South American Leagues · resolved market
CR Vasco da Gama vs. Mirassol FC: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xddb564bef7aef040e42a8513a519589fa7b1f0ae630ae2898148ac3a4b1ea8d7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $15,923
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $15,698
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $15,923 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 39 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x53de…409abacked No | 49c | 4,060$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 39c | 1,922$747 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$746.79 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Yes | 51c | 1,760$898 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$862.31 | 1,443 | 45.9%662 W · 781 L | -22.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x319f…500bbacked Yes | 62c | 1,200$744 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$456 | 86 | 60.5%52 W · 34 L | +6.2wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xddc3…029cbacked Yes | 61c | 1,100$671 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$428.98 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -1.6wins | -0.10per pick | 44cpaid | -41.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 50c | 895.05$452 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$443.16 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb3ac…1ce0backed Yes | 62c | 812.66$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$312.66 | 25 | 64%16 W · 9 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 70cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Yes | 51c | 542$276 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265.58 | 3,749 | 38.2%1,431 W · 2,318 L | -33.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e6…4c4ebacked No | 3c | 465.98$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.98 | 13 | 7.7%1 W · 12 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 3cpaid | +370.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked No | 48c | 422.82$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.6 | 752 | 40.8%307 W · 445 L | -17.0wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe9ef…b630backed Yes | 18c | 381.75$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$313.03 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 19cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Yes | 51c | 311.33$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.8 | 1,944 | 51.3%998 W · 946 L | +40.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x789c…0d10backed No | 40c | 268.45$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.33 | 552 | 50.2%277 W · 275 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 48c | 205.06$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.43 | 1,231 | 53.9%663 W · 568 L | +12.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc23d…82c8backed No | 29c | 165.74$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.68 | 300 | 48%144 W · 156 L | +5.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf788…6f86backed Yes | 61c | 163.93$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.93 | 79 | 73.4%58 W · 21 L | +5.8wins | +0.07per pick | 66cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked No | 13c | 150$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.5 | 184 | 26.1%48 W · 136 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e7a…f252backed Yes | 52c | 144.23$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.23 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4abb…d858backed Yes | 70c | 142.86$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.86 | 29 | 72.4%21 W · 8 L | +2.0wins | +0.07per pick | 65cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Yes | 51c | 128$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.72 | 179 | 51.4%92 W · 87 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Yes | 51c | 111.01$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.68 | 2,611 | 54.2%1,415 W · 1,196 L | +25.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x28f7…404dbacked No | 39c | 106.6$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | -1.9wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3c7f…4c60backed Yes | 52c | 97.94$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.01 | 71 | 56.3%40 W · 31 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3763…345fbacked No | 49c | 86.2$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.24 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.21per pick | 54cpaid | -45.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8543…ff1bbacked Yes | 50c | 73.37$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.57 | 147 | 53.7%79 W · 68 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed No | 39c | 68$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.45 | 951 | 55.8%531 W · 420 L | +31.5wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Yes | 34c | 64$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.24 | 898 | 46.1%414 W · 484 L | -11.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x579a…b0a7backed No | 56c | 62.5$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 209 | 34%71 W · 138 L | -8.1wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc220…5012backed Yes | 67c | 39.57$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.06 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf6f4…e4cbbacked Yes | 52c | 38.46$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.46 | 70 | 61.4%43 W · 27 L | +4.6wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 52c | 34.79$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.7 | 1,439 | 37.5%540 W · 899 L | +4.1wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Yes | 35c | 34.24$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.26 | 517 | 50.7%262 W · 255 L | +28.3wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5b6e…f544backed Yes | 53c | 28.72$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.5 | 646 | 33.1%214 W · 432 L | -24.8wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5bcb…374bbacked Yes | 49c | 28.57$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.57 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +3.2wins | +0.17per pick | 46cpaid | +39.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed No | 48c | 25$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 424 | 62.3%264 W · 160 L | +24.4wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xeaac…d71dbacked Yes | 50c | 24$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 275 | 49.1%135 W · 140 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5213…6a35backed Yes | 50c | 24$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 273 | 49.5%135 W · 138 L | +6.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84d4…77a9backed No | 49c | 21.58$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.58 | 331 | 52.6%174 W · 157 L | +8.3wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8cd…ed53backed Yes | 61c | 19.69$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.66 | 83 | 75.9%63 W · 20 L | +5.3wins | +0.06per pick | 69cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- CR Vasco da Gama vs. Mirassol FC: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- CR Vasco da Gama vs. Mirassol FC: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- CR Vasco da Gama vs. Mirassol FC: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- CR Vasco da Gama vs. Mirassol FC: Both Teams to Score in First HalfNo won
- CR Vasco da Gama vs. Mirassol FC: CR Vasco da Gama O/U 0.5Over won
- CR Vasco da Gama vs. Mirassol FC: Mirassol FC O/U 1.5Under won
- CR Vasco da Gama vs. Mirassol FC: O/U 0.5Over won
- CR Vasco da Gama vs. Mirassol FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- CR Vasco da Gama vs. Mirassol FC: O/U 2.5Under won
- CR Vasco da Gama vs. Mirassol FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- CR Vasco da Gama vs. Mirassol FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: CR Vasco da Gama (-1.5)Mirassol FC won
- Spread: CR Vasco da Gama (-2.5)Mirassol FC won
- Spread: Mirassol FC (-1.5)CR Vasco da Gama won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.