Asian League · resolved market
Shenzhen Xinpengcheng FC vs. Shanghai Haigang FC: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x60a60a72440b49f20effcd2d04edc6dd2ab3000b809e5fcad5a8d84d88ea5686
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $114,937
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $110,004
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $114,937 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 59 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet's whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x56f4…9ec5backed Over | 32c | 21,590$6,983 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,983.42 | 215 | 42.3%91 W · 124 L | +10.8wins | +0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Under | 65c | 10,249$6,680 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,568.2 | 1,804 | 36.6%660 W · 1,144 L | -28.0wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x821d…cf16backed Over | 25c | 6,313$1,558 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,558.44 | 140 | 41.4%58 W · 82 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1016…b09bbacked Over | 58c | 5,476$3,151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,150.93 | 69 | 50.7%35 W · 34 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Over | 22c | 3,931$856 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$855.61 | 986 | 35.1%346 W · 640 L | -24.4wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Under | 32c | 2,668$859 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,809.25 | 2,650 | 40.2%1,065 W · 1,585 L | -17.0wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa704…11c1backed Over | 75c | 2,662$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 36 | 58.3%21 W · 15 L | -4.7wins | -0.13per pick | 71cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 66c | 2,497$1,658 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$839 | 2,612 | 37.8%988 W · 1,624 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 21c | 1,999$424 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$423.64 | 2,620 | 42%1,101 W · 1,519 L | +51.4wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a2b…3e5cbacked Over | 2c | 1,536$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.87 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 28cpaid | -62.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd93b…cd48backed Under | 49c | 1,501$735 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$765.51 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | -2.2wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xda0d…72a0backed Over | 1c | 1,369$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.2 | 17 | 11.8%2 W · 15 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 6cpaid | +83%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x482a…c85dbacked Over | 4c | 1,248$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.64 | 39 | 38.5%15 W · 24 L | +2.2wins | +0.06per pick | 33cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa700…102bbacked Over | 2c | 1,001$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.04 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 24cpaid | -68.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb437…cfb3backed Over | 51c | 1,000$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$510 | 74 | 28.4%21 W · 53 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb418…ef38backed Over | 52c | 966.87$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.14per pick | 52cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9f8a…01cdbacked Over | 8c | 960.43$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.28 | 77 | 42.9%33 W · 44 L | +3.5wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2983…4eb2backed Under | 49c | 608.16$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$308.16 | 66 | 42.4%28 W · 38 L | -3.4wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc686…5a55backed Over | 35c | 600$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 296 | 32.8%97 W · 199 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4dd3…c489backed Over | 5c | 547.7$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.02 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | -9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Over | 30c | 517.06$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.66 | 993 | 44.4%441 W · 552 L | -5.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x383f…5631backed Over | 25c | 500$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 30 | 13.3%4 W · 26 L | -2.7wins | -0.09per pick | 22cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8314…0f1ebacked Under | 16c | 499.98$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$419.98 | 131 | 50.4%66 W · 65 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f2…8c8dbacked Under | 72c | 421.67$305 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117 | 185 | 44.9%83 W · 102 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffd…7821backed Under | 75c | 359.26$269 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.81 | 135 | 49.6%67 W · 68 L | -8.1wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x122b…ac59backed Over | 10c | 321$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.1 | 57 | 43.9%25 W · 32 L | +7.2wins | +0.13per pick | 31cpaid | +43.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xcb89…82aabacked Over | 30c | 313.13$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.28 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Under | 67c | 308.69$208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.64 | 798 | 42.4%338 W · 460 L | -27.9wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8152…5b51backed Under | 62c | 305.65$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.15 | 107 | 42.1%45 W · 62 L | -7.9wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x76bc…fccabacked Over | 12c | 304.34$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.55 | 86 | 39.5%34 W · 52 L | +7.4wins | +0.09per pick | 31cpaid | +31.