Europa Conference League · resolved market
Tromsø IL vs. FC Hradec Králové: O/U 0.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc818a0ccd0b97f8de0ffb8be1e1e8bd3ec2152d6215f82d31df08a54320396bc
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $28,468
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $31,045
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $28,468 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 35 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 24c | 3,304$808 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$808.03 | 3,726 | 47%1,750 W · 1,976 L | +20.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd93…56c0backed Over | 70c | 2,864$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$863.67 | 116 | 74.1%86 W · 30 L | +18.9wins | +0.16per pick | 58cpaid | +34.9%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x70e8…0836backed Under | 15c | 2,667$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.12per pick | 22cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84c1…4114backed Under | 15c | 2,667$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.15per pick | 19cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e7b…d719backed Under | 15c | 2,667$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.27per pick | 22cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Over | 57c | 1,932$1,096 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$835.72 | 1,604 | 38.9%624 W · 980 L | -17.7wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Under | 18c | 1,780$324 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$323.62 | 2,473 | 33.9%839 W · 1,634 L | -95.0wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -25%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 80c | 1,750$1,398 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$351.5 | 2,990 | 42.5%1,270 W · 1,720 L | +9.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb763…cce5backed Under | 62c | 1,400$868 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$868 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +3.7wins | +0.23per pick | 39cpaid | +88.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x829e…339cbacked Under | 15c | 1,333$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd4d…3ac6backed Under | 15c | 1,333$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd58…f7b5backed Under | 15c | 1,333$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.35per pick | 15cpaid | +233.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb595…5922backed Over | 37c | 726.29$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$456.29 | 42 | 90.5%38 W · 4 L | +10.6wins | +0.25per pick | 65cpaid | +54.1%equal weight | 68+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Under | 19c | 626.2$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.66 | 106 | 27.4%29 W · 77 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ad5…62ffbacked Over | 50c | 592.22$294 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$298.4 | 314 | 30.3%95 W · 219 L | -15.9wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5b6e…f544backed Under | 21c | 498.42$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.76 | 293 | 37.9%111 W · 182 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec56…1816backed Under | 44c | 291.09$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.87 | 118 | 39.8%47 W · 71 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfdae…6ad2backed Over | 78c | 270.04$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.04 | 206 | 60.2%124 W · 82 L | -15.2wins | -0.07per pick | 68cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x57b0…87e4backed Under | 15c | 246.42$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.96 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…8c41backed Under | 26c | 192.24$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.98 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.19per pick | 31cpaid | +42.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Under | 36c | 169.57$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.47 | 973 | 46%448 W · 525 L | -4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed Under | 30c | 143.83$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.56 | 852 | 60.9%519 W · 333 L | +29.5wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f3b…db03backed Over | 74c | 135.14$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.14 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c2e…b55cbacked Over | 80c | 130$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8230…5121backed Over | 51c | 120.57$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.08 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | +3.6wins | +0.14per pick | 26cpaid | +72.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf423…31c4backed Under | 38c | 114.97$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.62 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -2.3wins | -0.29per pick | 42cpaid | -78.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0435…a10ebacked Under | 19c | 105.26$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | +2.0wins | +0.08per pick | 27cpaid | +19%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Under | 13c | 89$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.87 | 2,333 | 41.7%972 W · 1,361 L | +25.5wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe5f6…73fabacked Over | 57c | 87.72$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.72 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 68cpaid | -2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1399…48c8backed Over | 66c | 55.4$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.84 | 155 | 62.6%97 W · 58 L | +22.9wins | +0.15per pick | 48cpaid | +35.6%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xd60c…2b06backed Over | 69c | 44.76$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.77 | 179 | 58.1%104 W · 75 L | +17.0wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +24.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x882c…5d07backed Under | 59c | 43$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.28 | 351 | 46.2%162 W · 189 L | -11.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xef18…4d70backed Over | 65c | 33.81$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.72 | 178 | 55.6%99 W · 79 L | +14.6wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x50e5…e39fbacked Under | 50c | 31$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.46 | 535 | 64.7%346 W · 189 L | +29.1wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7dde…30b1backed Over | 54c | 30.8$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.32 | 43 | 62.8%27 W · 16 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Tromsø IL vs. FC Hradec Králové: O/U 0.5this page
- Spread: FC Hradec Králové (-1.5)Tromsø IL won
- Spread: FC Hradec Králové (-2.5)Tromsø IL won
- Spread: Tromsø IL (-1.5)FC Hradec Králové won
- Spread: Tromsø IL (-2.5)FC Hradec Králové won
- Tromsø IL vs. FC Hradec Králové: 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Tromsø IL vs. FC Hradec Králové: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Tromsø IL vs. FC Hradec Králové: O/U 1.5Under won
- Tromsø IL vs. FC Hradec Králové: O/U 2.5Under won
- Tromsø IL vs. FC Hradec Králové: O/U 3.5Under won
- Tromsø IL vs. FC Hradec Králové: O/U 4.5Under won
- Tromsø IL vs. FC Hradec Králové: O/U 5.5Under won
- Tromsø IL vs. FC Hradec Králové: Tromsø IL O/U 0.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.