Europa Conference League · resolved market

Rangers FC vs. Jagiellonia Białystok: O/U 2.5

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2460afcc883690b43695197baa1fd7a27e6a90cba03c2fa1cfc6af592c443613

Rebuilt 9 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Underof Over, Under
Resolved: Aug 13, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $27,914
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $28,645

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $27,914 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 76 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x204f…5e14backed Under	51c	6,809$3,500 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,309.15	3,726	47%1,750 W · 1,976 L	+20.0wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	-8.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2220…1a0fbacked Over	51c	4,082$2,082 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,081.58	13	30.8%4 W · 9 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	31cpaid	-6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under	56c	2,272$1,269 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,002.4	2,999	42.4%1,273 W · 1,726 L	+7.7wins	0.00per pick	42cpaid	-11.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Over	13c	2,180$275 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$275.1	2,344	41.6%976 W · 1,368 L	+25.6wins	+0.01per pick	41cpaid	+0.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaf18…3ca8backed Under	48c	2,103$1,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,103.32	34	32.4%11 W · 23 L	-2.1wins	-0.06per pick	39cpaid	-7.5%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa1f7…7656backed Over	53c	1,629$860 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$860	46	69.6%32 W · 14 L	+2.2wins	+0.05per pick	65cpaid	+6.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Over	48c	1,560$752 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$751.79	1,611	38.8%625 W · 986 L	-19.0wins	-0.01per pick	40cpaid	-15.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3171…b991backed Over	57c	1,234$700 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$700	36	66.7%24 W · 12 L	-1.7wins	-0.05per pick	71cpaid	-7.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdc41…dd7ebacked Over	61c	1,086$664 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$663.76	275	39.6%109 W · 166 L	-6.9wins	-0.03per pick	42cpaid	-15.5%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Under	48c	1,022$490 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$531.38	771	41.8%322 W · 449 L	-8.8wins	-0.01per pick	43cpaid	-24.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x10a6…4d8bbacked Under	57c	956.74$545 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$411.4	41	51.2%21 W · 20 L	+1.1wins	+0.03per pick	48cpaid	+0.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2393…d54dbacked Over	35c	913.02$320 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$319.56	33	36.4%12 W · 21 L	+3.4wins	+0.10per pick	26cpaid	+5.7%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0xcb89…82aabacked Under	43c	860.35$366 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$494.35	2	100%2 W · 0 L	+0.9wins	+0.44per pick	56cpaid	+90%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xfff3…e2c5backed Under	44c	840.34$370 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$470.59	47	44.7%21 W · 26 L	-2.9wins	-0.06per pick	51cpaid	-8.4%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Under	38c	590.53$225 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$365.25	662	50.6%335 W · 327 L	+22.9wins	+0.03per pick	47cpaid	+7.7%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1b9c…8620backed Under	79c	551.84$434 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$117.78	25	28%7 W · 18 L	-1.7wins	-0.07per pick	35cpaid	-52%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Over	14c	548.24$76 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$75.99	1,037	46.1%478 W · 559 L	-2.9wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	-5.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over	24c	444.98$108 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$108.5	814	40.5%330 W · 484 L	-21.9wins	-0.03per pick	43cpaid	-21.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xad0b…a514backed Over	48c	400$192 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$192	53	58.5%31 W · 22 L	+4.1wins	+0.08per pick	51cpaid	+17.2%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa3c2…df3dbacked Under	38c	344.18$131 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$212.95	153	52.9%81 W · 72 L	-1.7wins	-0.01per pick	54cpaid	0%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd91a…211cbacked Over	47c	284.74$134 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$133.83	46	28.3%13 W · 33 L	-2.3wins	-0.05per pick	33cpaid	-9.6%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5659…7a6bbacked Under	42c	275.28$115 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$160.42	187	32.1%60 W · 127 L	+7.5wins	+0.04per pick	28cpaid	+23.2%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2fea…f2c9backed Over	72c	222.7$160 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$160	10	70%7 W · 3 L	+0.9wins	+0.09per pick	61cpaid	+11.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2ea6…428abacked Under	33c	217.23$71 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$145.81	25	44%11 W · 14 L	-2.7wins	-0.11per pick	55cpaid	-20.6%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x308b…b223backed Over	50c	200$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	16	37.5%6 W · 10 L	-0.6wins	-0.04per pick	41cpaid	-19.4%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x3388…61d7backed Under	42c	199.99$84 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$115.99	123	58.5%72 W · 51 L	+7.0wins	+0.06per pick	53cpaid	+10.4%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Over	49c	162.49$80 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$79.76	571	49.6%283 W · 288 L	+4.8wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+2.