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x168c…f24bbacked Under | 69c | 295.65$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.65 | 47 | 70.2%33 W · 14 L | +5.2wins | +0.11per pick | 59cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x54c4…caaebacked Over | 63c | 285.71$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +2.9wins | +0.21per pick | 51cpaid | +55.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Over | 4c | 234.06$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 260 | 49.6%129 W · 131 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe419…8aedbacked Under | 53c | 205.49$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.77 | 59 | 27.1%16 W · 43 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9930…696ebacked Over | 40c | 203.1$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.22 | 98 | 37.8%37 W · 61 L | -3.0wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8220…b081backed Under | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbe3c…a835backed Under | 69c | 200$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62 | 177 | 52.5%93 W · 84 L | +4.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x98bd…8a55backed Over | 58c | 155.17$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca9…424abacked Under | 73c | 108.65$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.01 | 193 | 56%108 W · 85 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x587b…2622backed Over | 76c | 102$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.9 | 497 | 67.4%335 W · 162 L | +67.5wins | +0.14per pick | 54cpaid | +35.7%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xd170…a9d9backed Over | 30c | 100$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 34 | 41.2%14 W · 20 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf28e…0bb1backed Over | 40c | 100$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 68 | 23.5%16 W · 52 L | -9.4wins | -0.14per pick | 37cpaid | -44.6%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xd179…361ebacked Over | 18c | 83.33$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -1.6wins | -0.11per pick | 33cpaid | -39.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5630…6ca8backed Over | 65c | 77.38$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 23 | 78.3%18 W · 5 L | +3.4wins | +0.15per pick | 63cpaid | +26.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Under | 77c | 77$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.75 | 496 | 52.8%262 W · 234 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0ad6…eab6backed Over | 25c | 75.92$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.98 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -42.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x582c…3266backed Over | 69c | 72.46$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.26per pick | 66cpaid | -42.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe301…8654backed Under | 67c | 67.87$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.29 | 54 | 31.5%17 W · 37 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Over | 17c | 65.53$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.41 | 237 | 53.2%126 W · 111 L | +9.7wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc243…5e94backed Under | 25c | 62$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.5 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9075…cfe8backed Over | 22c | 60$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.2 | 153 | 45.1%69 W · 84 L | -10.4wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7e66…6d36backed Over | 37c | 54.05$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.4wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6df5…6430backed Over | 28c | 50$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -17%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf497…5ce0backed Over | 68c | 49.99$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.99 | 284 | 39.8%113 W · 171 L | -12.4wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -11%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Over | 33c | 47.6$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.71 | 793 | 55.4%439 W · 354 L | +36.3wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc28c…6fb2backed Under | 64c | 46.88$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.88 | 34 | 61.8%21 W · 13 L | +4.7wins | +0.14per pick | 48cpaid | +45.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x95b4…7c3fbacked Over | 52c | 28.85$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf9db…dd44backed Over | 52c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 72 | 54.2%39 W · 33 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf4bf…2ccdbacked Over | 58c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.6 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Shenzhen Xinpengcheng FC vs. Shanghai Haigang FC: O/U 1.5this page
- Shenzhen Xinpengcheng FC vs. Shanghai Haigang FC: 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Shenzhen Xinpengcheng FC vs. Shanghai Haigang FC: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Shenzhen Xinpengcheng FC vs. Shanghai Haigang FC: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Shenzhen Xinpengcheng FC vs. Shanghai Haigang FC: O/U 0.5Over won
- Shenzhen Xinpengcheng FC vs. Shanghai Haigang FC: O/U 2.5Under won
- Shenzhen Xinpengcheng FC vs. Shanghai Haigang FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Shenzhen Xinpengcheng FC vs. Shanghai Haigang FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Shenzhen Xinpengcheng FC vs. Shanghai Haigang FC: O/U 5.5Under won
- Shenzhen Xinpengcheng FC vs. Shanghai Haigang FC: Shanghai Haigang FC O/U 0.5Over won
- Shenzhen Xinpengcheng FC vs. Shanghai Haigang FC: Shanghai Haigang FC O/U 2.5Under won
- Shenzhen Xinpengcheng FC vs. Shanghai Haigang FC: Shenzhen Xinpengcheng FC O/U 0.5Under won
- Shenzhen Xinpengcheng FC vs. Shanghai Haigang FC: Shenzhen Xinpengcheng FC O/U 1.5Under won
- Spread: Shanghai Haigang FC (-1.5)Shenzhen Xinpengcheng FC won
- Spread: Shanghai Haigang FC (-2.5)Shenzhen Xinpengcheng FC won
- Spread: Shenzhen Xinpengcheng FC (-1.5)Shanghai Haigang FC won
- Spread: Shenzhen Xinpengcheng FC (-2.5)Shanghai Haigang FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80.
- The position was at least $10.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.