South American Leagues · resolved market
CR Vasco da Gama vs. Mirassol FC: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1ac51c57c4e2e9b5f923aa29c2e82f40e8c7ecd64e3823419d3f5761fba96a3e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $55,460
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $58,753
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $55,460 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 55 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Under | 16c | 15,914$2,485 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,485.4 | 311 | 36.7%114 W · 197 L | -9.7wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc23d…82c8backed Over | 74c | 6,844$5,030 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,813.66 | 300 | 48%144 W · 156 L | +5.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Under | 33c | 3,788$1,233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,233.33 | 2,514 | 39%980 W · 1,534 L | -32.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e6…4c4ebacked Under | 3c | 3,500$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 13 | 7.7%1 W · 12 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 3cpaid | +370.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67bf…f983backed Under | 14c | 3,333$466 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$466.44 | 110 | 25.5%28 W · 82 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Under | 40c | 2,435$982 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$982.35 | 2,281 | 34.3%782 W · 1,499 L | -30.5wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb3ac…1ce0backed Over | 78c | 1,282$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$282.05 | 25 | 64%16 W · 9 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 70cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 55c | 1,134$627 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$506.87 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb89…82aabacked Under | 31c | 1,123$353 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$352.91 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -42.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x35e8…9490backed Under | 3c | 1,000$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 11 | 0%0 W · 11 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c35…78abbacked Under | 1c | 943.41$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.37 | 66 | 24.2%16 W · 50 L | +6.1wins | +0.09per pick | 15cpaid | +312.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4156…997ebacked Under | 22c | 708.88$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.49 | 77 | 42.9%33 W · 44 L | -6.4wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 32c | 705.39$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224.35 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x153a…af29backed Over | 61c | 635$389 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245.8 | 26 | 65.4%17 W · 9 L | +4.7wins | +0.18per pick | 47cpaid | +37.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x425e…ecfabacked Over | 63c | 635$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234.95 | 29 | 69%20 W · 9 L | +7.5wins | +0.26per pick | 43cpaid | +112.9%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Over | 80c | 522$416 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.04 | 1,537 | 45.2%695 W · 842 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ad5…62ffbacked Over | 50c | 312.11$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.62 | 268 | 35.1%94 W · 174 L | -12.9wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Under | 8c | 276.16$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.1 | 184 | 26.1%48 W · 136 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x40b3…bf2ebacked Under | 24c | 253.6$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 58 | 34.5%20 W · 38 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x15ac…f3babacked Over | 76c | 243.72$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.72 | 61 | 62.3%38 W · 23 L | +6.2wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +94.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0fa9…09fabacked Under | 17c | 241.37$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.78 | 106 | 35.8%38 W · 68 L | +4.7wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | +106.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Over | 60c | 226.94$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.78 | 3,749 | 38.2%1,431 W · 2,318 L | -33.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe5f6…73fabacked Over | 71c | 169.6$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.6 | 56 | 60.7%34 W · 22 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 65cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b6e…f544backed Under | 48c | 165.44$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.15 | 646 | 33.1%214 W · 432 L | -24.8wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc785…4ef2backed Over | 78c | 149$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.78 | 219 | 38.8%85 W · 134 L | -5.5wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4abb…d858backed Over | 71c | 140.85$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.85 | 29 | 72.4%21 W · 8 L | +2.0wins | +0.07per pick | 65cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xad84…dcf1backed Over | 52c | 139.99$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.19 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +2.3wins | +0.23per pick | 47cpaid | +43.6%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2d67…3667backed Over | 57c | 133.1$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.46 | 464 | 49.6%230 W · 234 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc75b…3ea7backed Under | 13c | 127.09$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.68 | 341 | 55.1%188 W · 153 