TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Ncaa Basketball · resolved market

Cal State Fullerton Titans vs. CSUN Matadors

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Cal State Fullerton Titansof Cal State Fullerton Titans, CSUN Matadors
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$23,568

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $23,568 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 61 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xac4d…8e7ebacked Cal State Fullerton Titans31c3,751$1,163 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,587.935947.5%28 W · 31 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed CSUN Matadors69c2,857$1,971 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,971.391,44643.4%627 W · 819 L+10.6wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-4.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed CSUN Matadors59c2,602$1,545 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,545.482,01250%1,006 W · 1,006 L+22.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcdb8…abbebacked Cal State Fullerton Titans29c1,783$514 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,268.271,98326.4%523 W · 1,460 L-55.5wins-0.03per pick29cpaid-12%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Cal State Fullerton Titans39c1,575$613 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$962.595,94649.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L+163.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-0.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0e1b…ecafbacked CSUN Matadors66c1,433$949 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$948.7426945.7%123 W · 146 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-12.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf41a…ea2bbacked CSUN Matadors69c1,111$766 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$766.392,68748.5%1,303 W · 1,384 L+4.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Cal State Fullerton Titans52c1,104$577 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$526.963,90558.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L+165.3wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+4.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed CSUN Matadors68c1,071$723 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$723.313,38049.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L+30.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-9.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe278…b608backed Cal State Fullerton Titans31c999.99$310 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$689.9921549.3%106 W · 109 L+3.7wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1624…bf63backed CSUN Matadors61c971.95$589 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$588.621,07443.3%465 W · 609 L+20.0wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-11.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Cal State Fullerton Titans37c937.45$344 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$593.374,38240.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L+23.7wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-6.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xecfa…3c6fbacked Cal State Fullerton Titans31c824.06$258 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$565.8455532.8%182 W · 373 L+15.5wins+0.03per pick30cpaid+7.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa1a9…e22ebacked CSUN Matadors66c802.18$532 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$532.0837441.7%156 W · 218 L+4.6wins+0.01per pick40cpaid+4.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Cal State Fullerton Titans39c696.94$272 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$424.721,54041.3%636 W · 904 L+4.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-16.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4bf2…d280backed CSUN Matadors69c575.37$397 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$397.0125544.3%113 W · 142 L-7.4wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-9.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1250…8f99backed CSUN Matadors51c485.91$248 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$247.8112045.8%55 W · 65 L-8.3wins-0.07per pick53cpaid-12%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked CSUN Matadors67c484.22$324 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$324.434,84852.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L+139.2wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6e12…20e9backed CSUN Matadors69c474.68$328 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$327.534245.2%19 W · 23 L-1.2wins-0.03per pick48cpaid+0.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked CSUN Matadors69c462.51$319 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$319.131,43647.5%682 W · 754 L-18.2wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf588…2b81backed CSUN Matadors57c457.94$263 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$263.312,12450.4%1,070 W · 1,054 L+40.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+0.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc7e5…2d3abacked Cal State Fullerton Titans34c440.58$149 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$291.7525130.7%77 W · 174 L-3.7wins-0.01per pick32cpaid-16.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x236b…26b7backed Cal State Fullerton Titans34c418.69$142 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$276.6625837.6%97 W · 161 L-5.9wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-5.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked Cal State Fullerton Titans42c414.11$174 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$240.2977142.3%326 W · 445 L+2.1wins0.00per pick42cpaid-17%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd727…eccebacked Cal State Fullerton Titans33c397.98$131 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$266.651,31733.6%443 W · 874 L+14.9wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked CSUN Matadors68c350.4$238 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$238.2712,42249.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L+118.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed CSUN Matadors68c320.78$218 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$218.322,55541.6%1,062 W · 1,493 L-15.9wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-20.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3010…a27cbacked Cal State Fullerton Titans37c236.79$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$149.1814021.4%30 W · 110 L-2.4wins-0.02per pick23cpaid-1.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x450b…11d7backed CSUN Matadors68c218.91$149 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$148.861,25150.6%633 W · 618 L+12.9wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Cal State Fullerton Titans31c218.35$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$150.665,55347.