Champions League · resolved market
Inter Club d'Escaldes vs. Lincoln Red Imps FC: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x37432a85df7a208b672828e8be42cd89fd453a9b7460c49e1ae8a112558396d5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $12,466
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $13,285
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $12,466 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 40 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Champions League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 78c | 5,866$4,558 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,308.44 | 1,994 | 43.9%875 W · 1,119 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Over | 21c | 4,593$949 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$948.98 | 467 | 41.5%194 W · 273 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Over | 10c | 1,030$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.94 | 723 | 35.5%257 W · 466 L | -28.3wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6553…7a71backed Over | 46c | 811.13$373 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$373.12 | 99 | 47.5%47 W · 52 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed Over | 20c | 700$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.1 | 214 | 60.7%130 W · 84 L | +21.0wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +23.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ee…5513backed Over | 12c | 622.75$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.53 | 122 | 19.7%24 W · 98 L | +5.0wins | +0.04per pick | 16cpaid | +28%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1a9e…a24bbacked Over | 40c | 509.9$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205.46 | 72 | 36.1%26 W · 46 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Over | 46c | 394.43$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.52 | 154 | 48.7%75 W · 79 L | -4.7wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Under | 80c | 371$297 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.2 | 147 | 36.1%53 W · 94 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -23%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Under | 54c | 368.42$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.47 | 361 | 42.4%153 W · 208 L | -13.1wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 59c | 298.36$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.88 | 1,511 | 40.2%608 W · 903 L | -6.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -16%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Under | 54c | 274.35$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.2 | 299 | 49.5%148 W · 151 L | +9.1wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6787…ff88backed Over | 46c | 216.99$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.82 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -1.6wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbbc8…4f5bbacked Under | 80c | 203$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.6 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +98.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Under | 54c | 186.19$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.41 | 297 | 46.5%138 W · 159 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaa8f…14d1backed Under | 55c | 174.07$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.33 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Under | 55c | 157.81$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.79 | 376 | 49.5%186 W · 190 L | +20.5wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Over | 45c | 155.45$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.12 | 520 | 46.7%243 W · 277 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5981…3934backed Over | 46c | 104.83$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.22 | 61 | 32.8%20 W · 41 L | -5.2wins | -0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfee8…9197backed Under | 54c | 103.04$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.4 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +1.1wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x02bc…1fd2backed Under | 54c | 100$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46 | 82 | 53.7%44 W · 38 L | +6.1wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2272…95a2backed Under | 54c | 95.17$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.78 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.37per pick | 64cpaid | +61.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf99a…df76backed Under | 69c | 86.96$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.96 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +1.6wins | +0.12per pick | 57cpaid | +27.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x702e…ff44backed Over | 46c | 81$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.26 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | -2.0wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Over | 44c | 75.26$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.12 | 446 | 47.3%211 W · 235 L | +12.1wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51eb…6bfabacked Under | 55c | 55.8$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.11 | 66 | 57.6%38 W · 28 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Over | 45c | 51.78$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.49 | 650 | 50.2%326 W · 324 L | -12.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 75c | 43.67$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.76 | 1,021 | 35.3%360 W · 661 L | -8.6wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7113…dba4backed Over | 46c | 39.13$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 214 | 43.9%94 W · 120 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa032…2090backed Over | 45c | 35.6$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.02 | 69 | 47.8%33 W · 36 L | -5.8wins | -0.08per pick | 56cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x87fe…03cebacked Under | 55c | 35$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.75 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +77%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f2…131dbacked Under | 54c | 31.48$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.48 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1715…a049backed Under | 54c | 30.38$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.98 | 101 | 51.5%52 W · 49 L | -5.6wins | -0.06per pick | 57cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Over | 46c | 30$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.8 | 97 | 48.5%47 W · 50 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2da3…f258backed Over | 46c | 30$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.65 | 32 | 56.3%18 W · 14 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4061…dde5backed Under | 55c | 27.27$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.27 | 26 | 26.9%7 W · 19 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c97…c20bbacked Over | 46c | 26.09$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 61 | 41%25 W · 36 L | -4.6wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x522f…1164backed Over | 45c | 24$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.22per pick | 39cpaid | -62.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4548…e4b5backed Under | 54c | 20.79$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.56 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | -1.9wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbbdd…bd60backed Under | 54c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Inter Club d'Escaldes vs. Lincoln Red Imps FC: O/U 3.5this page
- Inter Club d'Escaldes vs. Lincoln Red Imps FC: 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Inter Club d'Escaldes vs. Lincoln Red Imps FC: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Inter Club d'Escaldes vs. Lincoln Red Imps FC: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under won
- Inter Club d'Escaldes vs. Lincoln Red Imps FC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Inter Club d'Escaldes vs. Lincoln Red Imps FC: Inter Club d'Escaldes O/U 0.5Over won
- Inter Club d'Escaldes vs. Lincoln Red Imps FC: Inter Club d'Escaldes O/U 1.5Under won
- Inter Club d'Escaldes vs. Lincoln Red Imps FC: O/U 0.5Over won
- Inter Club d'Escaldes vs. Lincoln Red Imps FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Inter Club d'Escaldes vs. Lincoln Red Imps FC: O/U 2.5Under won
- Inter Club d'Escaldes vs. Lincoln Red Imps FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Inter Club d'Escaldes vs. Lincoln Red Imps FC: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: Inter Club d'Escaldes (-1.5)Lincoln Red Imps FC won
- Spread: Inter Club d'Escaldes (-2.5)Lincoln Red Imps FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.