Mls · resolved market
New England Revolution vs. Atlanta United FC: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x24dba63c54879fc580e7c9116181f61d954413445cb14c0b398ac2116f1b3079
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Mlsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $28,946
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $32,276
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $28,946 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 76 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Mls is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Mls | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x10a6…4d8bbacked Over | 55c | 7,291$4,010 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,280.96 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe5f0…dc1dbacked Over | 56c | 5,744$3,195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,549.02 | 278 | 37.8%105 W · 173 L | +6.6wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 44c | 3,017$1,337 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,337.19 | 1,270 | 48%610 W · 660 L | -7.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Under | 30c | 2,944$875 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$874.81 | 989 | 45.4%449 W · 540 L | -23.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x07ea…a6babacked Over | 72c | 2,083$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$583.4 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Under | 45c | 2,000$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900 | 728 | 50.7%369 W · 359 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Over | 73c | 1,603$1,170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$433.39 | 993 | 40.1%398 W · 595 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Under | 45c | 1,494$672 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$672.12 | 702 | 49.7%349 W · 353 L | -7.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Under | 45c | 1,111$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.95 | 557 | 50.1%279 W · 278 L | +5.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Under | 45c | 1,110$497 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$497.18 | 685 | 50.5%346 W · 339 L | +10.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under | 45c | 1,080$486 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$485.89 | 915 | 53%485 W · 430 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 28c | 1,010$283 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$282.92 | 1,880 | 36.6%688 W · 1,192 L | -7.3wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Under | 38c | 936$355 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$355.05 | 1,009 | 46.2%466 W · 543 L | +11.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa032…2090backed Under | 44c | 837$371 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$370.98 | 63 | 46%29 W · 34 L | -4.1wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa42f…b629backed Over | 60c | 667$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$266.8 | 40 | 62.5%25 W · 15 L | +7.7wins | +0.19per pick | 43cpaid | +40.9%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xc72d…fc21backed Over | 54c | 578.77$314 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$264.51 | 40 | 62.5%25 W · 15 L | +3.6wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Under | 44c | 577$254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$253.52 | 1,262 | 45.2%571 W · 691 L | -28.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57cc…0fa7backed Under | 44c | 561$247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$246.87 | 106 | 28.3%30 W · 76 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 26cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf636…5465backed Under | 45c | 501.13$226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225.51 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed Under | 45c | 500$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225 | 264 | 50%132 W · 132 L | -5.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Under | 14c | 467.44$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.28 | 1,444 | 36.8%532 W · 912 L | -12.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…aa5abacked Over | 56c | 462.47$261 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201.28 | 126 | 67.5%85 W · 41 L | +11.2wins | +0.09per pick | 59cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 45c | 418.82$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.47 | 3,012 | 43.5%1,311 W · 1,701 L | -29.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x912f…b25bbacked Over | 74c | 381$282 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.06 | 70 | 38.6%27 W · 43 L | -3.3wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2e0b…f166backed Over | 55c | 363.64$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.64 | 24 | 66.7%16 W · 8 L | +2.7wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x153a…af29backed Over | 60c | 323.74$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.5 | 28 | 60.7%17 W · 11 L | +4.8wins | +0.17per pick | 43cpaid | +24.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6600…d5fdbacked Over | 56c | 322$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.68 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +1.7wins | +0.13per pick | 56cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc7ff…8a60backed Under | 46c | 293.48$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.6wins | +0.15per pick | 49cpaid | +28.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b6e…f544backed Under | 45c | 277.8$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.01 | 103 | 38.8%40 W · 63 L | -3.0wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Under | 45c | 256$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.2 | 270 | 47%127 W · 143 L | -5.9wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb9f0…fd92backed Over | 55c | 225.54$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.49 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.19per pick | 44cpaid | -54.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x976a…e8ecbacked Under | 40c | 223.23$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.97 | 239 | 53.6%128 W · 111 L | +14.7wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ee…9e81backed Over | 65c | 200$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69 | 273 | 44.3%121 W · 152 L | -8.3wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0fa1…bf73backed Over | 54c | 199.99$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.2 | 102 | 49%50 W · 52 L | -4.5wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9714…5152backed Under | 45c | 185$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.25 | 25 | 68%17 W · 8 L | +3.2wins | +0.13per pick | 55cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Under | 28c | 174.92$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.12 | 802 | 49.8%399 W · 403 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Over | 73c | 169.51$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.77 | 681 | 50.8%346 W · 335 L | +12.