 690 L | +37.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f03…b1bebacked E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS | 46c | 1,908$884 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$884.03 | 1,132 | 52.5%594 W · 538 L | +7.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1316…48a4backed Misa Esports | 51c | 1,657$844 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$813.12 | 474 | 55.3%262 W · 212 L | -10.6wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e32…ab65backed E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS | 43c | 1,543$670 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$670.3 | 2,178 | 53.4%1,164 W · 1,014 L | +61.6wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed Misa Esports | 51c | 1,335$686 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$648.6 | 2,240 | 37.3%836 W · 1,404 L | -31.8wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS | 48c | 1,321$634 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$634.07 | 1,802 | 51.2%923 W · 879 L | +53.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Misa Esports | 55c | 1,083$596 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$487.35 | 1,061 | 54.7%580 W · 481 L | +13.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9a4…8427backed Misa Esports | 52c | 1,051$547 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$504.53 | 185 | 47%87 W · 98 L | -6.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcc99…e947backed Misa Esports | 55c | 1,050$578 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$472.5 | 64 | 34.4%22 W · 42 L | -5.3wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x24d4…4e1dbacked Misa Esports | 54c | 1,034$558 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$475.62 | 271 | 42.4%115 W · 156 L | -15.1wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4bb6…50fcbacked Misa Esports | 56c | 1,000$560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$440 | 53 | 56.6%30 W · 23 L | +4.4wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7dd5…28f2backed Misa Esports | 52c | 1,000$520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480 | 27 | 25.9%7 W · 20 L | -5.7wins | -0.21per pick | 47cpaid | -49.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xd02a…4771backed Misa Esports | 52c | 898.3$471 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$427.3 | 192 | 32.8%63 W · 129 L | -17.2wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa8bd…b7aabacked E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS | 48c | 886.97$426 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$425.92 | 43 | 58.1%25 W · 18 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0b…7aa5backed E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS | 48c | 821.17$397 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$396.99 | 1,635 | 40.2%657 W · 978 L | +48.7wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a3f…4333backed E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS | 47c | 745.12$352 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$351.94 | 160 | 48.1%77 W · 83 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe450…a40abacked E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS | 49c | 714.29$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 122 | 63.1%77 W · 45 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0659…d74dbacked Misa Esports | 52c | 666$346 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$319.68 | 785 | 49.9%392 W · 393 L | +12.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Misa Esports | 53c | 590.99$313 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$277.85 | 2,521 | 47.3%1,193 W · 1,328 L | -34.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c16…bac6backed Misa Esports | 53c | 545$289 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$256.15 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6da3…95a0backed Misa Esports | 53c | 538$285 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$252.86 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x242c…286dbacked Misa Esports | 52c | 500$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6376…0d2abacked Misa Esports | 59c | 500$295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205 | 283 | 41%116 W · 167 L | -13.6wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6436…da96backed E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS | 50c | 500$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 118 | 54.2%64 W · 54 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e54…511ebacked Misa Esports | 50c | 500$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250 | 420 | 42.4%178 W · 242 L | -9.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Misa Esports | 52c | 488.34$254 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234.4 | 2,540 | 39.7%1,009 W · 1,531 L | -79.3wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x47c6…2fe4backed Misa Esports | 52c | 380$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182.4 | 566 | 50%283 W · 283 L | -14.5wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS | 48c | 370.99$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.08 | 105 | 46.7%49 W · 56 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1de6…0b70backed Misa Esports | 52c | 300$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144 | 38 | 55.3%21 W · 17 L | +5.4wins | +0.14per pick | 41cpaid | +32.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe1f1…3a05backed E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS | 48c | 299.62$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.82 | 153 | 32%49 W · 104 L | -7.2wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x783f…c3e7backed Misa Esports | 53c | 269.17$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.51 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfa4e…5973backed Misa Esports | 52c | 199.61$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.61 | 557 | 44%245 W · 312 L | -17.4wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8e34…4480backed Misa Esports | 55c | 182.63$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.18 | 413 | 43.8%181 W · 232 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb42…6e09backed E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS | 50c | 176$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88 | 205 | 51.7%106 W · 99 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc754…4b1dbacked Misa Esports | 52c | 150.24$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.03 | 248 | 36.7%91 W · 157 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbbb4…0060backed E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS | 48c | 100$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 227 | 48.9%111 W · 116 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf69…4fa2backed E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS | 48c | 99.98$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.99 | 761 | 29%221 W · 540 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8557…6f88backed Misa Esports | 61c | 81.97$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.97 | 423 | 48.2%204 W · 219 L | +7.3wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7029…1136backed Misa Esports | 55c | 61.1$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.49 | 166 | 45.8%76 W · 90 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xccec…1dfcbacked Misa Esports | 69c | 58.92$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.18 | 59 | 37.3%22 W · 37 L | -5.5wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe50b…c2a8backed Misa Esports | 57c | 50$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.5 | 360 | 48.9%176 W · 184 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e7…bf64backed Misa Esports | 52c | 47$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.56 | 1,182 | 44.8%530 W · 652 L | +11.6wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e6d…2671backed E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS | 45c | 39.27$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.67 | 1,577 | 48.4%764 W · 813 L | +17.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbef9…d257backed Misa Esports | 52c | 30$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.4 | 167 | 53.3%89 W · 78 L | -4.4wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6748…3c4cbacked E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS | 46c | 30$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.8 | 119 | 49.6%59 W · 60 L | -4.8wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS | 45c | 29.99$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 751 | 50.7%381 W · 370 L | +3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd7b7…3852backed E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS | 50c | 23.58$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.79 | 52 | 65.4%34 W · 18 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 64cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6cda…81d4backed Misa Esports | 63c | 20.58$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.7 | 65 | 73.8%48 W · 17 L | +5.4wins | +0.08per pick | 66cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2da3…f258backed E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1,004 | 54.5%547 W · 457 L | +49.8wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf836…e7b5backed Misa Esports | 52c | 19.81$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.51 | 193 | 51.3%99 W · 94 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Game Handicap: ME (-1.5) vs E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS (+1.5)this page
- Game 1: Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor?No won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- LoL: Misa Esports vs E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS (BO3) - EMEA Masters Group AMisa Esports won
- LoL: Misa Esports vs E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS - Game 1 WinnerMisa Esports won
- LoL: Misa Esports vs E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS - Game 2 WinnerMisa Esports won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.