South American Leagues · resolved market
CR Vasco da Gama vs. Mirassol FC: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2a9652d656118c088fd33f71523b3c066bde8d5b3a59f99916a27127635647d3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $60,097
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $62,608
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $60,097 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 75 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x06e1…b7d4backed Over | 0c | 11,697$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.99 | 18 | 22.2%4 W · 14 L | -1.6wins | -0.09per pick | 31cpaid | -42.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 20c | 7,031$1,432 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,432.1 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 66c | 6,885$4,519 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,366.37 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Over | 24c | 4,221$1,004 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,004.42 | 1,362 | 44.9%611 W · 751 L | -22.0wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e97…8ffabacked Over | 22c | 3,979$895 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$895.05 | 88 | 33%29 W · 59 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Under | 62c | 3,070$1,913 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,157.16 | 2,281 | 34.3%782 W · 1,499 L | -30.5wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Over | 33c | 2,869$941 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$941.16 | 752 | 40.8%307 W · 445 L | -17.0wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d60…453dbacked Under | 80c | 2,129$1,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$429.29 | 212 | 52.4%111 W · 101 L | -4.7wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf83…3385backed Under | 49c | 1,656$818 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$838.07 | 113 | 38.9%44 W · 69 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xddc3…029cbacked Over | 42c | 1,500$630 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$630 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -1.6wins | -0.10per pick | 44cpaid | -41.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x98bd…8a55backed Over | 42c | 1,494$630 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$630 | 91 | 48.4%44 W · 47 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x319f…500bbacked Under | 72c | 1,386$998 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$388.08 | 86 | 60.5%52 W · 34 L | +6.2wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4962…f509backed Over | 54c | 1,308$703 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$703.14 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…4f20backed Over | 47c | 1,200$564 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$564 | 200 | 46%92 W · 108 L | -6.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4156…997ebacked Under | 55c | 1,129$617 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$512.2 | 77 | 42.9%33 W · 44 L | -6.4wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under | 53c | 730.15$387 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$343.17 | 2,335 | 51.5%1,202 W · 1,133 L | +2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe6ee…b3aabacked Under | 50c | 646.56$326 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$320.35 | 79 | 50.6%40 W · 39 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d67…3667backed Over | 20c | 626.82$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.14 | 464 | 49.6%230 W · 234 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 53c | 555.21$294 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260.95 | 1,944 | 51.3%998 W · 946 L | +40.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0fde…0258backed Over | 45c | 533.6$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240.12 | 125 | 45.6%57 W · 68 L | -8.3wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8afa…28f0backed Over | 46c | 510.13$232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$232.34 | 82 | 47.6%39 W · 43 L | -5.2wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…8de1backed Under | 79c | 506.33$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.33 | 221 | 45.7%101 W · 120 L | +10.2wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x789c…0d10backed Under | 68c | 488.63$333 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.15 | 552 | 50.2%277 W · 275 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc785…4ef2backed Over | 30c | 457$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.31 | 219 | 38.8%85 W · 134 L | -5.5wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb47e…c602backed Over | 47c | 425$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.75 | 96 | 51%49 W · 47 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ad5…62ffbacked Over | 46c | 385.87$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.09 | 268 | 35.1%94 W · 174 L | -12.9wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Under | 80c | 338.91$271 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.78 | 2,514 | 39%980 W · 1,534 L | -32.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc23d…82c8backed Over | 28c | 321.34$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.98 | 300 | 48%144 W · 156 L | +5.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Over | 22c | 281.86$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.32 | 517 | 50.7%262 W · 255 L | +28.3wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed Under | 69c | 268.63$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.84 | 951 | 55.8%531 W · 420 L | +31.5wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8152…5b51backed Under | 58c | 259.33$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.92 | 128 | 50%64 W · 64 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x976a…e8ecbacked Over | 43c | 224.49$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.2 | 290 | 47.6%138 W · 152 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Over | 24c | 204$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.68 | 1,537 | 45.2%695 W · 842 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb42…6e09backed Under | 55c | 183.26$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.26 | 36 | 58.3%21 W · 15 L | +2.6wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x88c5…2909backed Under | 55c | 182$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.9 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +3.0wins | +0.18per pick | 41cpaid | +60.