Mls · resolved market
New York Red Bulls vs. Charlotte FC: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1c0f486b97238f0457e225280dc63023d63395b7c621756cf00f360760325bd4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Mlsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $15,410
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $15,606
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $15,410 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 64 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Mls is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Mls | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 31c | 2,440$765 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,675.17 | 728 | 50.7%369 W · 359 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 31c | 2,227$691 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,536.35 | 702 | 49.7%349 W · 353 L | -7.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Yes | 69c | 1,936$1,329 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,329.13 | 355 | 50.4%179 W · 176 L | +9.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed No | 29c | 1,782$512 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,269.68 | 1,444 | 36.8%532 W · 912 L | -12.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 29c | 1,319$383 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$936.23 | 1,880 | 36.6%688 W · 1,192 L | -7.3wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Yes | 73c | 1,008$736 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$736.05 | 526 | 39.5%208 W · 318 L | -11.9wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b66…336abacked Yes | 68c | 882.35$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -3.2wins | -0.17per pick | 49cpaid | -38.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 70c | 655.07$457 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$457.48 | 734 | 38.1%280 W · 454 L | -7.5wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Yes | 73c | 528.51$387 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$387.45 | 362 | 47.2%171 W · 191 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab4a…823abacked Yes | 69c | 501$346 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$345.69 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +1.6wins | +0.18per pick | 60cpaid | +31.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Yes | 72c | 487.88$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$349.87 | 530 | 40.6%215 W · 315 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | +6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked No | 79c | 432.57$342 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.84 | 923 | 46.6%430 W · 493 L | -9.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Yes | 69c | 334$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230.1 | 328 | 48.8%160 W · 168 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ef9…11b4backed Yes | 74c | 270.27$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | -3.6wins | -0.18per pick | 73cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Yes | 67c | 258.46$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.02 | 444 | 47.3%210 W · 234 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked No | 39c | 245.67$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.58 | 714 | 43.7%312 W · 402 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc616…3571backed Yes | 75c | 200$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 73cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5258…534ebacked Yes | 51c | 200$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 39 | 48.7%19 W · 20 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Yes | 67c | 193.43$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.88 | 366 | 46.7%171 W · 195 L | -7.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf10a…d6c2backed Yes | 69c | 144.93$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 99 | 40.4%40 W · 59 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3486…49eebacked Yes | 69c | 144.93$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 47 | 51.1%24 W · 23 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Yes | 67c | 141.98$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.59 | 352 | 47.7%168 W · 184 L | -6.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked No | 77c | 135.67$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.36 | 802 | 49.8%399 W · 403 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ee…9e81backed No | 19c | 135$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110 | 273 | 44.3%121 W · 152 L | -8.3wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Yes | 74c | 133.49$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.1 | 1,262 | 45.2%571 W · 691 L | -28.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Yes | 68c | 120$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.04 | 333 | 46.8%156 W · 177 L | -14.0wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 32c | 119.71$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.4 | 1,301 | 51.2%666 W · 635 L | -19.6wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa384…3c9fbacked No | 35c | 119.45$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.45 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | +1.8wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed No | 30c | 113.96$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.81 | 681 | 50.8%346 W · 335 L | +12.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc59…35f7backed Yes | 68c | 110.29$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.6wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 29c | 107.1$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.04 | 3,012 | 43.5%1,311 W · 1,701 L | -29.