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Over	52c	158.52$82 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$82.29	2,175	37.6%817 W · 1,358 L	+4.6wins	0.00per pick	37cpaid	-7.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x50e5…e39fbacked Under	54c	153$82 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$70.94	535	64.7%346 W · 189 L	+29.1wins	+0.05per pick	59cpaid	+8.4%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6844…7633backed Over	42c	142.86$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60	7	85.7%6 W · 1 L	+2.9wins	+0.42per pick	44cpaid	+105.4%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0xfb0c…8c72backed Under	44c	142.79$63 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$80.02	655	49.8%326 W · 329 L	+13.3wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	+4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8d0c…c90abacked Under	40c	129.99$52 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$78.3	482	49.8%240 W · 242 L	-2.8wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-1.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked Over	56c	123$69 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$68.88	880	48.2%424 W · 456 L	+17.9wins	+0.02per pick	46cpaid	+0.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5d63…9075backed Under	51c	122.69$63 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$59.54	852	60.9%519 W · 333 L	+29.5wins	+0.03per pick	57cpaid	+1.2%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9028…8608backed Under	51c	122.67$63 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$59.52	580	61.9%359 W · 221 L	+22.5wins	+0.04per pick	58cpaid	+2.5%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1ba2…d212backed Under	48c	113.92$55 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$59.4	324	36.4%118 W · 206 L	-20.4wins	-0.06per pick	43cpaid	-23.5%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0xff06…c7d5backed Over	54c	111.11$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60	22	72.7%16 W · 6 L	+1.5wins	+0.07per pick	66cpaid	+7.3%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe18a…fd87backed Under	46c	110$51 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$59.4	123	36.6%45 W · 78 L	-1.8wins	-0.01per pick	38cpaid	-18.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Over	49c	107.65$53 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$52.62	2,478	33.9%840 W · 1,638 L	-95.6wins	-0.04per pick	38cpaid	-25.1%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x45bb…4927backed Over	55c	101.82$56 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$56	5	20%1 W · 4 L	-1.5wins	-0.29per pick	49cpaid	-62.3%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xfd74…bedabacked Over	32c	100$32 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$32	149	30.2%45 W · 104 L	+3.7wins	+0.02per pick	28cpaid	+12.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x22aa…3435backed Over	62c	96.77$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.6wins	-0.62per pick	62cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9075…cfe8backed Over	63c	92.06$58 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$58	147	41.5%61 W · 86 L	-14.5wins	-0.10per pick	51cpaid	-17.4%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0xd170…a9d9backed Over	59c	89.99$53 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$53.1	35	34.3%12 W · 23 L	-2.5wins	-0.07per pick	42cpaid	-11.4%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x042d…0b81backed Under	45c	87.57$39 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$48.16	126	48.4%61 W · 65 L	+2.6wins	+0.02per pick	46cpaid	+3.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa178…11a2backed Over	23c	86.96$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	176	47.7%84 W · 92 L	-6.2wins	-0.04per pick	51cpaid	-12.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Over	60c	82.74$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$49.64	139	47.5%66 W · 73 L	-4.3wins	-0.03per pick	51cpaid	-8.1%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Over	55c	82.13$45 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$44.82	978	46.2%452 W · 526 L	-3.4wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	-5.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8a81…a86bbacked Over	63c	78.87$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	147	67.3%99 W · 48 L	-0.5wins	0.00per pick	68cpaid	-1.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x22da…2866backed Under	56c	78.35$44 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$34.39	294	70.1%206 W · 88 L	+21.6wins	+0.07per pick	63cpaid	+9.1%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x56ac…d77ebacked Over	55c	74.2$41 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40.81	218	40.4%88 W · 130 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	40cpaid	+3.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9e3e…f882backed Over	59c	65.33$39 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$38.85	658	35.6%234 W · 424 L	-14.1wins	-0.02per pick	38cpaid	-11.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1737…2b2fbacked Over	78c	64.1$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	14	64.3%9 W · 5 L	-0.1wins	-0.01per pick	65cpaid	-1.