Valorant · resolved market
Valorant: Eintracht Frankfurt vs CGN Esports (BO3) - VCL DACH: Evolution Playoffs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x55946c3effeffddd39439a60626f0e9aa10e2967cfcc5e74c492a9e768f8dad4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- CGN Esportsof Eintracht Frankfurt, CGN Esports
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $11,480
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $12,379
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,480 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 17 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Valorant | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf588…2b81backed CGN Esports | 77c | 1,850$1,418 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$431.55 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | +2.9wins | +0.14per pick | 51cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf6f9…bff5backed Eintracht Frankfurt | 22c | 1,609$357 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$356.76 | 74 | 56.8%42 W · 32 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16d5…2324backed Eintracht Frankfurt | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc983…ebf0backed CGN Esports | 73c | 905$665 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240.05 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d91…bb2abacked Eintracht Frankfurt | 63c | 268.48$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170 | 76 | 59.2%45 W · 31 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x211d…3ab7backed Eintracht Frankfurt | 58c | 245.17$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c55…84cebacked CGN Esports | 42c | 100$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58 | 150 | 42%63 W · 87 L | -4.4wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa052…ad61backed CGN Esports | 41c | 97.56$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.56 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +22%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xffaf…e1babacked CGN Esports | 17c | 95.79$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.09 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.83per pick | 17cpaid | +473.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc579…57bfbacked CGN Esports | 63c | 94.74$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.74 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -1.8wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Eintracht Frankfurt | 20c | 82.38$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.83 | 1,746 | 46.2%806 W · 940 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x368d…d853backed CGN Esports | 34c | 80$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.8 | 144 | 47.2%68 W · 76 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbed0…3c7dbacked CGN Esports | 61c | 47.36$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.36 | 30 | 60%18 W · 12 L | +1.6wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb27…8be8backed Eintracht Frankfurt | 74c | 34.49$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.61 | 147 | 57.8%85 W · 62 L | +13.3wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5e0e…8763backed Eintracht Frankfurt | 76c | 30$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.8 | 110 | 56.4%62 W · 48 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Eintracht Frankfurt | 45c | 24.02$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.87 | 174 | 63.8%111 W · 63 L | +7.2wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6afa…cc0dbacked Eintracht Frankfurt | 53c | 19$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.07 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.