TailMyPicks

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Valorant · resolved market

Valorant: Nongshim RedForce vs G2 Esports - Map 2 Winner

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Nongshim RedForceof Nongshim RedForce, G2 Esports
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$99,128

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $99,128 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 89 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Valorant
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x8d36…68fdbacked Nongshim RedForce50c29,875$15,003 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14,871.611181.8%9 W · 2 L+3.1wins+0.28per pick54cpaid+51.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xc65c…ea39backed G2 Esports50c23,741$11,870 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,870.2634356.9%195 W · 148 L+23.0wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+16%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked G2 Esports50c14,205$7,102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,102.3119046.3%88 W · 102 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+26.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xee8e…0a7bbacked Nongshim RedForce50c7,451$3,699 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,751.5878162%484 W · 297 L+16.8wins+0.02per pick60cpaid+4.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x53e7…4704backed Nongshim RedForce64c7,049$4,523 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,526.592035%7 W · 13 L-1.7wins-0.08per pick43cpaid-21.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x11e5…337ebacked G2 Esports51c5,000$2,550 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,5505642.9%24 W · 32 L-5.0wins-0.09per pick52cpaid-20.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xa4d4…4eb5backed G2 Esports25c3,895$960 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$960.4630%0 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7a46…ab25backed G2 Esports35c3,103$1,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,100.372951.7%15 W · 14 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-13.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3471…f17ebacked G2 Esports42c2,150$903 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$902.565559.4%389 W · 266 L+50.5wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+6.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xf801…901cbacked G2 Esports39c1,859$725 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$724.9920%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked G2 Esports41c1,677$690 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$690.0688844.4%394 W · 494 L+0.5wins0.00per pick44cpaid-15%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8e3f…6941backed Nongshim RedForce49c1,502$739 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$763.3326051.9%135 W · 125 L+10.5wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+8.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7a14…d748backed Nongshim RedForce50c1,500$749 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$750.787456.8%42 W · 32 L+3.2wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+2.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x338c…1b33backed Nongshim RedForce50c1,302$650 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$651.9910956%61 W · 48 L+7.4wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+13.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x2560…0b02backed Nongshim RedForce50c1,277$639 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$638.58751.7%45 W · 42 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-6.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xec98…afcdbacked G2 Esports48c1,156$555 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$554.6668458.3%399 W · 285 L+56.5wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+6.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x5e38…de0fbacked G2 Esports53c1,035$545 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$544.863060%18 W · 12 L+1.4wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+1.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x96bc…7fb4backed G2 Esports50c1,000$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50016142.9%69 W · 92 L-4.4wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-5.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x182d…73e9backed Nongshim RedForce50c1,000$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50039042.6%166 W · 224 L+19.3wins+0.05per pick38cpaid+14.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x5623…6930backed G2 Esports51c999.99$510 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$509.994637%17 W · 29 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-15.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbc67…5286backed G2 Esports36c950$342 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34233759.6%201 W · 136 L+18.9wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+5.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x1e7c…cbaabacked G2 Esports51c917.47$468 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$467.913941%16 W · 23 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-9.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2d39…6053backed G2 Esports45c914.25$416 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$415.8453159.1%314 W · 217 L+41.6wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+7.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xec0e…672cbacked G2 Esports19c679$131 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$131.343129%9 W · 22 L-3.0wins-0.10per pick39cpaid-35.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xfdc0…4b85backed G2 Esports25c671.55$169 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$168.8293148.1%448 W · 483 L-11.0wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-8.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4b82…a340backed G2 Esports18c671.18$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1202642.3%11 W · 15 L+2.0wins+0.08per pick34cpaid+21.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed G2 Esports46c648.8$299 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$298.711,74646.2%806 W · 940 L-3.2wins0.00per pick46cpaid-15.