Mls · resolved market

New York Red Bulls vs. Charlotte FC: O/U 3.5

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0cfb09e36085b62175aef823e822604bd7fcc115439692c3a53ef4e3c810ad6c

Rebuilt 7 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Underof Over, Under
Resolved: Jul 25, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Mlsevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $39,406
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $40,387

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $39,406 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 80 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Mls is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Mls
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xc72d…fc21backed Under	53c	14,659$7,769 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6,889.7	40	62.5%25 W · 15 L	+3.6wins	+0.09per pick	53cpaid	+19.2%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x3f3a…e8fdbacked Over	47c	8,979$4,220 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,220.18	75	49.3%37 W · 38 L	+3.4wins	+0.05per pick	45cpaid	+15.6%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Over	47c	5,803$2,728 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,727.58	333	46.8%156 W · 177 L	-14.0wins	-0.04per pick	51cpaid	-10.7%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Under	47c	4,981$2,351 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,629.68	989	45.4%449 W · 540 L	-23.9wins	-0.02per pick	48cpaid	-13.2%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xdd5e…9040backed Over	47c	4,368$2,053 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,052.96	328	48.8%160 W · 168 L	+4.7wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	+8.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4488…e319backed Under	53c	3,000$1,590 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,410	177	40.7%72 W · 105 L	-4.1wins	-0.02per pick	43cpaid	-11.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe1fa…9c2cbacked Over	47c	2,799$1,314 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,314.49	4	25%1 W · 3 L	-1.1wins	-0.28per pick	53cpaid	-58.3%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Over	65c	2,627$1,719 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,719.1	993	40.1%398 W · 595 L	+11.8wins	+0.01per pick	39cpaid	-5.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Under	53c	2,000$1,060 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$940	702	49.7%349 W · 353 L	-7.1wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-3.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Under	53c	1,506$799 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$706.59	728	50.7%369 W · 359 L	-4.4wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-5.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd93b…cd48backed Over	55c	1,268$697 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$697.39	22	50%11 W · 11 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	+13.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Under	53c	977.46$518 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$459.5	1,444	36.8%532 W · 912 L	-12.0wins	-0.01per pick	38cpaid	-17.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xec56…1816backed Over	11c	938.42$104 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$103.82	164	37.2%61 W · 103 L	-11.4wins	-0.07per pick	44cpaid	-34.3%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x0f39…311abacked Over	35c	500$175 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$175	10	20%2 W · 8 L	-1.4wins	-0.14per pick	34cpaid	-64.3%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd473…3febbacked Under	53c	480$254 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$225.6	28	60.7%17 W · 11 L	+1.5wins	+0.05per pick	55cpaid	+13.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed Under	56c	475.05$266 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$208.59	100	42%42 W · 58 L	-8.9wins	-0.09per pick	51cpaid	-23.7%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0xa032…2090backed Under	54c	469.87$256 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$213.84	63	46%29 W · 34 L	-4.1wins	-0.07per pick	53cpaid	-16.1%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2e46…b68dbacked Over	31c	464.61$144 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$144.15	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.3wins	-0.31per pick	31cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Under	52c	444.27$230 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$214.61	530	40.6%215 W · 315 L	-2.2wins	0.00per pick	41cpaid	+6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3b7c…4cbfbacked Over	50c	300$150 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$150	8	25%2 W · 6 L	-2.0wins	-0.25per pick	50cpaid	-49.5%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x114e…dcefbacked Under	35c	300$105 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$195	15	80%12 W · 3 L	+5.5wins	+0.37per pick	43cpaid	+87.7%equal weight	65+0.14 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over	49c	287.02$140 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$140.41	1,262	45.2%571 W · 691 L	-28.1wins	-0.02per pick	47cpaid	-21.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Under	49c	266.43$130 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$136.31	228	41.7%95 W · 133 L	+4.2wins	+0.02per pick	40cpaid	-4.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked Over	45c	252.76$114 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$113.74	270	47%127 W · 143 L	-5.9wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-10.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa38a…821dbacked Over	45c	252.72$113 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$113.24	37	59.5%22 W · 15 L	+3.3wins	+0.09per pick	51cpaid	+106.5%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x1346…0448backed Under	44c	250$110 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$140	9	55.6%5 W · 4 L	+0.9wins	+0.10per pick	45cpaid	-2.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa54d…deb8backed Over	50c	247.1$124 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$123.55	8	62.5%5 W · 3 L	+0.5wins	+0.07per pick	56cpaid	+17.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfd3e…5a7abacked Over	43c	232.33$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$99.9	90	70%63 W · 27 L	+11.7wins	+0.13per pick	57cpaid	+24%equal weight	61+0.10 edge/pick
