Mls · resolved market

New York Red Bulls vs. Charlotte FC: O/U 2.5

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa991eff6ec3243d95fe8fd57afa8869ffad7b537c943961180186e87d834bce0

Rebuilt 7 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Underof Over, Under
Resolved: Jul 25, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Mlsevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $40,471
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $46,008

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $40,471 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 82 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Mls is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Mls
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xdc41…dd7ebacked Over	69c	5,054$3,487 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,487.26	355	50.4%179 W · 176 L	+9.0wins	+0.03per pick	48cpaid	-2.8%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xdd5e…9040backed Over	69c	3,976$2,743 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,742.91	328	48.8%160 W · 168 L	+4.7wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	+8.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x07ea…a6babacked Over	69c	3,647$2,500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,500	25	56%14 W · 11 L	-0.7wins	-0.03per pick	59cpaid	-5.9%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x4f42…8bbcbacked Over	69c	3,623$2,500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,500	190	44.7%85 W · 105 L	+9.4wins	+0.05per pick	40cpaid	+14.6%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x191f…4a8dbacked Over	30c	3,361$1,017 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,016.81	146	52.1%76 W · 70 L	+5.6wins	+0.04per pick	48cpaid	+4.9%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4488…e319backed Under	31c	3,000$930 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,070	177	40.7%72 W · 105 L	-4.1wins	-0.02per pick	43cpaid	-11.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Under	32c	2,442$770 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,672.05	728	50.7%369 W · 359 L	-4.4wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-5.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Under	31c	2,358$738 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,620.36	702	49.7%349 W · 353 L	-7.1wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-3.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Under	33c	2,133$711 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,421.33	526	39.5%208 W · 318 L	-11.9wins	-0.02per pick	42cpaid	-13.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Under	56c	1,931$1,073 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$857.88	993	40.1%398 W · 595 L	+11.8wins	+0.01per pick	39cpaid	-5.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Under	25c	1,639$417 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,221.47	989	45.4%449 W · 540 L	-23.9wins	-0.02per pick	48cpaid	-13.2%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe6ee…b3aabacked Under	56c	1,519$857 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$662.4	21	71.4%15 W · 6 L	+4.3wins	+0.20per pick	51cpaid	+39.9%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under	31c	1,481$458 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,023.02	3,012	43.5%1,311 W · 1,701 L	-29.7wins	-0.01per pick	45cpaid	-9.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x800a…0b4dbacked Over	68c	1,427$970 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$970.02	21	38.1%8 W · 13 L	-0.9wins	-0.04per pick	43cpaid	-19.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Under	32c	1,364$441 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$923	1,444	36.8%532 W · 912 L	-12.0wins	-0.01per pick	38cpaid	-17.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0f39…311abacked Over	49c	700$343 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$343	10	20%2 W · 8 L	-1.4wins	-0.14per pick	34cpaid	-64.3%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8569…393dbacked Over	58c	692.99$404 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$404.46	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.6wins	-0.58per pick	58cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x47c5…46c3backed Under	33c	606.06$200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$406.06	35	28.6%10 W · 25 L	-2.6wins	-0.07per pick	36cpaid	-32.7%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb476…6eacbacked Over	79c	506.4$400 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$400	48	50%24 W · 24 L	-2.1wins	-0.04per pick	54cpaid	-19%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Under	28c	500.18$140 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$360.13	923	46.6%430 W · 493 L	-9.9wins	-0.01per pick	48cpaid	-6.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked Under	66c	440.15$289 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$150.78	444	47.3%210 W · 234 L	-1.6wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-10.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x865c…4079backed Over	45c	430.8$194 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$193.77	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.4wins	-0.45per pick	45cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4502…9eedbacked Under	77c	415.19$318 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$96.92	25	48%12 W · 13 L	-1.2wins	-0.05per pick	53cpaid	-31.6%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xecdb…c4c7backed Under	35c	411.08$143 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$268.17	107	53.3%57 W · 50 L	+2.5wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	-5.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Under	55c	403.2$220 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$183.27	530	40.6%215 W · 315 L	-2.2wins	0.00per pick	41cpaid	+6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x353b…e535backed Under	34c	393.56$134 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$259.75	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.7wins	+0.66per pick	34cpaid	+194.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Under	35c	330.74$114 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$216.27	1,262	45.2%571 W · 691 L	-28.1wins	-0.02per pick	47cpaid	-21.