Inter Club d'Escaldes vs. Lincoln Red Imps FC: O/U 2.5

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x986cec404c80803114b92e725f89ba417dbc0af48fe2ebb46be73df9f98494a7

Rebuilt 13 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Underof Over, Under
Resolved: Jul 14, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $39,615
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $52,759

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $39,615 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 60 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Champions League
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x3740…a935backed Under	59c	13,000$7,664 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5,336.25	62	67.7%42 W · 20 L	+0.6wins	+0.01per pick	67cpaid	+1.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over	40c	7,774$3,088 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,087.61	1,511	40.2%608 W · 903 L	-6.7wins	0.00per pick	41cpaid	-16%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Over	28c	3,258$903 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$903.4	467	41.5%194 W · 273 L	+2.2wins	0.00per pick	41cpaid	-15.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Over	44c	2,895$1,271 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,270.99	915	37.6%344 W · 571 L	+30.7wins	+0.03per pick	34cpaid	+3.9%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4ffd…7821backed Under	75c	1,911$1,440 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$470.85	68	44.1%30 W · 38 L	-4.6wins	-0.07per pick	51cpaid	-20.3%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under	66c	1,302$862 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$439.58	1,994	43.9%875 W · 1,119 L	+1.0wins	0.00per pick	44cpaid	-9.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Over	37c	1,196$446 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$446.1	723	35.5%257 W · 466 L	-28.3wins	-0.04per pick	39cpaid	-29.2%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1a9e…a24bbacked Over	43c	461.02$197 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$197.3	72	36.1%26 W · 46 L	-2.3wins	-0.03per pick	39cpaid	-16.6%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xdfc2…9343backed Under	34c	377.26$130 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$247.26	7	57.1%4 W · 3 L	+1.1wins	+0.16per pick	41cpaid	+47.8%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4ad5…b130backed Over	27c	296.3$80 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$80	22	36.4%8 W · 14 L	+2.6wins	+0.12per pick	25cpaid	+50.7%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Under	41c	288.84$118 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$171.02	446	47.3%211 W · 235 L	+12.1wins	+0.03per pick	45cpaid	+2.2%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x57e7…84e9backed Over	41c	229.64$95 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$94.5	11	27.3%3 W · 8 L	-2.0wins	-0.18per pick	46cpaid	-49.8%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x760b…6dc8backed Over	68c	225.07$153 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$153.05	13	61.5%8 W · 5 L	+1.1wins	+0.09per pick	53cpaid	+19.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Under	73c	202.74$148 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$54.74	328	43.6%143 W · 185 L	-10.8wins	-0.03per pick	47cpaid	-3.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x97b2…1c44backed Over	46c	200$92 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$92	17	76.5%13 W · 4 L	+3.8wins	+0.22per pick	54cpaid	+46.6%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0xfd74…bedabacked Over	54c	199.98$108 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$108.49	52	40.4%21 W · 31 L	+3.6wins	+0.07per pick	34cpaid	+24.4%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Over	26c	188.78$49 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$49.37	1,021	35.3%360 W · 661 L	-8.6wins	-0.01per pick	36cpaid	-8.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Under	32c	172.58$55 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$117.35	432	52.3%226 W · 206 L	+3.9wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	+4.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc90e…c7b6backed Over	46c	165$76 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$75.9	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-1.0wins	-0.48per pick	48cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa54d…deb8backed Under	67c	158.75$106 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$52.39	22	50%11 W · 11 L	-1.0wins	-0.05per pick	55cpaid	-11.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed Over	66c	133.14$88 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$87.87	154	48.7%75 W · 79 L	-4.7wins	-0.03per pick	52cpaid	-10.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9abb…3f96backed Under	80c	125$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$25	18	61.1%11 W · 7 L	+0.3wins	+0.02per pick	59cpaid	-0.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over	68c	119.04$81 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$80.95	886	31.7%281 W · 605 L	-10.7wins	-0.01per pick	33cpaid	-7.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Over	12c	117.27$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.24	174	43.7%76 W · 98 L	+3.7wins	+0.02per pick	42cpaid	-13.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe8e0…7eecbacked Over	44c	116$51 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50.97	88	45.5%40 W · 48 L	-6.1wins	-0.07per pick	52cpaid	-22.9%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Over	66c	106.51$70 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$70.42	650	50.2%326 W · 324 L	-12.0wins	-0.02per pick	52cpaid	-2.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2b35…0bfebacked Over	66c	102.42$68 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$67.57	225	52%117 W · 108 L	-1.0wins	0.00per pick	52cpaid	-5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed Over	43c	92$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$39.56	146	45.9%67 W · 79 L	-8.2wins	-0.06per pick	51cpaid	-19.8%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xdd5e…9040backed Over	67c	89$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$59.63	119	37.8%45 W · 74 L	-3.1wins	-0.03per pick	40cpaid	-14.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa3c2…df3dbacked Under	32c	88$28 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$59.66	520	46.7%243 W · 277 L	+2.9wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	+8.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x186a…559dbacked Over	58c	86.21$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	29	55.2%16 W · 13 L	+0.8wins	+0.03per pick	52cpaid	-6.1%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Under	59c	78.25$46 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$31.84	440	33.9%149 W · 291 L	-12.4wins	-0.03per pick	37cpaid	-38%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x775d…6bebbacked Over	46c	78$36 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35.73	100	51%51 W · 49 L	-3.2wins	-0.03per pick	54cpaid	-13.