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f39…e279backed Under | 30c | 126.56$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.43 | 170 | 51.8%88 W · 82 L | +7.3wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x789c…0d10backed Under | 47c | 103.77$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.77 | 552 | 50.2%277 W · 275 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x97b2…1c44backed Over | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 47 | 57.4%27 W · 20 L | +4.4wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +22%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Over | 55c | 89.39$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.63 | 752 | 40.8%307 W · 445 L | -17.0wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8cd…ed53backed Over | 78c | 87.54$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.16 | 83 | 75.9%63 W · 20 L | +5.3wins | +0.06per pick | 69cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0977…53ccbacked Under | 35c | 83.85$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.35 | 155 | 54.2%84 W · 71 L | +9.3wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed Over | 66c | 78.66$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.41 | 951 | 55.8%531 W · 420 L | +31.5wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf423…31c4backed Under | 42c | 72.59$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.67 | 50 | 54%27 W · 23 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5998…b5a8backed Under | 22c | 59.82$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.45 | 69 | 55.1%38 W · 31 L | +6.0wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1399…48c8backed Over | 47c | 57.17$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.35 | 269 | 65.4%176 W · 93 L | +48.9wins | +0.18per pick | 47cpaid | +40.5%equal weight | 68+0.17 edge/pick |
| 0xc2cf…65fdbacked Over | 70c | 57.15$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.15 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.11per pick | 69cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf20…1881backed Under | 45c | 56.56$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.23 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -2.8wins | -0.18per pick | 49cpaid | -49.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe84f…b777backed Over | 60c | 53.76$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.5 | 694 | 53.5%371 W · 323 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4732…f40dbacked Over | 56c | 52.64$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.13 | 155 | 52.3%81 W · 74 L | +9.7wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb70d…5925backed Over | 71c | 47.25$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.7 | 37 | 59.5%22 W · 15 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Over | 74c | 46.48$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.13 | 896 | 45.4%407 W · 489 L | -23.0wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf79d…0289backed Over | 77c | 38.96$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.96 | 74 | 67.6%50 W · 24 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 70cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1491…387abacked Under | 30c | 36.66$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.25per pick | 58cpaid | -55.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x28f7…404dbacked Under | 36c | 36.11$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | -1.9wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfd3e…5a7abacked Over | 77c | 34.91$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.18 | 168 | 64.9%109 W · 59 L | +14.9wins | +0.09per pick | 56cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Over | 70c | 33.33$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 1,944 | 51.3%998 W · 946 L | +40.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf4db…e401backed Under | 32c | 31.28$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.01 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -4.1wins | -0.32per pick | 55cpaid | -67.2%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x9545…d6f7backed Over | 72c | 20.83$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.83 | 28 | 67.9%19 W · 9 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 69cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a97…90b1backed Over | 67c | 20.32$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.65 | 42 | 52.4%22 W · 20 L | -3.0wins | -0.07per pick | 60cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Over | 71c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.8 | 2,611 | 54.2%1,415 W · 1,196 L | +25.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2276…a73abacked Over | 79c | 15$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.15 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -57.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- CR Vasco da Gama vs. Mirassol FC: O/U 1.5this page
- CR Vasco da Gama vs. Mirassol FC: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- CR Vasco da Gama vs. Mirassol FC: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- CR Vasco da Gama vs. Mirassol FC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- CR Vasco da Gama vs. Mirassol FC: Both Teams to Score in First HalfNo won
- CR Vasco da Gama vs. Mirassol FC: CR Vasco da Gama O/U 0.5Over won
- CR Vasco da Gama vs. Mirassol FC: Mirassol FC O/U 1.5Under won
- CR Vasco da Gama vs. Mirassol FC: O/U 0.5Over won
- CR Vasco da Gama vs. Mirassol FC: O/U 2.5Under won
- CR Vasco da Gama vs. Mirassol FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- CR Vasco da Gama vs. Mirassol FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: CR Vasco da Gama (-1.5)Mirassol FC won
- Spread: CR Vasco da Gama (-2.5)Mirassol FC won
- Spread: Mirassol FC (-1.5)CR Vasco da Gama won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.