Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
California-San Diego Tritons vs. UC Santa Barbara Gauchos
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7fc2db6cc9c0e8ec0bbbba1205bc8ac84ebfb34a6c4957bf78bd52767727fb4a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- California-San Diego Tritonsof California-San Diego Tritons, UC Santa Barbara Gauchos
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $37,720
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $37,720 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 71 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x507e…beaebacked California-San Diego Tritons | 39c | 6,575$2,553 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,022.67 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed UC Santa Barbara Gauchos | 58c | 2,816$1,641 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,641.2 | 3,380 | 49.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L | +30.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed UC Santa Barbara Gauchos | 58c | 2,663$1,551 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,550.88 | 2,124 | 50.4%1,070 W · 1,054 L | +40.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3817…7d10backed UC Santa Barbara Gauchos | 54c | 2,659$1,436 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,435.81 | 298 | 45.3%135 W · 163 L | -8.1wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca4e…f97ebacked UC Santa Barbara Gauchos | 48c | 2,635$1,259 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,258.75 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | -1.7wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked California-San Diego Tritons | 45c | 2,222$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,222.09 | 2,687 | 48.5%1,303 W · 1,384 L | +4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked California-San Diego Tritons | 46c | 1,184$544 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$639.17 | 2,896 | 50%1,448 W · 1,448 L | +71.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked UC Santa Barbara Gauchos | 55c | 1,029$566 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$565.95 | 1,511 | 47.8%722 W · 789 L | -35.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6dca…a7acbacked UC Santa Barbara Gauchos | 52c | 922.17$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$479.76 | 252 | 54.8%138 W · 114 L | -15.7wins | -0.06per pick | 61cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1250…8f99backed California-San Diego Tritons | 45c | 884.07$398 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$486.24 | 120 | 45.8%55 W · 65 L | -8.3wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -12%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…6749backed UC Santa Barbara Gauchos | 58c | 838.9$486 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$485.5 | 497 | 47.5%236 W · 261 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x344b…f7fcbacked UC Santa Barbara Gauchos | 58c | 817.64$475 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$475.03 | 614 | 46.1%283 W · 331 L | -8.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe278…b608backed California-San Diego Tritons | 46c | 703.33$324 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$379.8 | 215 | 49.3%106 W · 109 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda22…6d2abacked California-San Diego Tritons | 46c | 641.05$297 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$343.66 | 27 | 22.2%6 W · 21 L | -6.0wins | -0.22per pick | 45cpaid | -45.1%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xbddc…83b9backed California-San Diego Tritons | 53c | 620.82$332 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$289.11 | 70 | 48.6%34 W · 36 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b54…d382backed California-San Diego Tritons | 50c | 609.42$302 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$307.74 | 76 | 55.3%42 W · 34 L | +5.5wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1df2…89a0backed UC Santa Barbara Gauchos | 58c | 595.86$348 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$347.53 | 185 | 48.6%90 W · 95 L | +5.4wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3010…a27cbacked California-San Diego Tritons | 41c | 570.36$234 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$336.51 | 140 | 21.4%30 W · 110 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd40b…429abacked California-San Diego Tritons | 51c | 558.08$286 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$271.89 | 72 | 50%36 W · 36 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked California-San Diego Tritons | 56c | 544.47$306 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$238.88 | 4,382 | 40.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L | +23.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked UC Santa Barbara Gauchos | 54c | 506.84$274 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$273.69 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed California-San Diego Tritons | 53c | 428.63$228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.45 | 2,003 | 53.7%1,076 W · 927 L | +101.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xada5…db70backed UC Santa Barbara Gauchos | 55c | 411.09$226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$226.1 | 379 | 47.8%181 W · 198 L | -26.2wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked California-San Diego Tritons | 47c | 397.16$187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210.5 | 1,317 | 33.6%443 W · 874 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x236b…26b7backed California-San Diego Tritons | 46c | 382.64$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$206.63 | 258 | 37.6%97 W · 161 L | -5.9wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed UC Santa Barbara Gauchos | 54c | 366.78$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.06 | 780 | 52.2%407 W · 373 L | +19.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0370…d000backed California-San Diego Tritons | 43c | 302.82$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.56 | 940 | 36.9%347 W · 593 L | +8.6wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4cd9…a643backed UC Santa Barbara Gauchos | 60c | 232.19$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.34 | 162 | 55.6%90 W · 72 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e01…7ef0backed California-San Diego Tritons | 46c | 224.82$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.4 | 229 | 50.7%116 W · 113 L | -5.3wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4650…f3f0backed UC Santa Barbara Gauchos | 65c | 224.08$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.01 | 221 | 57.9%128 W · 93 L | +12.6wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked UC Santa Barbara Gauchos | 64c | 219.1$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.13 | 1,531 | 50.1%767 W · 764 L | +34.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked California-San Diego Tritons | 48c | 198.25$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.09 | 2,194 | 33.4%733 W · 1,461 L | +19.2wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed California-San Diego Tritons | 44c | 164.91$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.15 | 2,012 | 50%1,006 W · 1,006 L | +22.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d70…fdd9backed UC Santa Barbara Gauchos | 55c | 154.8$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.2 | 932 | 47.3%441 W · 491 L | -22.