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4ffd…7821backed Under	78c	314.99$245 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$69.77	240	46.7%112 W · 128 L	-15.4wins	-0.06per pick	53cpaid	-19.3%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x789c…0d10backed Under	32c	308.11$98 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$210.56	126	50.8%64 W · 62 L	+2.8wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	-2.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb47e…c602backed Over	66c	300$197 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$197.04	65	46.2%30 W · 35 L	-2.9wins	-0.04per pick	51cpaid	-7.2%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xabce…2f87backed Over	60c	300$180 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$180	138	44.9%62 W · 76 L	-6.5wins	-0.05per pick	50cpaid	-7%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe8e0…7eecbacked Under	74c	280.27$208 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$72.37	314	46.5%146 W · 168 L	-10.7wins	-0.03per pick	50cpaid	-14.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked Under	31c	256$79 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$176.64	270	47%127 W · 143 L	-5.9wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-10.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Over	61c	240$146 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$146.4	915	53%485 W · 430 L	+4.7wins	+0.01per pick	52cpaid	-0.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6534…7cc7backed Under	39c	240$94 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$146.4	201	33.3%67 W · 134 L	+0.3wins	0.00per pick	33cpaid	-16.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed Under	37c	229.8$84 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$145.35	233	50.6%118 W · 115 L	-4.4wins	-0.02per pick	53cpaid	-9.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x101c…0e79backed Over	46c	217.36$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.5wins	-0.46per pick	46cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8152…5b51backed Under	73c	209.22$153 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$56.49	48	50%24 W · 24 L	-0.4wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	+15.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x97b2…1c44backed Over	44c	200$88 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$88	21	33.3%7 W · 14 L	-2.9wins	-0.14per pick	47cpaid	-32.5%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x08ce…86d3backed Over	59c	200$118 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$118	8	12.5%1 W · 7 L	-1.9wins	-0.24per pick	36cpaid	-81.6%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x5c18…2f76backed Over	17c	190.47$32 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$32.38	220	42.7%94 W · 126 L	-5.0wins	-0.02per pick	45cpaid	-19.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1bf7…ea54backed Over	54c	185.17$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$99.99	9	33.3%3 W · 6 L	-0.9wins	-0.09per pick	43cpaid	-37.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4836…859bbacked Under	34c	169.98$57 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$112.48	111	44.1%49 W · 62 L	-9.4wins	-0.08per pick	53cpaid	-23.3%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x7179…7d79backed Under	50c	160.48$80 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$80.48	125	51.2%64 W · 61 L	+9.7wins	+0.08per pick	43cpaid	+19.6%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xcc8e…944ebacked Over	65c	153.85$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	56	76.8%43 W · 13 L	+1.7wins	+0.03per pick	74cpaid	+5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb109…d40fbacked Over	66c	151.52$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	23	56.5%13 W · 10 L	-1.4wins	-0.06per pick	63cpaid	-5.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb70d…5925backed Over	68c	150.97$103 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$102.66	65	58.5%38 W · 27 L	+1.7wins	+0.03per pick	56cpaid	-0.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x488c…a2dabacked Over	67c	149.25$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	16	56.3%9 W · 7 L	-1.0wins	-0.06per pick	63cpaid	-8.1%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Under	33c	149.25$49 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$100	1,880	36.6%688 W · 1,192 L	-7.3wins	0.00per pick	37cpaid	-8.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x224f…514abacked Over	68c	145.97$99 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$99.26	103	58.3%60 W · 43 L	+1.2wins	+0.01per pick	57cpaid	+1.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x84d4…77a9backed Over	65c	140.35$91 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$91.23	196	42.9%84 W · 112 L	-9.0wins	-0.05per pick	47cpaid	-12.4%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5659…7a6bbacked Under	34c	138$47 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$91.08	529	23.8%126 W · 403 L	-25.8wins	-0.05per pick	29cpaid	-18%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x7d4b…802bbacked Under	16c	126.99$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$106.99	24	41.7%10 W · 14 L	-0.6wins	-0.02per pick	44cpaid	+4.