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0576…6232backed No | 32c | 106.01$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.08 | 81 | 29.6%24 W · 57 L | -10.9wins | -0.13per pick | 43cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xdd03…df4abacked Yes | 30c | 100$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ad3…1af6backed Yes | 68c | 88.24$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.3wins | -0.65per pick | 65cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked Yes | 74c | 80.78$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.41 | 314 | 46.5%146 W · 168 L | -10.7wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x39b2…9460backed No | 32c | 78.12$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.12 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb1db…c0afbacked Yes | 68c | 73.53$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -3.1wins | -0.18per pick | 60cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0145…35d0backed Yes | 70c | 71.43$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.14per pick | 74cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x747f…f2d7backed Yes | 68c | 64.73$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.02 | 116 | 50.9%59 W · 57 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed No | 31c | 64.57$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.58 | 33 | 36.4%12 W · 21 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a72…c2a0backed Yes | 41c | 60.89$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -15%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6770…c3bdbacked Yes | 56c | 59.8$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.52 | 45 | 31.1%14 W · 31 L | -5.9wins | -0.13per pick | 44cpaid | -49.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbe3c…a835backed Yes | 55c | 56$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.8 | 44 | 45.5%20 W · 24 L | -3.5wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xed9f…b19dbacked Yes | 67c | 53.45$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.81 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.67per pick | 67cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa8af…9426backed Yes | 67c | 50$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.5 | 29 | 69%20 W · 9 L | +3.8wins | +0.13per pick | 56cpaid | +32.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9f2b…ccedbacked Yes | 70c | 45.71$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 62 | 46.8%29 W · 33 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0aa7…8332backed Yes | 68c | 44.12$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.3wins | -0.65per pick | 65cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2175…4b33backed Yes | 68c | 44.12$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.3wins | -0.65per pick | 65cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3f34…ed6abacked Yes | 62c | 43.51$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.81 | 47 | 48.9%23 W · 24 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 33c | 43.26$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.99 | 1,270 | 48%610 W · 660 L | -7.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5525…7d01backed Yes | 74c | 40.81$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.18per pick | 68cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa42b…45d2backed Yes | 71c | 39.44$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.09per pick | 65cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2654…b45fbacked No | 60c | 28.3$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.24 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | +1.4wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd8…9a1cbacked No | 79c | 25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.25 | 79 | 53.2%42 W · 37 L | +3.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x78fb…56bcbacked Yes | 68c | 22.06$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.3wins | -0.65per pick | 65cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5b66…582fbacked Yes | 68c | 22.06$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.3wins | -0.65per pick | 65cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4068…673ebacked Yes | 68c | 22.06$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.3wins | -0.65per pick | 65cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7488…9cfbbacked Yes | 68c | 22.06$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.68per pick | 68cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d10…780bbacked Yes | 68c | 22.06$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 41 | 46.3%19 W · 22 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x22d4…2613backed Yes | 68c | 22.06$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.3wins | -0.65per pick | 65cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x35ba…4390backed Yes | 68c | 21.93$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.68per pick | 68cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4196…76c9backed Yes | 69c | 21.74$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3fb4…d481backed Yes | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 36 | 61.1%22 W · 14 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2077…8161backed Yes | 65c | 17.25$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.21 | 46 | 60.9%28 W · 18 L | -3.1wins | -0.07per pick | 68cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Mls and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 16 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- New York Red Bulls vs. Charlotte FC: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- New York Red Bulls vs. Charlotte FC: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- New York Red Bulls vs. Charlotte FC: 1st Half O/U 1.5Over won
- New York Red Bulls vs. Charlotte FC: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under won
- New York Red Bulls vs. Charlotte FC: Both Teams to Score in First HalfNo won
- New York Red Bulls vs. Charlotte FC: Charlotte FC O/U 0.5Over won
- New York Red Bulls vs. Charlotte FC: O/U 0.5Over won
- New York Red Bulls vs. Charlotte FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- New York Red Bulls vs. Charlotte FC: O/U 2.5Under won
- New York Red Bulls vs. Charlotte FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- New York Red Bulls vs. Charlotte FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- New York Red Bulls vs. Charlotte FC: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: Charlotte FC (-1.5)Charlotte FC won
- Spread: Charlotte FC (-2.5)New York Red Bulls won
- Spread: New York Red Bulls (-1.5)Charlotte FC won
- Spread: New York Red Bulls (-2.5)Charlotte FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.