Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
New Mexico Lobos vs. Utah State Aggies
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x81c4215048695e0317d92a9d18ea17a02b7fef03a3816a0cc687fa3995f4a277
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Utah State Aggiesof New Mexico Lobos, Utah State Aggies
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $18,664
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $18,664 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 44 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked New Mexico Lobos | 19c | 2,710$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$509.52 | 4,848 | 52.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L | +139.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Utah State Aggies | 78c | 1,996$1,564 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$432.14 | 3,905 | 58.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L | +165.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e5…2d3abacked New Mexico Lobos | 18c | 1,936$348 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$348.09 | 251 | 30.7%77 W · 174 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcdb8…abbebacked New Mexico Lobos | 27c | 1,895$505 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$504.92 | 1,983 | 26.4%523 W · 1,460 L | -55.5wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Utah State Aggies | 77c | 1,822$1,403 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$419.62 | 3,380 | 49.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L | +30.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Utah State Aggies | 79c | 1,183$937 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$246.11 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed New Mexico Lobos | 31c | 1,147$353 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$352.85 | 2,012 | 50%1,006 W · 1,006 L | +22.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdfe7…820fbacked Utah State Aggies | 74c | 999.8$740 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$259.95 | 44 | 54.5%24 W · 20 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x68a9…e73abacked New Mexico Lobos | 26c | 768.99$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.94 | 267 | 49.1%131 W · 136 L | +6.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Utah State Aggies | 78c | 699.99$544 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.5 | 2,555 | 41.6%1,062 W · 1,493 L | -15.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d90…d3dbbacked New Mexico Lobos | 20c | 489.76$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.42 | 18 | 16.7%3 W · 15 L | -2.5wins | -0.14per pick | 31cpaid | -48.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6932…6878backed New Mexico Lobos | 26c | 421.34$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.55 | 247 | 37.7%93 W · 154 L | +13.2wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | +24.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8c16…4b37backed New Mexico Lobos | 23c | 409.41$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.96 | 558 | 40.3%225 W · 333 L | -7.2wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked New Mexico Lobos | 27c | 397.24$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.25 | 1,317 | 33.6%443 W · 874 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Utah State Aggies | 74c | 371.6$275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.07 | 1,446 | 43.4%627 W · 819 L | +10.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xada5…db70backed Utah State Aggies | 73c | 325.73$237 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.64 | 379 | 47.8%181 W · 198 L | -26.2wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x72a1…1950backed Utah State Aggies | 75c | 264.92$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.23 | 338 | 55%186 W · 152 L | +7.0wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Utah State Aggies | 74c | 208.97$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.13 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed New Mexico Lobos | 17c | 204.02$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.07 | 815 | 28.8%235 W · 580 L | -19.9wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -17%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf43c…d7c3backed Utah State Aggies | 73c | 203.67$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55 | 491 | 57.2%281 W · 210 L | +18.9wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x958a…c897backed New Mexico Lobos | 27c | 202.3$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.62 | 233 | 31.3%73 W · 160 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked New Mexico Lobos | 28c | 200$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 2,194 | 33.4%733 W · 1,461 L | +19.2wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed New Mexico Lobos | 16c | 176.19$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.59 | 1,296 | 45.1%584 W · 712 L | -23.9wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe300…8b9ebacked New Mexico Lobos | 28c | 160.9$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.48 | 39 | 38.5%15 W · 24 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked New Mexico Lobos | 26c | 149.98$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 939 | 41.6%391 W · 548 L | +25.4wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x236b…26b7backed New Mexico Lobos | 27c | 146.98$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.68 | 258 | 37.6%97 W · 161 L | -5.9wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Utah State Aggies | 73c | 120.07$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.42 | 2,687 | 48.5%1,303 W · 1,384 L | +4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xecfa…3c6fbacked New Mexico Lobos | 25c | 118.68$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.67 | 555 | 32.8%182 W · 373 L | +15.5wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed New Mexico Lobos | 21c | 99.72$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.44 | 3,684 | 42.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L | +32.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d7f…86d2backed New Mexico Lobos | 20c | 84.3$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.12 | 309 | 45.6%141 W · 168 L | -5.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5ca6…3841backed New Mexico Lobos | 21c | 83.41$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.74 | 70 | 31.4%22 W · 48 L | -3.9wins | -0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Utah State Aggies | 73c | 74.57$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.13 | 2,896 | 50%1,448 W · 1,448 L | +71.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x25ed…3e98backed New Mexico Lobos | 15c | 73.01$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.95 | 136 | 50.7%69 W · 67 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed New Mexico Lobos | 22c | 64.36$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.07 | 1,249 | 16.4%205 W · 1,044 L | -189.4wins | -0.15per pick | 32cpaid | -51.1%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xc5c3…9792backed Utah State Aggies | 79c | 61.64$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.94 | 270 | 55.6%150 W · 120 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Utah State Aggies | 73c | 60$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.2 | 334 | 45.8%153 W · 181 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe2e1…c20abacked New Mexico Lobos | 19c | 53.78$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.3 | 397 | 42.8%170 W · 227 L | -15.2wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdd12…a7b8backed Utah State Aggies | 73c | 49.93$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.48 | 186 | 44.6%83 W · 103 L | -6.4wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0370…d000backed New Mexico Lobos | 24c | 46.64$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.02 | 940 | 36.9%347 W · 593 L | +8.6wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb171…7d2bbacked Utah State Aggies | 74c | 45.08$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.72 | 95 | 54.7%52 W · 43 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1297…5227backed New Mexico Lobos | 31c | 41.76$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.9 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +2.6wins | +0.14per pick | 39cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Utah State Aggies | 77c | 21.33$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.92 | 1,493 | 48.7%727 W · 766 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e6a…d38abacked Utah State Aggies | 75c | 20.89$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.26 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -1.1wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9369…8b85backed Utah State Aggies | 75c | 19.87$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.97 | 32 | 75%24 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 76cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- New Mexico Lobos vs. Utah State Aggiesthis page
- New Mexico Lobos vs. Utah State Aggies: O/U 157.5Over won
- Spread: Utah State Aggies (-7.5)New Mexico Lobos won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.