Europa Conference League · resolved market
Spread: Tromsø IL (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xddb4e19ae8d1d3f8dfdcce224d4649a00ed1d1484e88d3d32ff755e603af2b3e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- FC Hradec Královéof Tromsø IL, FC Hradec Králové
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $91,818
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $124,071
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $91,818 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 64 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc3ed…9f79backed FC Hradec Králové | 60c | 31,896$19,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,896.5 | 33 | 39.4%13 W · 20 L | -4.2wins | -0.13per pick | 52cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Tromsø IL | 41c | 11,090$4,493 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,493.42 | 2,473 | 33.9%839 W · 1,634 L | -95.0wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -25%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Tromsø IL | 40c | 7,592$3,037 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,036.76 | 2,990 | 42.5%1,270 W · 1,720 L | +9.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Tromsø IL | 40c | 3,588$1,427 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,426.57 | 568 | 49.6%282 W · 286 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Tromsø IL | 42c | 3,033$1,263 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,262.81 | 2,333 | 41.7%972 W · 1,361 L | +25.5wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Tromsø IL | 42c | 2,500$1,049 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,049.37 | 694 | 48.8%339 W · 355 L | +18.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29d3…ccf6backed Tromsø IL | 42c | 2,460$1,030 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,030.04 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Tromsø IL | 24c | 1,697$408 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$407.98 | 1,604 | 38.9%624 W · 980 L | -17.7wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Tromsø IL | 2c | 1,401$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.55 | 702 | 39.3%276 W · 426 L | -18.0wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed FC Hradec Králové | 58c | 861.49$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$361.83 | 1,316 | 50.8%668 W · 648 L | +33.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Tromsø IL | 41c | 707.58$292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$292.47 | 275 | 45.8%126 W · 149 L | +6.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Tromsø IL | 43c | 516.38$221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220.61 | 169 | 40.2%68 W · 101 L | -11.1wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb437…cfb3backed FC Hradec Králové | 56c | 499.98$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$219.99 | 35 | 28.6%10 W · 25 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x39e7…ceedbacked Tromsø IL | 44c | 480$211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$211.2 | 21 | 23.8%5 W · 16 L | -2.8wins | -0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6c1d…1f8fbacked Tromsø IL | 41c | 475.32$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.89 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Tromsø IL | 40c | 412$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.83 | 98 | 58.2%57 W · 41 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x633e…d305backed FC Hradec Králové | 57c | 344.19$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148 | 75 | 60%45 W · 30 L | +8.7wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +77.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Tromsø IL | 41c | 342.68$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.48 | 2,167 | 37.6%815 W · 1,352 L | +5.7wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3c91…b4d2backed FC Hradec Králové | 59c | 264.99$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.42 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6600…d5fdbacked FC Hradec Králové | 59c | 255$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.55 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3947…63a5backed Tromsø IL | 42c | 238.1$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Tromsø IL | 41c | 201.05$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.61 | 501 | 54.7%274 W · 227 L | +20.1wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5968…96f0backed FC Hradec Králové | 57c | 170.07$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.13 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x47c6…2fe4backed FC Hradec Králové | 59c | 169$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.29 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f45…e6a7backed FC Hradec Králové | 61c | 164.99$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.35 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed FC Hradec Králové | 58c | 146.71$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.21 | 1,573 | 55.7%876 W · 697 L | +25.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed FC Hradec Králové | 58c | 133.55$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.89 | 655 | 49.8%326 W · 329 L | +13.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked FC Hradec Králové | 58c | 130.93$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.99 | 164 | 43.9%72 W · 92 L | -5.0wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa710…f1ccbacked Tromsø IL | 43c | 116.28$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 152 | 24.3%37 W · 115 L | -6.9wins | -0.05per pick | 29cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed FC Hradec Králové | 77c | 114.8$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.57 | 852 | 60.9%519 W · 333 L | +29.5wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xade5…56b1backed Tromsø IL | 38c | 105.26$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -3.5wins | -0.29per pick | 54cpaid | -60%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Tromsø IL | 40c | 101.47$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.47 | 778 | 55%428 W · 350 L | +23.