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcf37…993fbacked Under	31c	114.99$36 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$79.35	30	43.3%13 W · 17 L	+2.0wins	+0.07per pick	37cpaid	-9%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf423…31c4backed Under	45c	106.17$47 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$58.89	31	45.2%14 W · 17 L	+0.8wins	+0.03per pick	43cpaid	+5.2%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x8d93…b34dbacked Over	80c	100$80 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$80	100	43%43 W · 57 L	-6.1wins	-0.06per pick	49cpaid	-10.4%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xec56…1816backed Over	42c	96.56$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40.5	164	37.2%61 W · 103 L	-11.4wins	-0.07per pick	44cpaid	-34.3%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Under	29c	96$28 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$68.16	802	49.8%399 W · 403 L	+8.0wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	-9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0464…67dabacked Under	49c	84.66$41 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$43.26	76	59.2%45 W · 31 L	+4.6wins	+0.06per pick	53cpaid	+7.1%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x056b…5a03backed Under	35c	72.08$25 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$46.94	28	35.7%10 W · 18 L	+0.3wins	+0.01per pick	35cpaid	+1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0fa1…bf73backed Over	45c	69.99$31 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$31.5	102	49%50 W · 52 L	-4.5wins	-0.04per pick	53cpaid	-9.8%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x167a…d542backed Under	73c	68$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$18.36	73	67.1%49 W · 24 L	+4.6wins	+0.06per pick	61cpaid	+9.5%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xa384…3c9fbacked Under	37c	67.56$25 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$42.56	27	51.9%14 W · 13 L	+1.8wins	+0.07per pick	45cpaid	+7.1%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xbf20…1881backed Under	56c	62.01$35 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$27.04	23	52.2%12 W · 11 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	52cpaid	-21.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc7d0…1f8abacked Under	47c	60.36$28 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$31.99	128	39.8%51 W · 77 L	+1.2wins	+0.01per pick	39cpaid	-19.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x508d…3961backed Over	50c	60$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	11	18.2%2 W · 9 L	-2.5wins	-0.22per pick	41cpaid	-60.2%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0xe24f…0c5abacked Over	58c	49.99$29 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28.99	13	15.4%2 W · 11 L	-4.8wins	-0.37per pick	52cpaid	-72.6%equal weight	36-0.13 edge/pick
0xc8cd…ed53backed Over	68c	44.54$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30.29	29	79.3%23 W · 6 L	+3.0wins	+0.10per pick	69cpaid	+13.3%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0xcb11…9845backed Under	53c	39.18$21 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$18.6	10	50%5 W · 5 L	-0.3wins	-0.03per pick	53cpaid	-12.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x69fa…e259backed Under	34c	37.68$13 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$24.87	9	77.8%7 W · 2 L	+2.6wins	+0.29per pick	49cpaid	+53.7%equal weight	58+0.08 edge/pick
0x747f…f2d7backed Over	67c	35$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23.45	116	50.9%59 W · 57 L	-1.6wins	-0.01per pick	52cpaid	-3.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x162c…6c47backed Over	35c	33.93$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.01	41	48.8%20 W · 21 L	-1.0wins	-0.02per pick	51cpaid	-8.5%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x63ee…027ebacked Under	70c	31.44$22 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$9.44	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.3wins	+0.30per pick	70cpaid	+42.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf504…0111backed Under	50c	30.88$16 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$15.3	34	61.8%21 W · 13 L	+0.6wins	+0.02per pick	60cpaid	+3.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6b23…04a3backed Under	66c	30.18$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10.18	256	52.3%134 W · 122 L	+1.7wins	+0.01per pick	52cpaid	-6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x03f5…3047backed Over	68c	29.41$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	27	59.3%16 W · 11 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	59cpaid	-3.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed Under	39c	27$10 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$16.55	352	47.7%168 W · 184 L	-6.3wins	-0.02per pick	50cpaid	-10.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x775d…6bebbacked Under	39c	27$11 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$16.48	366	46.7%171 W · 195 L	-7.7wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-13.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Over	74c	23.84$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.73	362	47.2%171 W · 191 L	-3.1wins	-0.01per pick	48cpaid	-10%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8935…7daabacked Over	54c	22.9$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.34	307	35.2%108 W · 199 L	-32.1wins	-0.10per pick	46cpaid	-34.7%equal weight	39-0.10 edge/pick
0x824b…da12backed Over	69c	19$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.06	6	50%3 W · 3 L	-1.0wins	-0.17per pick	67cpaid	-27.1%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4732…f40dbacked Over	68c	14.93$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.15	13	38.5%5 W · 8 L	-1.5wins	-0.11per pick	50cpaid	-16.1%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Mls and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 16 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

New York Red Bulls vs. Charlotte FC: O/U 2.5this page
New York Red Bulls vs. Charlotte FC: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
New York Red Bulls vs. Charlotte FC: 1st Half O/U 1.5Over won
New York Red Bulls vs. Charlotte FC: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under won
New York Red Bulls vs. Charlotte FC: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
New York Red Bulls vs. Charlotte FC: Both Teams to Score in First HalfNo won
New York Red Bulls vs. Charlotte FC: Charlotte FC O/U 0.5Over won
New York Red Bulls vs. Charlotte FC: O/U 0.5Over won
New York Red Bulls vs. Charlotte FC: O/U 1.5Over won
New York Red Bulls vs. Charlotte FC: O/U 3.5Under won
New York Red Bulls vs. Charlotte FC: O/U 4.5Under won
New York Red Bulls vs. Charlotte FC: O/U 5.5Under won
Spread: Charlotte FC (-1.5)Charlotte FC won
Spread: Charlotte FC (-2.5)New York Red Bulls won
Spread: New York Red Bulls (-1.5)Charlotte FC won
Spread: New York Red Bulls (-2.5)Charlotte FC won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

New York Red Bulls vs. Charlotte FC: O/U 2.5

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event