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked UC Santa Barbara Gauchos | 56c | 150.33$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.6 | 771 | 42.3%326 W · 445 L | +2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -17%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd12…a7b8backed California-San Diego Tritons | 46c | 150$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81 | 186 | 44.6%83 W · 103 L | -6.4wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f2b…0f9abacked UC Santa Barbara Gauchos | 55c | 134.57$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.01 | 407 | 55.8%227 W · 180 L | +14.8wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed UC Santa Barbara Gauchos | 57c | 123.88$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.43 | 1,003 | 55.3%555 W · 448 L | +46.5wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed UC Santa Barbara Gauchos | 52c | 111.16$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.24 | 144 | 50%72 W · 72 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b87…9414backed California-San Diego Tritons | 46c | 107.75$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.19 | 828 | 46.1%382 W · 446 L | +15.1wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed UC Santa Barbara Gauchos | 14c | 100$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 2,555 | 41.6%1,062 W · 1,493 L | -15.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c9…247dbacked UC Santa Barbara Gauchos | 53c | 93.15$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.56 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.21per pick | 51cpaid | +45.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x72a1…1950backed UC Santa Barbara Gauchos | 54c | 91.79$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.57 | 338 | 55%186 W · 152 L | +7.0wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked California-San Diego Tritons | 41c | 88.81$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.47 | 605 | 51.4%311 W · 294 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d40…ef02backed California-San Diego Tritons | 48c | 82.61$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.95 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.22per pick | 51cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked California-San Diego Tritons | 46c | 82.02$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.29 | 334 | 45.8%153 W · 181 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed California-San Diego Tritons | 53c | 81.67$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.23 | 646 | 47.5%307 W · 339 L | +5.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda82…f9d5backed UC Santa Barbara Gauchos | 55c | 76.28$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.95 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -2.3wins | -0.13per pick | 49cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked UC Santa Barbara Gauchos | 27c | 71.99$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.47 | 848 | 54.5%462 W · 386 L | +32.8wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa559…6dbbbacked UC Santa Barbara Gauchos | 44c | 69.7$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.42 | 716 | 55.3%396 W · 320 L | +26.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked California-San Diego Tritons | 51c | 63.78$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.22 | 1,540 | 41.3%636 W · 904 L | +4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed California-San Diego Tritons | 39c | 62.04$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.1 | 1,249 | 16.4%205 W · 1,044 L | -189.4wins | -0.15per pick | 32cpaid | -51.1%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed California-San Diego Tritons | 47c | 51.26$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.92 | 1,493 | 48.7%727 W · 766 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc5c3…9792backed UC Santa Barbara Gauchos | 60c | 49.58$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.75 | 270 | 55.6%150 W · 120 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f2c…9374backed UC Santa Barbara Gauchos | 54c | 45.63$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.78 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6fc0…8f18backed California-San Diego Tritons | 46c | 41.63$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.48 | 118 | 40.7%48 W · 70 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2bea…c4b2backed California-San Diego Tritons | 51c | 39.65$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.43 | 43 | 44.2%19 W · 24 L | +4.4wins | +0.10per pick | 34cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xebd1…1e86backed California-San Diego Tritons | 48c | 38.96$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.38 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbd0f…48fdbacked UC Santa Barbara Gauchos | 55c | 34.7$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.08 | 265 | 50.6%134 W · 131 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0110…af5dbacked California-San Diego Tritons | 34c | 31.74$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.83 | 91 | 53.8%49 W · 42 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf8fd…d641backed UC Santa Barbara Gauchos | 64c | 30.06$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.24 | 76 | 63.2%48 W · 28 L | +3.3wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbbaa…dd4fbacked California-San Diego Tritons | 46c | 30$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.2 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | +2.6wins | +0.11per pick | 45cpaid | +26%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfd85…7427backed California-San Diego Tritons | 38c | 29.92$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.45 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed UC Santa Barbara Gauchos | 61c | 29.75$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.15 | 449 | 55.2%248 W · 201 L | +5.8wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5888…dbdcbacked California-San Diego Tritons | 47c | 29.74$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.81 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +115%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xef2e…10c3backed UC Santa Barbara Gauchos | 40c | 28.48$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.39 | 54 | 46.3%25 W · 29 L | -4.6wins | -0.09per pick | 55cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0644…05debacked California-San Diego Tritons | 54c | 25.77$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.86 | 140 | 49.3%69 W · 71 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x73a2…3b68backed California-San Diego Tritons | 55c | 24.83$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.23 | 334 | 45.5%152 W · 182 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff73…35ccbacked UC Santa Barbara Gauchos | 56c | 23.63$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.2 | 56 | 50%28 W · 28 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e6a…d38abacked UC Santa Barbara Gauchos | 48c | 22.82$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -1.1wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x700a…58a5backed UC Santa Barbara Gauchos | 53c | 19.99$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.56 | 86 | 40.7%35 W · 51 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- California-San Diego Tritons vs. UC Santa Barbara Gauchosthis page
- California-San Diego Tritons vs. UC Santa Barbara Gauchos: O/U 139.5Under won
- California-San Diego Tritons vs. UC Santa Barbara Gauchos: O/U 140.5Under won
- Spread: UC Santa Barbara Gauchos (-1.5)California-San Diego Tritons won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.