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5210…bd53backed Under	42c	75$32 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$43.5	306	56.9%174 W · 132 L	+13.3wins	+0.04per pick	53cpaid	+7.1%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0954…012abacked Over	41c	72.67$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	19	36.8%7 W · 12 L	-2.0wins	-0.10per pick	47cpaid	-20.1%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x3404…10d2backed Under	32c	70$23 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$47.46	59	47.5%28 W · 31 L	-3.1wins	-0.05per pick	53cpaid	-12.9%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8935…7daabacked Over	39c	69.13$27 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$27.24	154	42.9%66 W · 88 L	-6.2wins	-0.04per pick	47cpaid	-22.5%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5f14…b567backed Under	74c	67.57$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$17.57	8	87.5%7 W · 1 L	+1.5wins	+0.19per pick	69cpaid	+23.8%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x1b99…8f62backed Over	37c	64.86$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24	14	50%7 W · 7 L	-0.3wins	-0.02per pick	52cpaid	-4.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x490f…a02dbacked Over	36c	63.74$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23	24	54.2%13 W · 11 L	+2.8wins	+0.12per pick	43cpaid	+15.7%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x7a3f…6712backed Under	63c	53.42$34 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$19.59	71	42.3%30 W · 41 L	-4.4wins	-0.06per pick	48cpaid	-24.5%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x3f34…ed6abacked Under	68c	50.78$35 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$16.12	35	31.4%11 W · 24 L	-3.8wins	-0.11per pick	42cpaid	-48.3%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x14e7…a32cbacked Over	39c	49.78$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.66	43	32.6%14 W · 29 L	-7.9wins	-0.18per pick	51cpaid	-40.8%equal weight	37-0.12 edge/pick
0x4061…dde5backed Over	31c	47.8$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	26	26.9%7 W · 19 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	26cpaid	-29.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x945a…a48cbacked Over	31c	43.25$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.53	38	2.6%1 W · 37 L	-14.3wins	-0.38per pick	40cpaid	-94.7%equal weight	25-0.23 edge/pick
0xdc7b…8fb6backed Under	33c	43.03$14 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$28.83	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.7wins	+0.67per pick	33cpaid	+203%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8d0c…c90abacked Under	32c	40.91$13 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$27.82	381	42.8%163 W · 218 L	-22.9wins	-0.06per pick	49cpaid	-13.4%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Over	64c	40.51$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25.93	633	46.3%293 W · 340 L	-21.6wins	-0.03per pick	50cpaid	-11.4%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x09b0…a3b6backed Over	28c	40$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.2	16	50%8 W · 8 L	-2.0wins	-0.12per pick	62cpaid	-26.2%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd443…5f71backed Over	65c	37.79$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24.57	149	42.3%63 W · 86 L	-8.0wins	-0.05per pick	48cpaid	-15%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x8ce0…9d0bbacked Under	68c	36.76$25 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$11.76	25	88%22 W · 3 L	+7.1wins	+0.28per pick	60cpaid	+51.6%equal weight	66+0.14 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Under	34c	32.18$11 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$21.24	297	46.5%138 W · 159 L	-1.2wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	-1.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked Over	42c	32.12$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.43	121	44.6%54 W · 67 L	-9.1wins	-0.08per pick	52cpaid	-18.3%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xb63a…7637backed Over	68c	30$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.4	35	54.3%19 W · 16 L	-3.6wins	-0.10per pick	65cpaid	-11.8%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xfdae…6ad2backed Over	68c	29.41$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	114	64.9%74 W · 40 L	-2.5wins	-0.02per pick	67cpaid	-4.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9e3e…f882backed Over	68c	28$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.04	270	31.5%85 W · 185 L	-4.1wins	-0.02per pick	33cpaid	-12.1%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2ed3…274cbacked Under	55c	19.72$11 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8.85	57	56.1%32 W · 25 L	+2.5wins	+0.04per pick	52cpaid	+16.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x42a1…a8e9backed Under	74c	19$14 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5	34	44.1%15 W · 19 L	-2.3wins	-0.07per pick	51cpaid	-15.1%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7d4b…802bbacked Under	62c	16.13$10 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6.13	26	42.3%11 W · 15 L	-1.8wins	-0.07per pick	49cpaid	-9.4%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8a80…11c5backed Under	77c	13.24$10 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3.09	35	48.6%17 W · 18 L	-2.2wins	-0.06per pick	55cpaid	-18.2%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Inter Club d'Escaldes vs. Lincoln Red Imps FC: O/U 2.5this page
Inter Club d'Escaldes vs. Lincoln Red Imps FC: 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
Inter Club d'Escaldes vs. Lincoln Red Imps FC: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
Inter Club d'Escaldes vs. Lincoln Red Imps FC: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under won
Inter Club d'Escaldes vs. Lincoln Red Imps FC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
Inter Club d'Escaldes vs. Lincoln Red Imps FC: Inter Club d'Escaldes O/U 0.5Over won
Inter Club d'Escaldes vs. Lincoln Red Imps FC: Inter Club d'Escaldes O/U 1.5Under won
Inter Club d'Escaldes vs. Lincoln Red Imps FC: O/U 0.5Over won
Inter Club d'Escaldes vs. Lincoln Red Imps FC: O/U 1.5Over won
Inter Club d'Escaldes vs. Lincoln Red Imps FC: O/U 3.5Under won
Inter Club d'Escaldes vs. Lincoln Red Imps FC: O/U 4.5Under won
Inter Club d'Escaldes vs. Lincoln Red Imps FC: O/U 5.5Under won
Spread: Inter Club d'Escaldes (-1.5)Lincoln Red Imps FC won
Spread: Inter Club d'Escaldes (-2.5)Lincoln Red Imps FC won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Inter Club d'Escaldes vs. Lincoln Red Imps FC: O/U 2.5

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event