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x36b3…e421backed Tromsø IL | 41c | 100.73$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.3 | 80 | 42.5%34 W · 46 L | -7.1wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x04a7…164bbacked FC Hradec Králové | 59c | 100$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x86a6…1b3ebacked FC Hradec Králové | 73c | 95$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.65 | 58 | 50%29 W · 29 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Tromsø IL | 42c | 87.36$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.02 | 661 | 50.5%334 W · 327 L | +22.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdf15…a1febacked FC Hradec Králové | 59c | 83.33$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.17 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x789c…0d10backed Tromsø IL | 42c | 61.72$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.92 | 299 | 59.5%178 W · 121 L | +6.5wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1010…d793backed Tromsø IL | 41c | 60$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.6 | 84 | 61.9%52 W · 32 L | +9.5wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4a47…cfbbbacked Tromsø IL | 41c | 58.38$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.17 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd819…2d80backed Tromsø IL | 41c | 50$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.4 | 44 | 43.2%19 W · 25 L | -5.9wins | -0.13per pick | 57cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Tromsø IL | 40c | 50$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 47 | 70.2%33 W · 14 L | +7.7wins | +0.16per pick | 54cpaid | +29.7%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x819a…4b03backed Tromsø IL | 40c | 50$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | -4.5wins | -0.30per pick | 50cpaid | -62.9%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xd577…c012backed FC Hradec Králové | 59c | 49.18$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.16 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xab95…6c79backed Tromsø IL | 42c | 47.57$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.98 | 45 | 64.4%29 W · 16 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 63cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Tromsø IL | 25c | 47.28$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.82 | 795 | 32.2%256 W · 539 L | -16.9wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x11f5…ea34backed Tromsø IL | 43c | 46.51$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -2.3wins | -0.12per pick | 44cpaid | -41.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1230…c70bbacked Tromsø IL | 42c | 45.45$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.09 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +1.7wins | +0.14per pick | 61cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2fe8…3f2cbacked FC Hradec Králové | 58c | 40.98$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.21 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked FC Hradec Králové | 56c | 40$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.4 | 476 | 49.4%235 W · 241 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0464…67dabacked FC Hradec Králové | 66c | 37.58$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.85 | 363 | 56.5%205 W · 158 L | +17.1wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9b…e74abacked Tromsø IL | 44c | 36.36$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 42 | 40.5%17 W · 25 L | -3.1wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x87fe…03cebacked FC Hradec Králové | 58c | 35$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.7 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +72.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa146…6163backed FC Hradec Králové | 61c | 32.79$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.79 | 36 | 44.4%16 W · 20 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e4c…3bb8backed Tromsø IL | 46c | 32.61$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | 0%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed FC Hradec Králové | 58c | 30.57$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.84 | 793 | 54.2%430 W · 363 L | +17.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2892…e9d7backed Tromsø IL | 40c | 30$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.1 | 97 | 53.6%52 W · 45 L | +5.6wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0a62…5247backed Tromsø IL | 41c | 30$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.35 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b92…a6e3backed Tromsø IL | 41c | 30$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.35 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0d10…780bbacked FC Hradec Králové | 55c | 27.27$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.27 | 51 | 64.7%33 W · 18 L | +6.0wins | +0.12per pick | 53cpaid | +26.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7218…ea41backed FC Hradec Králové | 59c | 24.59$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.08 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -1.1wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa597…79d7backed FC Hradec Králové | 62c | 23$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.74 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.13per pick | 57cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked FC Hradec Králové | 64c | 22.42$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.07 | 973 | 46%448 W · 525 L | -4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8266…c5cbbacked FC Hradec Králové | 59c | 22$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.02 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +51.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Tromsø IL (-1.5)this page
- Spread: FC Hradec Králové (-1.5)Tromsø IL won
- Spread: FC Hradec Králové (-2.5)Tromsø IL won
- Spread: Tromsø IL (-2.5)FC Hradec Králové won
- Tromsø IL vs. FC Hradec Králové: 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Tromsø IL vs. FC Hradec Králové: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Tromsø IL vs. FC Hradec Králové: O/U 0.5Over won
- Tromsø IL vs. FC Hradec Králové: O/U 1.5Under won
- Tromsø IL vs. FC Hradec Králové: O/U 2.5Under won
- Tromsø IL vs. FC Hradec Králové: O/U 3.5Under won
- Tromsø IL vs. FC Hradec Králové: O/U 4.5Under won
- Tromsø IL vs. FC Hradec Králové: O/U 5.5Under won
- Tromsø IL vs. FC Hradec Králové: Tromsø IL O/U 0.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.