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Asian League · resolved market

Shenzhen Xinpengcheng FC vs. Shanghai Haigang FC: O/U 0.5

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$44,886
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$51,638

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $44,886 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 43 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet's whole record in Asian League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x6a2b…3e5cbacked Under1c5,714$71 inLost-$71.431421.4%3 W · 11 L-0.9wins-0.07per pick28cpaid-62.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x821d…cf16backed Under20c4,009$787 inLost-$787.3514041.4%58 W · 82 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick40cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd0e6…4c4ebacked Under2c2,467$40 inLost-$39.67100%0 W · 10 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc686…5a55backed Over40c1,596$645 inWon+$950.9429632.8%97 W · 199 L-1.0wins0.00per pick33cpaid-8.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe419…8aedbacked Under9c1,573$136 inLost-$135.515927.1%16 W · 43 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick29cpaid-33.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x35e8…9490backed Under2c1,500$30 inLost-$3070%0 W · 7 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0160…c757backed Under2c1,500$30 inLost-$30120%0 W · 12 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc2e7…91a2backed Under2c1,500$30 inLost-$3050%0 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x81f8…4078backed Under5c1,420$64 inLost-$64.482441.7%10 W · 14 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick39cpaid-23.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe57d…bf4cbacked Under3c1,122$37 inLost-$37.424318.6%8 W · 35 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick19cpaid+85.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Under16c1,102$171 inLost-$171.351,80436.6%660 W · 1,144 L-28.0wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-12.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over75c969.68$729 inWon+$241.1379842.4%338 W · 460 L-27.9wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-25.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4155…fa41backed Over80c918.42$731 inWon+$187.4313163.4%83 W · 48 L+10.4wins+0.08per pick55cpaid+26.6%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under50c840.63$417 inLost-$416.622,62042%1,101 W · 1,519 L+51.4wins+0.02per pick40cpaid-6.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x482a…c85dbacked Under6c744.26$46 inLost-$45.523938.5%15 W · 24 L+2.2wins+0.06per pick33cpaid-31.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7eeb…b6bdbacked Under8c681.06$57 inLost-$56.752630.8%8 W · 18 L-1.4wins-0.05per pick36cpaid-39.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8c35…78abbacked Under2c643.13$13 inLost-$13.11010%1 W · 9 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick14cpaid-41.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Under20c578.93$118 inLost-$118.0999344.4%441 W · 552 L-5.1wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb026…9c7bbacked Under13c520$68 inLost-$67.64151.2%21 W · 20 L+4.3wins+0.10per pick41cpaid+24.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xfd0e…cdf0backed Under11c500$57 inLost-$56.52821.4%6 W · 22 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick19cpaid+10%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xda0d…72a0backed Under8c459.13$35 inLost-$35.441711.8%2 W · 15 L+1.0wins+0.06per pick6cpaid+83%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x61d4…3593backed Under4c391.66$14 inLost-$142948.3%14 W · 15 L+3.6wins+0.12per pick36cpaid+16%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x5630…6ca8backed Over63c390.72$245 inWon+$145.772378.3%18 W · 5 L+3.4wins+0.15per pick63cpaid+26.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xa1f7…7656backed Over61c356.71$218 inWon+$138.711100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+63.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x8152…5b51backed Under45c237.38$106 inLost-$10610742.1%45 W · 62 L-7.9wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-18.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x24ae…d35bbacked Over38c210.03$80 inWon+$129.85844.8%26 W · 32 L-2.1wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-6.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd684…7e92backed Under13c200$26 inLost-$263534.3%12 W · 23 L+2.2wins+0.06per pick28cpaid+134.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xfae3…c20ebacked Under11c160.25$17 inLost-$16.9220%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4502…9eedbacked Under12c142.77$17 inLost-$17.025549.1%27 W · 28 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-18.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Under37c128$48 inLost-$47.81,36545.5%621 W · 744 L+14.8wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-13.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9075…cfe8backed Over60c100$60 inWon+$4015345.1%69 W · 84 L-10.4wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-14.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x3ca9…424abacked Over79c88.46$70 inWon+$18.4119356%108 W · 85 L-3.5wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-11.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd170…a9d9backed Over39c60$23 inWon+$36.93441.2%14 W · 20 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-8.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0d6a…4adabacked Over48c58.24$28 inWon+$30.4614362.2%89 W · 54 L+11.4wins+0.08per pick54cpaid+19.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xe7c2…190dbacked Under54c37.14$20 inLost-$19.983351.5%17 W · 16 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5c5c…d463backed Over56c35.78$20 inWon+$15.78650%3 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.07per pick57cpaid+12.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5397…ae53backed Over47c33.68$16 inWon+$17.681030%3 W · 7 L-2.6wins-0.26per pick56cpaid-46.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x33ae…cf9ebacked Over79c31.45$25 inWon+$6.45560%3 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick61cpaid-15.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x95b4…7c3fbacked Over46c25.47$12 inWon+$13.732748.1%13 W · 14 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-8.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked Over65c20$13 inWon+$749652.8%262 W · 234 L+0.1wins0.00per pick53cpaid-7.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf4bf…2ccdbacked Over60c20$12 inWon+$81258.3%7 W · 5 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1c6d…e91cbacked Over71c15$11 inWon+$4.356857.4%39 W · 29 L-8.2wins-0.12per pick69cpaid-17%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xb763…4a90backed Over79c13.84$11 inWon+$2.843100%3 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+36.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80.
  • The position was at least $10.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.