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9031…5265backed Nongshim RedForce50c644.86$322 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$322.7310661.3%65 W · 41 L+5.1wins+0.05per pick56cpaid+7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0563…340dbacked Nongshim RedForce59c585.41$345 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$240.022060%12 W · 8 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick61cpaid-8.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4ecf…d57dbacked Nongshim RedForce49c552.95$271 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$282.344755.3%26 W · 21 L+4.7wins+0.10per pick45cpaid+16.1%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x5085…9bbcbacked Nongshim RedForce61c525.11$320 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$205.111764.7%11 W · 6 L+1.9wins+0.11per pick53cpaid+23.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x9c4b…8a81backed Nongshim RedForce51c500$255 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24562156.4%350 W · 271 L+13.0wins+0.02per pick54cpaid-0.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd3fa…a26cbacked Nongshim RedForce48c500$240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2601060%6 W · 4 L+1.2wins+0.12per pick48cpaid+14.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x13c7…11d9backed Nongshim RedForce50c500$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$250.0415553.5%83 W · 72 L+9.0wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+11.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked G2 Esports38c436.14$167 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$166.5319248.4%93 W · 99 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-13.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4713…4d21backed G2 Esports33c433$143 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$142.7181134.9%283 W · 528 L-60.9wins-0.08per pick42cpaid-34.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xb6ac…6b83backed Nongshim RedForce51c429.75$218 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$211.752846.4%13 W · 15 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+3.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed G2 Esports51c394.02$201 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200.9570251.3%360 W · 342 L+7.5wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-5.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe132…abf3backed G2 Esports52c357$185 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$185.169952.5%52 W · 47 L+1.6wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc8ad…be4ebacked G2 Esports52c300$156 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$155.9121055.2%116 W · 94 L+10.0wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+17.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc8f9…fee2backed Nongshim RedForce50c290.9$144 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$146.928247.5%134 W · 148 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc8d3…c0d1backed Nongshim RedForce67c288.42$192 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.0521859.2%129 W · 89 L+14.4wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+14.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x4031…92c8backed Nongshim RedForce49c284.08$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$144.0814645.2%66 W · 80 L-4.9wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-14%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4687…8d42backed Nongshim RedForce67c224.51$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.513852.6%20 W · 18 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x9589…5b36backed G2 Esports50c220$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.1wins-0.14per pick51cpaid-24.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xfecb…19babacked Nongshim RedForce49c204.68$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.391233.3%4 W · 8 L-2.1wins-0.17per pick51cpaid-38.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xe2c3…16ccbacked Nongshim RedForce49c203$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1038343.4%36 W · 47 L-0.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid-10.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbf99…9840backed Nongshim RedForce50c200$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10018049.4%89 W · 91 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick50cpaid+0.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked G2 Esports28c189.02$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.161,37647.1%648 W · 728 L+10.6wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-6.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb1d1…e8acbacked G2 Esports37c175.07$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.521233.3%4 W · 8 L-1.2wins-0.10per pick43cpaid-27.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf05d…ac5ebacked Nongshim RedForce50c174.85$87 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87.43540%2 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.11per pick51cpaid-26.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdc5a…bf71backed G2 Esports48c166.99$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.7914652.1%76 W · 70 L+6.4wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+1.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8fc2…64d1backed G2 Esports34c152.92$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.994845.8%22 W · 26 L+1.6wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed G2 Esports52c150$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$782339.1%9 W · 14 L-3.1wins-0.13per pick53cpaid-24.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xb04f…5822backed Nongshim RedForce50c143.04$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.521353.8%7 W · 6 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0e4c…58cebacked G2 Esports51c137.25$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$701866.7%12 W · 6 L-0.1wins0.00per pick67cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x36f2…4ca4backed Nongshim RedForce80c125$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$253284.4%27 W · 5 L+7.5wins+0.23per pick61cpaid+43.3%equal weight65+0.13 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed G2 Esports15c124$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.3223146.8%108 W · 123 L+3.6wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-10.