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 44c | 162$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.88 | 1,301 | 51.2%666 W · 635 L | -19.6wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecdb…c4c7backed Under | 43c | 146.06$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.15 | 107 | 53.3%57 W · 50 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca89…7bc4backed Under | 46c | 144$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.24 | 143 | 59.4%85 W · 58 L | +8.5wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8152…5b51backed Under | 31c | 134.71$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.76 | 48 | 50%24 W · 24 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb70d…5925backed Under | 45c | 119.44$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.75 | 65 | 58.5%38 W · 27 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ca6…4b74backed Under | 45c | 110$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec56…1816backed Over | 74c | 102.02$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.2 | 164 | 37.2%61 W · 103 L | -11.4wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Under | 27c | 100$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 128 | 39.8%51 W · 77 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8db…7c68backed Under | 45c | 99.98$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.99 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -1.9wins | -0.15per pick | 46cpaid | -40.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdf15…a1febacked Over | 56c | 87.72$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.6 | 50 | 68%34 W · 16 L | +5.8wins | +0.12per pick | 56cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd577…c012backed Over | 56c | 87.71$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.59 | 32 | 62.5%20 W · 12 L | +2.4wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Under | 25c | 78.89$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 923 | 46.6%430 W · 493 L | -9.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef18…4d70backed Over | 62c | 76.3$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.32 | 294 | 60.5%178 W · 116 L | +36.5wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +34.2%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x1399…48c8backed Over | 54c | 66.5$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.59 | 205 | 54.6%112 W · 93 L | +17.1wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd60c…2b06backed Over | 59c | 61.6$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.46 | 311 | 58.5%182 W · 129 L | +27.0wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +23.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Under | 42c | 50$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.09 | 443 | 50.6%224 W · 219 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0fde…0258backed Over | 73c | 49$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13 | 109 | 57.8%63 W · 46 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x24ae…d35bbacked Under | 43c | 46.32$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.92 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x298f…b4e1backed Over | 56c | 44.54$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.6 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9b78…473dbacked Over | 62c | 41.5$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.85 | 222 | 69.4%154 W · 68 L | +31.4wins | +0.14per pick | 55cpaid | +33.1%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x3a36…79d3backed Under | 43c | 41.17$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.7 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -2.3wins | -0.16per pick | 45cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8917…be6fbacked Over | 55c | 36.36$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.36 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ed3…0a22backed Under | 44c | 36$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.84 | 169 | 55.6%94 W · 75 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x87fe…03cebacked Under | 43c | 35$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.05 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0df0…1376backed Over | 58c | 34.48$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.48 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa71d…9854backed Over | 56c | 34.48$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.17 | 28 | 60.7%17 W · 11 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x947d…dff0backed Over | 56c | 33.33$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.67 | 35 | 57.1%20 W · 15 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x147c…2540backed Under | 45c | 33$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.85 | 45 | 51.1%23 W · 22 L | -2.4wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e6e…2c9bbacked Under | 48c | 31.25$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -2.4wins | -0.34per pick | 49cpaid | -79.6%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked Under | 45c | 29.99$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.35 | 111 | 44.1%49 W · 62 L | -9.4wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8543…ff1bbacked Under | 46c | 28.11$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.82 | 77 | 57.1%44 W · 33 L | +4.5wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Under | 45c | 25$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.25 | 261 | 50.2%131 W · 130 L | -13.2wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe7c2…190dbacked Under | 43c | 24.07$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.35 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.7wins | -0.21per pick | 46cpaid | -50.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe5b1…30b2backed Over | 74c | 24$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.24 | 145 | 60.7%88 W · 57 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x091a…8287backed Over | 56c | 22.63$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.96 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c34…b7adbacked Over | 56c | 21.43$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.43 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | +23.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc192…323bbacked Over | 70c | 21.03$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.31 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.23per pick | 73cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeaac…d71dbacked Over | 55c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9 | 121 | 46.3%56 W · 65 L | +4.1wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a8e…05a4backed Over | 70c | 15.14$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.54 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.16per pick | 59cpaid | +66.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Mls and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- New England Revolution vs. Atlanta United FC: O/U 2.5this page
- New England Revolution vs. Atlanta United FC: 1st Half O/U 1.5Over won
- New England Revolution vs. Atlanta United FC: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under won
- New England Revolution vs. Atlanta United FC: Atlanta United FC O/U 1.5Under won
- New England Revolution vs. Atlanta United FC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- New England Revolution vs. Atlanta United FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- New England Revolution vs. Atlanta United FC: O/U 3.5Over won
- New England Revolution vs. Atlanta United FC: O/U 4.5Over won
- New England Revolution vs. Atlanta United FC: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: Atlanta United FC (-2.5)New England Revolution won
- Spread: New England Revolution (-1.5)New England Revolution won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.