0xf10a…d6c2backed Over	45c	222.22$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	99	40.4%40 W · 59 L	-0.9wins	-0.01per pick	41cpaid	-8.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8d93…b34dbacked Over	60c	200$120 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$120	100	43%43 W · 57 L	-6.1wins	-0.06per pick	49cpaid	-10.4%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x9f41…8f27backed Over	57c	175$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$99.75	97	47.4%46 W · 51 L	+1.2wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Under	41c	163$67 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$96.32	1,009	46.2%466 W · 543 L	+11.2wins	+0.01per pick	45cpaid	-7.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcf37…993fbacked Under	53c	150$80 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$70.5	30	43.3%13 W · 17 L	+2.0wins	+0.07per pick	37cpaid	-9%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x259b…a2d3backed Over	56c	142.86$80 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$80	25	16%4 W · 21 L	-6.0wins	-0.24per pick	40cpaid	-65.5%equal weight	37-0.12 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Over	55c	138.97$76 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$76.48	362	47.2%171 W · 191 L	-3.1wins	-0.01per pick	48cpaid	-10%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under	51c	134.31$69 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$65.45	3,012	43.5%1,311 W · 1,701 L	-29.7wins	-0.01per pick	45cpaid	-9.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa710…f1ccbacked Under	38c	131.58$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$81.58	27	37%10 W · 17 L	+0.2wins	+0.01per pick	36cpaid	-7.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5659…7a6bbacked Under	55c	124.02$68 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$55.81	529	23.8%126 W · 403 L	-25.8wins	-0.05per pick	29cpaid	-18%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x1010…d793backed Under	55c	120$66 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$54	143	49%70 W · 73 L	+4.9wins	+0.03per pick	46cpaid	+2.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Over	29c	115.97$34 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$33.99	526	39.5%208 W · 318 L	-11.9wins	-0.02per pick	42cpaid	-13.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe6bf…8380backed Over	46c	111.02$51 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$51.07	14	85.7%12 W · 2 L	+5.6wins	+0.40per pick	46cpaid	+88.8%equal weight	66+0.14 edge/pick
0xd0fb…8092backed Over	49c	110$54 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$53.6	76	34.2%26 W · 50 L	-8.4wins	-0.11per pick	45cpaid	-27.5%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x789c…0d10backed Over	45c	108.24$49 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$48.71	126	50.8%64 W · 62 L	+2.8wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	-2.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9786…7f05backed Over	47c	106.38$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	8	50%4 W · 4 L	-0.1wins	-0.02per pick	52cpaid	-5.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Under	24c	102.57$25 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$77.5	1,880	36.6%688 W · 1,192 L	-7.3wins	0.00per pick	37cpaid	-8.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0576…6232backed Over	46c	100.04$46 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$46.02	81	29.6%24 W · 57 L	-10.9wins	-0.13per pick	43cpaid	-32.7%equal weight	39-0.10 edge/pick
0xabce…2f87backed Over	40c	100$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	138	44.9%62 W · 76 L	-6.5wins	-0.05per pick	50cpaid	-7%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Over	45c	97.09$44 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$43.9	1,301	51.2%666 W · 635 L	-19.6wins	-0.02per pick	53cpaid	-3.6%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xdf15…a1febacked Under	54c	89.29$48 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$41.07	50	68%34 W · 16 L	+5.8wins	+0.12per pick	56cpaid	+21.3%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0x9f6d…bfc5backed Over	61c	83.61$51 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$51	4	25%1 W · 3 L	-1.1wins	-0.27per pick	52cpaid	-23.9%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked Over	57c	82.38$47 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$46.86	444	47.3%210 W · 234 L	-1.6wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-10.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Under	43c	75$32 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$42.75	681	50.8%346 W · 335 L	+12.6wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+1.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xecdb…c4c7backed Under	58c	74.75$43 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$31.54	107	53.3%57 W · 50 L	+2.5wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	-5.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8087…a213backed Under	73c	66$48 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$17.82	23	73.9%17 W · 6 L	+4.1wins	+0.18per pick	56cpaid	+32%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0x8935…7daabacked Over	40c	57.74$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23.21	307	35.2%108 W · 199 L	-32.1wins	-0.10per pick	46cpaid	-34.7%equal weight	39-0.10 edge/pick