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xbf69…4fa2backed G2 Esports42c121.28$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$512425%6 W · 18 L-2.4wins-0.10per pick35cpaid-33.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa559…6dbbbacked Nongshim RedForce73c120.08$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.829062.2%56 W · 34 L+7.5wins+0.08per pick54cpaid+4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x364f…3d80backed G2 Esports10c108.75$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1110%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x11b4…7e7bbacked G2 Esports15c100$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$153351.5%17 W · 16 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-10.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7f65…d822backed Nongshim RedForce49c81.63$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.638451.2%43 W · 41 L+2.6wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+11.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0128…d18abacked G2 Esports33c70$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.88151.9%42 W · 39 L+2.7wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+12.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6b4e…e44abacked G2 Esports51c70$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.6560%3 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+7.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2ecb…7645backed G2 Esports17c68.78$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.5931634.2%108 W · 208 L-18.8wins-0.06per pick40cpaid-31.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x344b…f7fcbacked Nongshim RedForce53c61$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.629042.2%38 W · 52 L-4.2wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-20.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x795f…1871backed Nongshim RedForce50c60$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$303351.5%17 W · 16 L+2.5wins+0.08per pick44cpaid+24.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3383…b7debacked G2 Esports35c57.14$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick41cpaid-25.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x60ae…31dfbacked G2 Esports28c53.57$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15616.7%1 W · 5 L-0.4wins-0.06per pick23cpaid-75.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x451e…9ecfbacked G2 Esports39c51.28$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20812.5%1 W · 7 L-2.1wins-0.26per pick38cpaid-59.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x96f1…b6d8backed G2 Esports44c50$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2214661.6%90 W · 56 L+4.6wins+0.03per pick59cpaid+2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7215…7cb0backed Nongshim RedForce50c50$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$254774.5%35 W · 12 L+9.3wins+0.20per pick55cpaid+37.9%equal weight64+0.13 edge/pick
0x317f…3a7abacked G2 Esports28c39.52$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1114747.6%70 W · 77 L+2.5wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xf0b0…8cabbacked Nongshim RedForce72c39.17$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.814963.3%31 W · 18 L+4.3wins+0.09per pick54cpaid+5.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x8d51…7317backed G2 Esports52c32.78$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.15per pick49cpaid-10.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0e53…5c9dbacked Nongshim RedForce71c31.87$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.246671.2%47 W · 19 L+3.1wins+0.05per pick67cpaid+8.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3d12…37d5backed G2 Esports51c29.41$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$152369.6%16 W · 7 L+5.1wins+0.22per pick47cpaid+60.1%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0xe76a…8e00backed G2 Esports51c29.39$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.99944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-13.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf4f8…5bf1backed Nongshim RedForce42c29$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.8266438.1%253 W · 411 L-31.8wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-21.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x21d3…6c27backed Nongshim RedForce50c28.66$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.332759.3%16 W · 11 L-0.9wins-0.03per pick62cpaid-2.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf39a…fe47backed G2 Esports41c25.99$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.7463652.7%335 W · 301 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-4.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x26fb…67b8backed Nongshim RedForce50c22.18$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.098066.3%53 W · 27 L+8.5wins+0.11per pick56cpaid+20%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xf026…8df7backed Nongshim RedForce54c22$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.224932.7%16 W · 33 L-6.8wins-0.14per pick46cpaid-42.3%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x8f40…5401backed G2 Esports50c22$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11520%1 W · 4 L-1.3wins-0.27per pick47cpaid-59.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc20d…8306backed Nongshim RedForce50c20.74$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.371566.7%10 W · 5 L+2.2wins+0.15per pick52cpaid+24.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x98d0…01a4backed Nongshim RedForce52c20.4$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.7918056.7%102 W · 78 L+5.8wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x133a…f9d1backed Nongshim RedForce50c20$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1010749.5%53 W · 54 L+0.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x58cd…2e75backed Nongshim RedForce50c20$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+86.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.