Mls · resolved market
Spread: Charlotte FC (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xfdaca71292930f501fcf2cfc6d87a7e5655e9968c34415054f45b32c874317ad
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Charlotte FCof Charlotte FC, New York Red Bulls
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Mlsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $23,601
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $19,699
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $23,601 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 36 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Mls is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Mls | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Charlotte FC | 52c | 6,385$3,351 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,034.11 | 1,444 | 36.8%532 W · 912 L | -12.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40e8…88a4backed New York Red Bulls | 41c | 5,445$2,232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,232.42 | 19 | 73.7%14 W · 5 L | +1.4wins | +0.08per pick | 66cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed New York Red Bulls | 27c | 3,048$819 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$819.15 | 989 | 45.4%449 W · 540 L | -23.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d75…3d44backed New York Red Bulls | 50c | 3,042$1,511 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,510.82 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -1.9wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -17%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed New York Red Bulls | 37c | 2,641$988 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$988.03 | 993 | 40.1%398 W · 595 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0396…4ae7backed Charlotte FC | 59c | 2,047$1,208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$839.26 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +69.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Charlotte FC | 36c | 1,113$406 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$707.27 | 3,012 | 43.5%1,311 W · 1,701 L | -29.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Charlotte FC | 54c | 1,058$570 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$487.57 | 530 | 40.6%215 W · 315 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | +6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed New York Red Bulls | 42c | 650.88$271 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270.75 | 1,262 | 45.2%571 W · 691 L | -28.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed New York Red Bulls | 13c | 324$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.12 | 526 | 39.5%208 W · 318 L | -11.9wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b78…473dbacked Charlotte FC | 19c | 272.48$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$219.83 | 222 | 69.4%154 W · 68 L | +31.4wins | +0.14per pick | 55cpaid | +33.1%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Charlotte FC | 50c | 173$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.35 | 1,880 | 36.6%688 W · 1,192 L | -7.3wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5ad5…37b9backed New York Red Bulls | 57c | 150.1$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.56 | 100 | 45%45 W · 55 L | +18.7wins | +0.19per pick | 26cpaid | +97.5%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x5ab5…db66backed New York Red Bulls | 46c | 150$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -1.1wins | -0.10per pick | 19cpaid | -74%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c3e…3c4cbacked Charlotte FC | 41c | 133.66$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.56 | 191 | 72.3%138 W · 53 L | +36.8wins | +0.19per pick | 53cpaid | +41.7%equal weight | 69+0.17 edge/pick |
| 0xe1b9…c40bbacked New York Red Bulls | 59c | 118.64$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | -3.4wins | -0.18per pick | 44cpaid | -41.1%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdd03…df4abacked New York Red Bulls | 24c | 100$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x13f7…85d5backed Charlotte FC | 15c | 100$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85 | 106 | 12.3%13 W · 93 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 14cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b89…9f72backed Charlotte FC | 59c | 84.75$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.75 | 24 | 79.2%19 W · 5 L | +3.2wins | +0.13per pick | 66cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Charlotte FC | 15c | 79.98$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.98 | 164 | 56.7%93 W · 71 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +10%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Charlotte FC | 41c | 76.15$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.93 | 802 | 49.8%399 W · 403 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84d4…77a9backed Charlotte FC | 16c | 70.06$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.85 | 196 | 42.9%84 W · 112 L | -9.0wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8543…ff1bbacked Charlotte FC | 39c | 59.86$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.25 | 77 | 57.1%44 W · 33 L | +4.5wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked New York Red Bulls | 38c | 50$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 314 | 46.5%146 W · 168 L | -10.7wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f75…ce35backed New York Red Bulls | 36c | 50$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +2.1wins | +0.21per pick | 49cpaid | +41.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5b6e…f544backed Charlotte FC | 51c | 49.02$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.02 | 103 | 38.8%40 W · 63 L | -3.0wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Charlotte FC | 50c | 47.92$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.96 | 714 | 43.7%312 W · 402 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Charlotte FC | 40c | 46.66$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28 | 923 | 46.6%430 W · 493 L | -9.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked New York Red Bulls | 40c | 45.88$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.36 | 366 | 46.7%171 W · 195 L | -7.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked New York Red Bulls | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 443 | 50.6%224 W · 219 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f34…ed6abacked New York Red Bulls | 46c | 30$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.8 | 47 | 48.9%23 W · 24 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked New York Red Bulls | 49c | 27$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.23 | 1,009 | 46.2%466 W · 543 L | +11.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa42b…45d2backed New York Red Bulls | 50c | 22$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.09per pick | 65cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed Charlotte FC | 52c | 21.27$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.28 | 120 | 58.3%70 W · 50 L | +6.7wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6770…c3bdbacked New York Red Bulls | 51c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.1 | 45 | 31.1%14 W · 31 L | -5.9wins | -0.13per pick | 44cpaid | -49.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf4db…e401backed Charlotte FC | 54c | 18.54$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.53 | 21 | 76.2%16 W · 5 L | +5.5wins | +0.26per pick | 50cpaid | +63.7%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Mls and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 16 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Charlotte FC (-1.5)this page
- New York Red Bulls vs. Charlotte FC: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- New York Red Bulls vs. Charlotte FC: 1st Half O/U 1.5Over won
- New York Red Bulls vs. Charlotte FC: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under won
- New York Red Bulls vs. Charlotte FC: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- New York Red Bulls vs. Charlotte FC: Both Teams to Score in First HalfNo won
- New York Red Bulls vs. Charlotte FC: Charlotte FC O/U 0.5Over won
- New York Red Bulls vs. Charlotte FC: O/U 0.5Over won
- New York Red Bulls vs. Charlotte FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- New York Red Bulls vs. Charlotte FC: O/U 2.5Under won
- New York Red Bulls vs. Charlotte FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- New York Red Bulls vs. Charlotte FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- New York Red Bulls vs. Charlotte FC: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: Charlotte FC (-2.5)New York Red Bulls won
- Spread: New York Red Bulls (-1.5)Charlotte FC won
- Spread: New York Red Bulls (-2.5)Charlotte FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.