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Under | 52c | 163.25$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.36 | 575 | 40.2%231 W · 344 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc8cd…ed53backed Under | 62c | 161.93$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.32 | 83 | 75.9%63 W · 20 L | +5.3wins | +0.06per pick | 69cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf4e0…7387backed Under | 63c | 158.73$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.73 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4732…f40dbacked Over | 26c | 156.05$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.97 | 155 | 52.3%81 W · 74 L | +9.7wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf0a2…b58ebacked Over | 42c | 155.57$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.34 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.08per pick | 37cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe84f…b777backed Under | 66c | 142.1$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.48 | 694 | 53.5%371 W · 323 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b6e…f544backed Under | 69c | 116.83$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.5 | 646 | 33.1%214 W · 432 L | -24.8wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8543…ff1bbacked Under | 67c | 116.08$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.32 | 147 | 53.7%79 W · 68 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x50e5…e39fbacked Over | 34c | 105$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.89 | 720 | 58.8%423 W · 297 L | +29.5wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc70e…8c73backed Under | 73c | 102.81$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.22 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.8wins | -0.30per pick | 63cpaid | -53.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5a11…9becbacked Under | 64c | 94.28$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.83 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed Under | 68c | 81.91$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.54 | 630 | 61.3%386 W · 244 L | +22.3wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Under | 54c | 78.22$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.98 | 1,231 | 53.9%663 W · 568 L | +12.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ad5…37b9backed Under | 28c | 70.46$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.73 | 84 | 44%37 W · 47 L | +11.9wins | +0.14per pick | 30cpaid | +23.7%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Over | 15c | 70$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.7 | 485 | 47.6%231 W · 254 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa700…102bbacked Over | 23c | 64.4$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.81 | 106 | 18.9%20 W · 86 L | -4.6wins | -0.04per pick | 23cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5998…b5a8backed Over | 39c | 61.1$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.76 | 69 | 55.1%38 W · 31 L | +6.0wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x28f7…404dbacked Over | 30c | 53.33$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | -1.9wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc220…5012backed Over | 51c | 50.98$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Over | 28c | 46.86$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.07 | 311 | 36.7%114 W · 197 L | -9.7wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 57c | 46.51$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 1,302 | 50.2%653 W · 649 L | -13.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa146…6163backed Over | 43c | 46.51$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 40 | 52.5%21 W · 19 L | +2.8wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +29.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1a97…90b1backed Over | 35c | 45.4$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.89 | 42 | 52.4%22 W · 20 L | -3.0wins | -0.07per pick | 60cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9c12…a11bbacked Over | 46c | 43.48$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x24ae…d35bbacked Under | 46c | 43$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.22 | 50 | 42%21 W · 29 L | -3.3wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x14ce…15febacked Over | 46c | 41.13$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.92 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x042d…0b81backed Over | 46c | 40$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.4 | 141 | 49.6%70 W · 71 L | -4.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Under | 58c | 39.58$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.74 | 1,038 | 49.4%513 W · 525 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x61d4…3593backed Under | 53c | 39.23$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.44 | 290 | 37.9%110 W · 180 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4993…553fbacked Under | 64c | 37.6$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.54 | 191 | 64.4%123 W · 68 L | +10.4wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x47c9…2038backed Over | 42c | 35.83$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.18 | 119 | 44.5%53 W · 66 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x672d…97f1backed Over | 37c | 32.35$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.83 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +1.0wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 54c | 32.02$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.73 | 2,611 | 54.2%1,415 W · 1,196 L | +25.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd3e…5a7abacked Over | 43c | 31.91$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.72 | 168 | 64.9%109 W · 59 L | +14.9wins | +0.09per pick | 56cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7a3f…6712backed Under | 52c | 30$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.4 | 190 | 50.5%96 W · 94 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f25…e9a5backed Under | 67c | 28.82$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.59 | 36 | 47.2%17 W · 19 L | -2.5wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -16%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84d4…77a9backed Over | 47c | 26.49$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.45 | 331 | 52.6%174 W · 157 L | +8.3wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Under | 78c | 25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.47 | 519 | 45.7%237 W · 282 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Under | 75c | 24.57$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.17 | 896 | 45.4%407 W · 489 L | -23.0wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6eb5…8353backed Under | 55c | 18.75$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.49 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +82.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- CR Vasco da Gama vs. Mirassol FC: O/U 2.5this page
- CR Vasco da Gama vs. Mirassol FC: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- CR Vasco da Gama vs. Mirassol FC: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- CR Vasco da Gama vs. Mirassol FC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- CR Vasco da Gama vs. Mirassol FC: Both Teams to Score in First HalfNo won
- CR Vasco da Gama vs. Mirassol FC: CR Vasco da Gama O/U 0.5Over won
- CR Vasco da Gama vs. Mirassol FC: Mirassol FC O/U 1.5Under won
- CR Vasco da Gama vs. Mirassol FC: O/U 0.5Over won
- CR Vasco da Gama vs. Mirassol FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- CR Vasco da Gama vs. Mirassol FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- CR Vasco da Gama vs. Mirassol FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: CR Vasco da Gama (-1.5)Mirassol FC won
- Spread: CR Vasco da Gama (-2.5)Mirassol FC won
- Spread: Mirassol FC (-1.5)CR Vasco da Gama won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.