Tennis · resolved market
Antalya 2: Despina Papamichail vs Maja Chwalinska
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe587642f3f0f37723449013bdc0a717e35c9a1e4733d1fb675d893fd84371df0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Maja Chwalinskaof Despina Papamichail, Maja Chwalinska
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $21,927
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $21,927 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 29 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9d8a…5201backed Despina Papamichail | 21c | 2,648$546 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$545.68 | 1,421 | 28.6%407 W · 1,014 L | +4.5wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xecfa…3c6fbacked Despina Papamichail | 17c | 1,300$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216 | 469 | 32%150 W · 319 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa1a9…e22ebacked Despina Papamichail | 19c | 1,177$226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225.95 | 1,284 | 39.2%503 W · 781 L | -12.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97a0…da35backed Despina Papamichail | 13c | 769.23$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 479 | 46.3%222 W · 257 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a73…a9c8backed Despina Papamichail | 15c | 636.13$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.42 | 625 | 34.4%215 W · 410 L | -20.1wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9694…b7adbacked Despina Papamichail | 20c | 500$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.88 | 2,058 | 59.5%1,225 W · 833 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9ccc…e7e8backed Despina Papamichail | 18c | 499.99$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 265 | 41.9%111 W · 154 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe649…4e37backed Despina Papamichail | 18c | 477.03$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.85 | 1,414 | 41.1%581 W · 833 L | -21.3wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x391d…def1backed Despina Papamichail | 17c | 470.13$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.75 | 254 | 33.5%85 W · 169 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Despina Papamichail | 13c | 390.95$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.23 | 7,816 | 50.6%3,958 W · 3,858 L | +95.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Despina Papamichail | 4c | 380.17$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.06 | 2,426 | 47.3%1,148 W · 1,278 L | +45.2wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe54d…fdecbacked Despina Papamichail | 8c | 341$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.69 | 465 | 51.2%238 W · 227 L | -23.3wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7cc4…b0b5backed Despina Papamichail | 12c | 284.62$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 20 | 10%2 W · 18 L | -2.6wins | -0.13per pick | 23cpaid | -50.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1f3f…5878backed Despina Papamichail | 16c | 242.15$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.74 | 277 | 33.6%93 W · 184 L | +9.9wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa6be…b977backed Despina Papamichail | 20c | 201.05$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.18 | 1,768 | 43.2%764 W · 1,004 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Despina Papamichail | 20c | 200$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 1,489 | 32.6%486 W · 1,003 L | +22.2wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9edc…b088backed Despina Papamichail | 19c | 200$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 284 | 24.3%69 W · 215 L | -7.9wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x70ac…0c7dbacked Despina Papamichail | 14c | 195.99$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.81 | 2,537 | 53.6%1,361 W · 1,176 L | +61.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x035b…3ca0backed Maja Chwalinska | 79c | 138$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.98 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | -1.9wins | -0.10per pick | 62cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5f41…5c9fbacked Despina Papamichail | 19c | 130.73$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.84 | 158 | 48.7%77 W · 81 L | +7.1wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x31dd…7159backed Despina Papamichail | 17c | 121.14$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 903 | 40.2%363 W · 540 L | +4.3wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Despina Papamichail | 15c | 115$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.55 | 6,439 | 54.4%3,502 W · 2,937 L | +285.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Despina Papamichail | 12c | 96.2$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.52 | 6,786 | 48.8%3,310 W · 3,476 L | +56.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Despina Papamichail | 16c | 90.36$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.46 | 1,245 | 33.9%422 W · 823 L | -5.6wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Despina Papamichail | 16c | 84.3$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.75 | 1,809 | 43.8%793 W · 1,016 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Despina Papamichail | 18c | 57.19$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.09 | 1,973 | 46.3%914 W · 1,059 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Despina Papamichail | 21c | 51$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.71 | 1,265 | 29.2%370 W · 895 L | -13.3wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e6a…d38abacked Despina Papamichail | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +1.7wins | +0.15per pick | 57cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf2a2…d591backed Maja Chwalinska | 80c | 25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 24 | 66.7%16 W · 8 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 71cpaid | -9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.