Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Spread: UC Santa Barbara Gauchos (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xcbbf06ece888ffcfcb00e6f4ee6ef42c995146b51962df3f59c1197dbc84f885
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- California-San Diego Tritonsof UC Santa Barbara Gauchos, California-San Diego Tritons
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,388
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,388 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 13 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd4da…3175backed California-San Diego Tritons | 52c | 794.97$413 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$381.58 | 898 | 50%449 W · 449 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked UC Santa Barbara Gauchos | 50c | 345.46$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.13 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x450b…11d7backed UC Santa Barbara Gauchos | 48c | 309.25$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.69 | 1,251 | 50.6%633 W · 618 L | +12.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ff7…4176backed UC Santa Barbara Gauchos | 48c | 269.65$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.43 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked California-San Diego Tritons | 51c | 107.15$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.51 | 4,382 | 40.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L | +23.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b87…9414backed California-San Diego Tritons | 49c | 101.15$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.88 | 828 | 46.1%382 W · 446 L | +15.1wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked California-San Diego Tritons | 48c | 58.62$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.29 | 2,896 | 50%1,448 W · 1,448 L | +71.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb76…7ffebacked UC Santa Barbara Gauchos | 48c | 52.54$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.22 | 612 | 44.9%275 W · 337 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed California-San Diego Tritons | 49c | 35$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.85 | 3,380 | 49.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L | +30.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked UC Santa Barbara Gauchos | 39c | 26.51$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.34 | 848 | 54.5%462 W · 386 L | +32.8wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x75dc…4f82backed California-San Diego Tritons | 61c | 26.29$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.25 | 229 | 53.7%123 W · 106 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd0f…48fdbacked UC Santa Barbara Gauchos | 48c | 21.81$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.47 | 265 | 50.6%134 W · 131 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked UC Santa Barbara Gauchos | 52c | 21.35$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.1 | 605 | 51.4%311 W · 294 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: UC Santa Barbara Gauchos (-1.5)this page
- California-San Diego Tritons vs. UC Santa Barbara GauchosCalifornia-San Diego Tritons won
- California-San Diego Tritons vs. UC Santa Barbara Gauchos: O/U 139.5Under won
- California-San Diego Tritons vs. UC Santa Barbara Gauchos: O/U 140.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.