Europa Conference League · resolved market
Tromsø IL vs. FC Hradec Králové: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x407385c75e0d1ea8b209a3e3904ad4b213f13593ddfa1db3250c289836260f06
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $26,776
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $27,211
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $26,776 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 47 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 48c | 7,753$3,730 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,023.17 | 3,726 | 47%1,750 W · 1,976 L | +20.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa39a…1246backed Over | 65c | 7,700$5,018 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,017.96 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -3.2wins | -0.20per pick | 57cpaid | -37.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Over | 35c | 3,635$1,262 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,261.75 | 1,604 | 38.9%624 W · 980 L | -17.7wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Under | 35c | 2,627$908 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,719.75 | 2,333 | 41.7%972 W · 1,361 L | +25.5wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa704…11c1backed Over | 77c | 2,583$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 37 | 67.6%25 W · 12 L | -2.0wins | -0.05per pick | 73cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Under | 23c | 762.7$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$586.26 | 1,033 | 46.1%476 W · 557 L | -3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Over | 56c | 745.25$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$419.64 | 2,167 | 37.6%815 W · 1,352 L | +5.7wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Over | 50c | 719.33$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$359.66 | 568 | 49.6%282 W · 286 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfff3…e2c5backed Under | 39c | 513.26$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$313.09 | 46 | 45.7%21 W · 25 L | -2.3wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa78d…130bbacked Over | 36c | 466.03$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.77 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Over | 45c | 442.49$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.38 | 2,473 | 33.9%839 W · 1,634 L | -95.0wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -25%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed Under | 49c | 441.61$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225.59 | 852 | 60.9%519 W · 333 L | +29.5wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0189…cab8backed Over | 78c | 383.85$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 55 | 54.5%30 W · 25 L | -2.7wins | -0.05per pick | 59cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d06…755bbacked Under | 50c | 376$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ad5…62ffbacked Over | 49c | 352.74$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.07 | 314 | 30.3%95 W · 219 L | -15.9wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x34a1…7622backed Under | 75c | 350$263 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.5 | 116 | 45.7%53 W · 63 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b6e…f544backed Under | 38c | 346.26$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$213.64 | 293 | 37.9%111 W · 182 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x789c…0d10backed Under | 43c | 337.52$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191.14 | 299 | 59.5%178 W · 121 L | +6.5wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc56…8f28backed Under | 75c | 333.33$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.33 | 91 | 52.7%48 W · 43 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Under | 22c | 268.42$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$209.24 | 275 | 45.8%126 W · 149 L | +6.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1372…4ce0backed Over | 77c | 261.21$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb14…5358backed Over | 75c | 200.14$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.11 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -2.0wins | -0.13per pick | 56cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5981…3934backed Over | 51c | 171.16$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.29 | 83 | 33.7%28 W · 55 L | -6.8wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc7ff…8a60backed Over | 50c | 150$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd68e…8048backed Over | 76c | 150$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.5 | 59 | 71.2%42 W · 17 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 73cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50e5…e39fbacked Under | 37c | 149$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.01 | 535 | 64.7%346 W · 189 L | +29.1wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x30dc…768ebacked Over | 79c | 100.24$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.79per pick | 79cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc2b0…e756backed Over | 39c | 99.98$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.59 | 36 | 27.8%10 W · 26 L | -1.9wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -34%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked Under | 23c | 99.97$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.98 | 476 | 49.4%235 W · 241 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x31e7…fe2abacked Under | 36c | 97.78$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.58 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +2.6wins | +0.26per pick | 44cpaid | +58%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x125a…df71backed Under | 26c | 93.5$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.19 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -0.9wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x86a6…1b3ebacked Under | 51c | 84.31$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.31 | 58 | 50%29 W · 29 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84d4…77a9backed Under | 50c | 77.53$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.11 | 296 | 54.1%160 W · 136 L | +8.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 25c | 65.06$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.21 | 2,990 | 42.5%1,270 W · 1,720 L | +9.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa14b…11d0backed Over | 79c | 64.04$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.59 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.79per pick | 79cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed Under | 23c | 63.71$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.97 | 655 | 49.8%326 W · 329 L | +13.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfdae…6ad2backed Over | 48c | 63.03$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 206 | 60.2%124 W · 82 L | -15.2wins | -0.07per pick | 68cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x51d2…1462backed Over | 17c | 60$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed Under | 22c | 58$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.51 | 441 | 56%247 W · 194 L | +22.7wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf9b5…1212backed Under | 61c | 49.27$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.27 | 103 | 44.7%46 W · 57 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 24c | 46$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.96 | 1,573 | 55.7%876 W · 697 L | +25.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4bf2…d280backed Under | 25c | 40.4$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.3 | 53 | 45.3%24 W · 29 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc810…adc1backed Under | 35c | 37.49$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.41 | 11 | 90.9%10 W · 1 L | +3.9wins | +0.36per pick | 55cpaid | +73.6%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Over | 76c | 25.43$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.33 | 973 | 46%448 W · 525 L | -4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3fed…e9cabacked Over | 51c | 25.35$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.93 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed Under | 57c | 23.86$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.37 | 294 | 70.1%206 W · 88 L | +21.6wins | +0.07per pick | 63cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbf20…8ae0backed Over | 75c | 20$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.09per pick | 72cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Tromsø IL vs. FC Hradec Králové: O/U 1.5this page
- Spread: FC Hradec Králové (-1.5)Tromsø IL won
- Spread: FC Hradec Králové (-2.5)Tromsø IL won
- Spread: Tromsø IL (-1.5)FC Hradec Králové won
- Spread: Tromsø IL (-2.5)FC Hradec Králové won
- Tromsø IL vs. FC Hradec Králové: 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Tromsø IL vs. FC Hradec Králové: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Tromsø IL vs. FC Hradec Králové: O/U 0.5Over won
- Tromsø IL vs. FC Hradec Králové: O/U 2.5Under won
- Tromsø IL vs. FC Hradec Králové: O/U 3.5Under won
- Tromsø IL vs. FC Hradec Králové: O/U 4.5Under won
- Tromsø IL vs. FC Hradec Králové: O/U 5.5Under won
- Tromsø IL vs. FC Hradec Králové: Tromsø IL O/U 0.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.