Asian League · resolved market
Shenzhen Xinpengcheng FC vs. Shanghai Haigang FC: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6bdee73c4c03960050350179c0521efd8a904951f78befb99692ba98d9429bc2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $29,877
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $32,718
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $29,877 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 48 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet's whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x821d…cf16backed Under | 69c | 6,132$4,241 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,891.28 | 140 | 41.4%58 W · 82 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x34a1…7622backed Under | 62c | 4,928$3,055 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,872.63 | 137 | 40.1%55 W · 82 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x12d9…01bbbacked Over | 34c | 3,770$1,282 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,281.88 | 256 | 23.8%61 W · 195 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 24cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x145a…400fbacked Over | 38c | 2,863$1,080 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,080 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 41c | 2,000$820 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,180 | 1,882 | 50%941 W · 941 L | +30.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1016…b09bbacked Over | 59c | 1,750$1,033 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,032.5 | 69 | 50.7%35 W · 34 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88c7…cd28backed Over | 59c | 1,474$870 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$869.76 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb437…cfb3backed Over | 23c | 1,000$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230 | 74 | 28.4%21 W · 53 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f2b…d743backed Over | 10c | 811.5$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 101 | 23.8%24 W · 77 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 13c | 799.78$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.79 | 2,620 | 42%1,101 W · 1,519 L | +51.4wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda0d…72a0backed Over | 5c | 617.81$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.85 | 17 | 11.8%2 W · 15 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 6cpaid | +83%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99f0…9495backed Under | 41c | 609$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$359.31 | 358 | 33%118 W · 240 L | -6.4wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x851b…961ebacked Under | 39c | 521.91$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$320.91 | 77 | 35.1%27 W · 50 L | +2.1wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x123f…8d5fbacked Over | 28c | 344.25$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.39 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Under | 65c | 340.03$222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.03 | 2,650 | 40.2%1,065 W · 1,585 L | -17.0wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfcc7…4d38backed Over | 63c | 315.87$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199 | 82 | 63.4%52 W · 30 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8152…5b51backed Under | 43c | 304.65$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.65 | 107 | 42.1%45 W · 62 L | -7.9wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe419…8aedbacked Under | 73c | 218.58$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.3 | 59 | 27.1%16 W · 43 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2983…4eb2backed Under | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.33 | 66 | 42.4%28 W · 38 L | -3.4wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc057…4d23backed Over | 23c | 200$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -49.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc34b…9296backed Under | 63c | 185.59$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.67 | 52 | 57.7%30 W · 22 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc135…d871backed Over | 37c | 185.59$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.67 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.21per pick | 46cpaid | +34.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Over | 58c | 177.83$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.89 | 1,196 | 46.2%553 W · 643 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Over | 37c | 158.54$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.43 | 993 | 44.4%441 W · 552 L | -5.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f2…8c8dbacked Over | 38c | 154$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.52 | 185 | 44.9%83 W · 102 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked Over | 61c | 149.99$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.49 | 590 | 46.6%275 W · 315 L | -20.3wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8314…0f1ebacked Under | 36c | 135.24$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.55 | 131 | 50.4%66 W · 65 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf436…4591backed Over | 64c | 100$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -10%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf28e…0bb1backed Over | 15c | 100$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 68 | 23.5%16 W · 52 L | -9.4wins | -0.14per pick | 37cpaid | -44.6%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 41c | 96.98$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.4 | 1,807 | 50.2%908 W · 899 L | +32.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x125c…cb68backed Over | 56c | 96.73$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.17 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.37per pick | 62cpaid | -68.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9930…696ebacked Over | 27c | 85.74$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.98 | 98 | 37.8%37 W · 61 L | -3.0wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Over | 59c | 57.76$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.26 | 890 | 38.1%339 W · 551 L | +16.8wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x546a…1988backed Under | 37c | 56.92$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.86 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.27per pick | 40cpaid | +44.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f3a…e8fdbacked Under | 39c | 54.86$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.46 | 183 | 49.2%90 W · 93 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4078…a7f7backed Over | 59c | 50$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.5 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d93…fdefbacked Over | 57c | 50$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.5 | 105 | 42.9%45 W · 60 L | -8.8wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f1…5b7fbacked Under | 55c | 36.36$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.36 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9013…e7e0backed Under | 59c | 33.9$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.9 | 110 | 40.9%45 W · 65 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7113…dba4backed Over | 50c | 32$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 190 | 45.8%87 W · 103 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 60c | 28.57$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.14 | 1,575 | 35.2%554 W · 1,021 L | -36.4wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x128f…2ab5backed Over | 54c | 27.78$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.33per pick | 67cpaid | -52.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0ad6…eab6backed Under | 73c | 25.88$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.06 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -42.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x58e4…3876backed Under | 60c | 25$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 47 | 66%31 W · 16 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 69cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x042d…0b81backed Over | 62c | 22$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.64 | 106 | 45.3%48 W · 58 L | -7.4wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe707…e0cfbacked Over | 64c | 20$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.8 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | -1.8wins | -0.07per pick | 62cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x056b…5a03backed Over | 58c | 19.52$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.32 | 66 | 36.4%24 W · 42 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b91…27dcbacked Over | 64c | 15.63$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | +7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Shenzhen Xinpengcheng FC vs. Shanghai Haigang FC: O/U 2.5this page
- Shenzhen Xinpengcheng FC vs. Shanghai Haigang FC: 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Shenzhen Xinpengcheng FC vs. Shanghai Haigang FC: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Shenzhen Xinpengcheng FC vs. Shanghai Haigang FC: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Shenzhen Xinpengcheng FC vs. Shanghai Haigang FC: O/U 0.5Over won
- Shenzhen Xinpengcheng FC vs. Shanghai Haigang FC: O/U 1.5Under won
- Shenzhen Xinpengcheng FC vs. Shanghai Haigang FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Shenzhen Xinpengcheng FC vs. Shanghai Haigang FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Shenzhen Xinpengcheng FC vs. Shanghai Haigang FC: O/U 5.5Under won
- Shenzhen Xinpengcheng FC vs. Shanghai Haigang FC: Shanghai Haigang FC O/U 0.5Over won
- Shenzhen Xinpengcheng FC vs. Shanghai Haigang FC: Shanghai Haigang FC O/U 2.5Under won
- Shenzhen Xinpengcheng FC vs. Shanghai Haigang FC: Shenzhen Xinpengcheng FC O/U 0.5Under won
- Shenzhen Xinpengcheng FC vs. Shanghai Haigang FC: Shenzhen Xinpengcheng FC O/U 1.5Under won
- Spread: Shanghai Haigang FC (-1.5)Shenzhen Xinpengcheng FC won
- Spread: Shanghai Haigang FC (-2.5)Shenzhen Xinpengcheng FC won
- Spread: Shenzhen Xinpengcheng FC (-1.5)Shanghai Haigang FC won
- Spread: Shenzhen Xinpengcheng FC (-2.5)Shanghai Haigang FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80.
- The position was at least $10.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.