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L+26.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-3.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xd610…4c9abacked Cal State Fullerton Titans32c198.58$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$135.222,19433.4%733 W · 1,461 L+19.2wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0e40…cf85backed Cal State Fullerton Titans33c181.81$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$121.8121937.4%82 W · 137 L-10.4wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-10%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed CSUN Matadors53c180.66$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.61,49348.7%727 W · 766 L-1.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid-19.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9d70…fdd9backed CSUN Matadors58c164.98$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.5193247.3%441 W · 491 L-22.6wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-12.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0370…d000backed Cal State Fullerton Titans51c151.22$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.194036.9%347 W · 593 L+8.6wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-5.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf3d3…bd58backed Cal State Fullerton Titans33c150.34$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.734242.9%18 W · 24 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+8.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf158…aa4bbacked Cal State Fullerton Titans70c142.1$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.841553.3%8 W · 7 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick54cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7681…ac03backed CSUN Matadors17c139.28$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.2842934.3%147 W · 282 L+21.3wins+0.05per pick29cpaid+8.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x3abf…b143backed CSUN Matadors48c131.4$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.3564647.5%307 W · 339 L+5.7wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0644…05debacked CSUN Matadors37c121.57$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.5614049.3%69 W · 71 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Cal State Fullerton Titans31c109.43$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.512,89650%1,448 W · 1,448 L+71.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6483…750abacked Cal State Fullerton Titans34c99.21$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.488834.1%30 W · 58 L-2.7wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-8.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Cal State Fullerton Titans34c91.07$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6081528.8%235 W · 580 L-19.9wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-17%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf0b0…8cabbacked Cal State Fullerton Titans55c83.44$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.260551.4%311 W · 294 L+8.0wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-5.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5699…418dbacked CSUN Matadors74c74.84$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.333542.9%15 W · 20 L-5.7wins-0.16per pick59cpaid-29.1%equal weight39-0.09 edge/pick
0xa559…6dbbbacked Cal State Fullerton Titans65c72.69$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.5671655.3%396 W · 320 L+26.0wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+0.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x72a1…1950backed CSUN Matadors69c71.99$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.6333855%186 W · 152 L+7.0wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x14e4…eabbbacked CSUN Matadors69c57.54$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.758652.9%310 W · 276 L+23.3wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+9.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2ecb…7645backed CSUN Matadors57c47.59$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.131,00355.3%555 W · 448 L+46.5wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+1.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2bea…c4b2backed Cal State Fullerton Titans44c45.06$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.244344.2%19 W · 24 L+4.4wins+0.10per pick34cpaid+9.7%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xebd1…1e86backed Cal State Fullerton Titans40c43.04$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.691931.6%6 W · 13 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick31cpaid+2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6fc0…8f18backed Cal State Fullerton Titans34c42.66$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.1611840.7%48 W · 70 L-2.4wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-3.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbbaa…dd4fbacked Cal State Fullerton Titans31c40$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.62556%14 W · 11 L+2.6wins+0.11per pick45cpaid+26%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa528…2499backed Cal State Fullerton Titans32c38.18$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.9629337.2%109 W · 184 L-7.5wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-3.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0056…a7f7backed Cal State Fullerton Titans31c37.94$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.1827650.7%140 W · 136 L+5.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x73a2…3b68backed Cal State Fullerton Titans36c37.7$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.0533445.5%152 W · 182 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-6.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4cd9…a643backed CSUN Matadors58c37.11$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.3416255.6%90 W · 72 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick57cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc2a2…23a0backed CSUN Matadors56c36.56$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.448744.8%39 W · 48 L-2.4wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-21.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3308…f04bbacked CSUN Matadors53c32.37$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.026160.7%37 W · 24 L+3.2wins+0.05per pick55cpaid-2.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1e6a…d38abacked CSUN Matadors69c28.57$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.851747.1%8 W · 9 L-1.1wins-0.07per pick54cpaid-12.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x169e…de26backed CSUN Matadors63c17.4$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.913053.3%16 W · 14 L-4.2wins-0.14per pick67cpaid-23.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.