Valorant · resolved market
Map Handicap: G2 (-1.5) vs Nongshim RedForce (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7443e6305c123c7b93cb864150d8d8ea988f7f72c7b6cb19658b2e81a1a538cf
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Nongshim RedForceof G2 Esports, Nongshim RedForce
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $5,297
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,297 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 49 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Valorant | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x206c…5851backed G2 Esports | 25c | 428$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbbc…ed86backed Nongshim RedForce | 76c | 421$318 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.1 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +32.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4614…cb50backed G2 Esports | 25c | 364$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe590…9c62backed G2 Esports | 25c | 344$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x76df…9cecbacked Nongshim RedForce | 76c | 263$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.12 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfed7…676abacked G2 Esports | 24c | 261$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.64 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d33…7043backed Nongshim RedForce | 75c | 260$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe1d2…f9b0backed G2 Esports | 24c | 254$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.96 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x129e…49bcbacked Nongshim RedForce | 76c | 252$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.48 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2c6…2de1backed Nongshim RedForce | 76c | 247$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.28 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4fd8…df18backed Nongshim RedForce | 76c | 244$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.56 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x881c…f1e5backed Nongshim RedForce | 75c | 234$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7345…80fbbacked G2 Esports | 24c | 230$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe7f7…7242backed G2 Esports | 25c | 224$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.42 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfca6…f62ebacked Nongshim RedForce | 75c | 218$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3cfb…9efabacked Nongshim RedForce | 76c | 216$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.84 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8160…ef11backed G2 Esports | 24c | 213$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ff8…c4b7backed G2 Esports | 24c | 213$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7715…654fbacked G2 Esports | 25c | 201$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e03…9012backed G2 Esports | 25c | 201$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x968e…f405backed Nongshim RedForce | 75c | 194$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0e1…c0cabacked Nongshim RedForce | 76c | 193$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.32 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x22ac…055ebacked G2 Esports | 25c | 192$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8423…1b3bbacked Nongshim RedForce | 76c | 190$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…9598backed Nongshim RedForce | 75c | 186$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x160d…8a23backed Nongshim RedForce | 75c | 182$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe354…91bdbacked Nongshim RedForce | 76c | 172$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.28 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58ce…3e30backed G2 Esports | 24c | 172$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.76 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x796f…44d1backed Nongshim RedForce | 76c | 169$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.56 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfdb…8368backed Nongshim RedForce | 75c | 158$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbeaf…75fdbacked G2 Esports | 25c | 157$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b88…aebebacked Nongshim RedForce | 75c | 155$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.75 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c5f…d7a0backed G2 Esports | 25c | 150$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2223…e9e0backed Nongshim RedForce | 75c | 149$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.25 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb2…4aa7backed Nongshim RedForce | 75c | 149$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.25 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57ed…15c1backed Nongshim RedForce | 75c | 147$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.75 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f06…0759backed G2 Esports | 24c | 145$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.28 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd9c…e9f4backed G2 Esports | 24c | 145$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1974…73dcbacked Nongshim RedForce | 76c | 144$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.56 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +41.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e38…6379backed Nongshim RedForce | 75c | 142$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21e8…6e62backed G2 Esports | 24c | 138$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f2c…be7dbacked Nongshim RedForce | 75c | 137$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.25 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c2f…e57cbacked G2 Esports | 25c | 135$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.75 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x985f…d273backed G2 Esports | 24c | 124$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.76 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6bb9…0bc4backed G2 Esports | 25c | 123$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.75 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9acc…f541backed G2 Esports | 24c | 105$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.2 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3878…bed8backed G2 Esports | 24c | 103$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.72 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea0c…dd69backed G2 Esports | 24c | 102$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.48 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc59c…0268backed G2 Esports | 24c | 101$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.24 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Map Handicap: G2 (-1.5) vs Nongshim RedForce (+1.5)this page
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
- Valorant: Nongshim RedForce vs G2 Esports (BO3) - VCT Masters Santiago PlayoffsNongshim RedForce won
- Valorant: Nongshim RedForce vs G2 Esports - Map 1 WinnerG2 Esports won
- Valorant: Nongshim RedForce vs G2 Esports - Map 2 WinnerNongshim RedForce won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.