0x84d4…77a9backed Over	44c	56.02$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24.68	196	42.9%84 W · 112 L	-9.0wins	-0.05per pick	47cpaid	-12.4%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7179…7d79backed Under	42c	53.56$22 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$31.06	125	51.2%64 W · 61 L	+9.7wins	+0.08per pick	43cpaid	+19.6%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xe5b1…30b2backed Over	47c	53$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24.91	145	60.7%88 W · 57 L	-2.4wins	-0.02per pick	62cpaid	-2.5%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5266…aac8backed Over	55c	50$28 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$27.5	7	28.6%2 W · 5 L	-1.6wins	-0.23per pick	52cpaid	-51.2%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf672…c3c4backed Over	46c	50$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23	20	60%12 W · 8 L	+2.1wins	+0.10per pick	50cpaid	+28.5%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xc11d…0123backed Under	54c	48.52$26 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$22.32	19	63.2%12 W · 7 L	+2.3wins	+0.12per pick	51cpaid	+16.5%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x0df0…1376backed Under	54c	46.3$25 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$21.3	23	47.8%11 W · 12 L	-1.5wins	-0.06per pick	54cpaid	-13.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbc91…8981backed Under	54c	46.15$25 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$21.23	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.5wins	+0.46per pick	54cpaid	+85.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Over	47c	44.69$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21.11	714	43.7%312 W · 402 L	-3.6wins	-0.01per pick	44cpaid	-6.9%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x9786…1e9abacked Over	47c	44.09$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.72	29	31%9 W · 20 L	-2.0wins	-0.07per pick	38cpaid	-26.6%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7113…dba4backed Over	46c	42.98$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.77	167	44.3%74 W · 93 L	-5.9wins	-0.04per pick	48cpaid	-7.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Over	40c	41.66$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.66	915	53%485 W · 430 L	+4.7wins	+0.01per pick	52cpaid	-0.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa384…3c9fbacked Under	60c	41.66$25 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$16.66	27	51.9%14 W · 13 L	+1.8wins	+0.07per pick	45cpaid	+7.1%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0a62…5247backed Over	46c	40$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.4	22	45.5%10 W · 12 L	-3.9wins	-0.18per pick	63cpaid	-32%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed Under	57c	39.81$23 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$16.97	352	47.7%168 W · 184 L	-6.3wins	-0.02per pick	50cpaid	-10.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb70d…5925backed Under	55c	36.71$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$16.52	65	58.5%38 W · 27 L	+1.7wins	+0.03per pick	56cpaid	-0.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6ed3…0a22backed Under	53c	36$19 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$16.92	169	55.6%94 W · 75 L	+1.2wins	+0.01per pick	55cpaid	+2.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x74d8…3b2bbacked Under	60c	33.33$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$13.33	10	60%6 W · 4 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	60cpaid	0%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x37bd…ed2abacked Under	54c	32$17 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$14.72	7	71.4%5 W · 2 L	+1.4wins	+0.20per pick	52cpaid	+26.5%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc7d0…1f8abacked Under	68c	31$21 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$9.92	128	39.8%51 W · 77 L	+1.2wins	+0.01per pick	39cpaid	-19.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1cbb…3ed1backed Over	76c	30$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22.67	12	41.7%5 W · 7 L	-1.6wins	-0.14per pick	55cpaid	-23.1%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x87fe…03cebacked Under	54c	25$14 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$11.5	8	50%4 W · 4 L	+0.1wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	-5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Under	55c	24.22$13 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10.9	734	38.1%280 W · 454 L	-7.5wins	-0.01per pick	39cpaid	-3.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd60c…2b06backed Over	71c	18.52$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.15	311	58.5%182 W · 129 L	+27.0wins	+0.09per pick	50cpaid	+23.1%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0xb6d2…d67bbacked Over	78c	16.21$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.64	309	57%176 W · 133 L	+2.1wins	+0.01per pick	56cpaid	-3.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Mls and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 16 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

New York Red Bulls vs. Charlotte FC: O/U 3.5this page
New York Red Bulls vs. Charlotte FC: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
New York Red Bulls vs. Charlotte FC: 1st Half O/U 1.5Over won
New York Red Bulls vs. Charlotte FC: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under won
New York Red Bulls vs. Charlotte FC: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
New York Red Bulls vs. Charlotte FC: Both Teams to Score in First HalfNo won
New York Red Bulls vs. Charlotte FC: Charlotte FC O/U 0.5Over won
New York Red Bulls vs. Charlotte FC: O/U 0.5Over won
New York Red Bulls vs. Charlotte FC: O/U 1.5Over won
New York Red Bulls vs. Charlotte FC: O/U 2.5Under won
New York Red Bulls vs. Charlotte FC: O/U 4.5Under won
New York Red Bulls vs. Charlotte FC: O/U 5.5Under won
Spread: Charlotte FC (-1.5)Charlotte FC won
Spread: Charlotte FC (-2.5)New York Red Bulls won
Spread: New York Red Bulls (-1.5)Charlotte FC won
Spread: New York Red Bulls (-2.5)Charlotte FC won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

New York Red Bulls vs. Charlotte FC: O/U 3.5

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event