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x37e9…ab9fbacked Over	19c	60$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.4	49	16.3%8 W · 41 L	-5.2wins	-0.11per pick	27cpaid	-41.8%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0xdc4f…9804backed Under	40c	55.74$22 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$33.44	443	56.2%249 W · 194 L	+23.5wins	+0.05per pick	51cpaid	+12.8%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Under	42c	53.56$23 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$30.96	1,573	55.7%876 W · 697 L	+25.2wins	+0.02per pick	54cpaid	+3.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x434a…91cbbacked Under	54c	44.56$24 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$20.57	45	44.4%20 W · 25 L	-0.5wins	-0.01per pick	45cpaid	-15.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8935…7daabacked Over	52c	43.5$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22.59	451	35.9%162 W · 289 L	-19.7wins	-0.04per pick	40cpaid	-6.1%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7a5d…54dbbacked Under	61c	42.2$26 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$16.64	91	41.8%38 W · 53 L	-9.5wins	-0.10per pick	52cpaid	-28.1%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x37b0…799fbacked Under	49c	40.82$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$20.82	68	58.8%40 W · 28 L	+3.8wins	+0.06per pick	53cpaid	+7.1%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x14e7…a32cbacked Over	47c	40$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.6	38	60.5%23 W · 15 L	+3.6wins	+0.10per pick	51cpaid	+18.9%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0xe392…d868backed Under	54c	38.97$21 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$17.75	75	80%60 W · 15 L	+12.6wins	+0.17per pick	63cpaid	+27.2%equal weight	64+0.13 edge/pick
0x3453…8524backed Over	56c	36.45$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.41	111	41.4%46 W · 65 L	-0.9wins	-0.01per pick	42cpaid	-10.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x660e…76ccbacked Over	55c	36.36$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	28	42.9%12 W · 16 L	-0.7wins	-0.02per pick	45cpaid	-13.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x61f1…7aefbacked Over	56c	35.81$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.05	93	40.9%38 W · 55 L	-2.3wins	-0.03per pick	43cpaid	-8.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb730…e9c2backed Over	62c	32.26$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	31	22.6%7 W · 24 L	-6.7wins	-0.22per pick	44cpaid	-27.6%equal weight	37-0.12 edge/pick
0x013f…ca85backed Under	48c	31.52$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$16.28	36	66.7%24 W · 12 L	+3.9wins	+0.11per pick	56cpaid	+18.4%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x425e…ecfabacked Over	39c	29.93$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.67	49	53.1%26 W · 23 L	+2.8wins	+0.06per pick	47cpaid	+5.3%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7113…dba4backed Over	59c	27.12$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16	267	47.2%126 W · 141 L	+2.2wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	+3.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1715…a049backed Under	44c	26.46$12 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$14.81	94	56.4%53 W · 41 L	-3.6wins	-0.04per pick	60cpaid	-5.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdb46…56e7backed Under	40c	25$10 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$15	22	36.4%8 W · 14 L	-1.7wins	-0.08per pick	44cpaid	-23.4%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa6db…3155backed Over	60c	25$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	241	51%123 W · 118 L	+1.8wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+2.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8d41…6a2ebacked Over	67c	22.21$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.99	14	57.1%8 W · 6 L	+1.1wins	+0.08per pick	49cpaid	+20.2%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9ceb…4716backed Under	67c	22$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7.26	51	62.7%32 W · 19 L	-3.0wins	-0.06per pick	69cpaid	-12%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x066f…b576backed Over	54c	20.38$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.01	256	41%105 W · 151 L	-12.6wins	-0.05per pick	46cpaid	-11.4%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc73a…ba42backed Over	59c	18.73$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.05	18	55.6%10 W · 8 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	55cpaid	-5.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 16 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Rangers FC vs. Jagiellonia Białystok: O/U 2.5this page
Rangers FC vs. Jagiellonia Białystok: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
Rangers FC vs. Jagiellonia Białystok: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under won
Rangers FC vs. Jagiellonia Białystok: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
Rangers FC vs. Jagiellonia Białystok: Jagiellonia Białystok 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
Rangers FC vs. Jagiellonia Białystok: Jagiellonia Białystok O/U 1.5Under won
Rangers FC vs. Jagiellonia Białystok: O/U 0.5Over won
Rangers FC vs. Jagiellonia Białystok: O/U 1.5Over won
Rangers FC vs. Jagiellonia Białystok: O/U 3.5Under won
Rangers FC vs. Jagiellonia Białystok: O/U 4.5Under won
Rangers FC vs. Jagiellonia Białystok: O/U 5.5Under won
Rangers FC vs. Jagiellonia Białystok: Rangers FC O/U 0.5Over won
Rangers FC vs. Jagiellonia Białystok: Rangers FC O/U 1.5Under won
Rangers FC vs. Jagiellonia Białystok: Team to AdvanceJagiellonia Białystok won
Spread: Rangers FC (-1.5)Jagiellonia Białystok won
Spread: Rangers FC (-2.5)Jagiellonia Białystok won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Rangers FC vs. Jagiellonia Białystok: O/U 2.5

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event