TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Europa Conference League · resolved market

Spread: Rangers FC (-1.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Jagiellonia Białystokof Rangers FC, Jagiellonia Białystok
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$20,395
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$21,342

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $20,395 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 49 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xc3ed…9f79backed Rangers FC45c6,674$3,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,0003339.4%13 W · 20 L-4.2wins-0.13per pick52cpaid-25.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Jagiellonia Białystok58c3,947$2,274 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,672.881,03950%520 W · 519 L+26.5wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x91da…0b33backed Rangers FC40c3,836$1,519 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,518.7210%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xad0b…a514backed Jagiellonia Białystok57c1,088$616 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$471.885358.5%31 W · 22 L+4.1wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+17.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Jagiellonia Białystok55c998.36$549 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$449.2696947.5%460 W · 509 L+13.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+8.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Jagiellonia Białystok65c996.08$652 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$343.993,72647%1,750 W · 1,976 L+20.0wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-8.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0ac5…f963backed Jagiellonia Białystok55c747.16$411 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$336.2218940.2%76 W · 113 L-7.0wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-9.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7705…a442backed Rangers FC45c508$229 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$228.611130.6%34 W · 77 L-3.3wins-0.03per pick34cpaid-16.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Jagiellonia Białystok61c506.18$307 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$199.0981440.5%330 W · 484 L-21.9wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-21.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x99f0…9495backed Jagiellonia Białystok55c503.44$277 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$226.5538144.1%168 W · 213 L+12.4wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+20.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Rangers FC39c494.65$195 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$194.582,33341.7%972 W · 1,361 L+25.5wins+0.01per pick41cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Jagiellonia Białystok57c473$271 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$202.451,31650.8%668 W · 648 L+33.2wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+4.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa3c2…df3dbacked Jagiellonia Białystok60c465.79$281 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$184.315352.9%81 W · 72 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick54cpaid0%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9e3e…f882backed Jagiellonia Białystok58c295.29$171 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$123.9865535.6%233 W · 422 L-13.7wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-11.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Jagiellonia Białystok53c291.46$154 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$136.981,60438.9%624 W · 980 L-17.7wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-15.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8d0c…c90abacked Jagiellonia Białystok59c279.98$165 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$114.8947649.4%235 W · 241 L-4.2wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Jagiellonia Białystok57c209$119 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90.341,57355.7%876 W · 697 L+25.2wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed Jagiellonia Białystok60c208$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.21,02247.5%485 W · 537 L-2.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-5.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3388…61d7backed Jagiellonia Białystok61c199.99$122 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.9912358.5%72 W · 51 L+7.0wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+10.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x1b0f…b7aebacked Rangers FC43c192$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.568840.9%36 W · 52 L+8.0wins+0.09per pick32cpaid+34.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Rangers FC29c171.36$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.262,47333.9%839 W · 1,634 L-95.0wins-0.04per pick38cpaid-25%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked Jagiellonia Białystok56c170.91$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.5827545.8%126 W · 149 L+6.0wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+13.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2316…9819backed Jagiellonia Białystok56c148.38$82 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.031127.3%3 W · 8 L-2.4wins-0.22per pick49cpaid-44.8%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xb904…3ef8backed Rangers FC42c135.74$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.313342.4%14 W · 19 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick45cpaid+1.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x3ca9…424abacked Jagiellonia Białystok61c135.03$82 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.5938952.7%205 W · 184 L-5.2wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-10%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x588d…099abacked Jagiellonia Białystok60c133$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.525841.4%24 W · 34 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-13.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3947…63a5backed Jagiellonia Białystok58c102.14$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.92250%11 W · 11 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-6.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc8d8…e72dbacked Rangers FC54c100.83$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.452524%6 W · 19 L-3.0wins-0.12per pick36cpaid-42.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xf4c6…f5c0backed Rangers FC42c97$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.741250%6 W · 6 L+1.2wins+0.10per pick40cpaid+20.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed Jagiellonia Białystok60c96.14$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.4650154.7%274 W · 227 L+20.1wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb107…a3f8backed Jagiellonia Białystok56c64$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.164060%24 W · 16 L+4.2wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+16.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Jagiellonia Białystok58c62.91$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.4256849.6%282 W · 286 L+5.5wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8205…5067backed Rangers FC40c62.2$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.88862.5%5 W · 3 L+1.7wins+0.21per pick41cpaid+58.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked Jagiellonia Białystok60c50$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2027554.9%151 W · 124 L+7.4wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+1.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xfcc7…4d38backed Jagiellonia Białystok60c47.61$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.0413450%67 W · 67 L+4.6wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+7.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5659…7a6bbacked Rangers FC36c46.69$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.8118732.1%60 W · 127 L+7.5wins+0.04per pick28cpaid+23.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Rangers FC43c42.72$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.3713547.4%64 W · 71 L-4.7wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-9.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5974…5c32backed Rangers FC62c41.94$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$263154.8%17 W · 14 L-2.4wins-0.08per pick63cpaid-12%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9930…696ebacked Rangers FC42c35.36$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.714931.5%47 W · 102 L+6.5wins+0.04per pick27cpaid-10.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xcaf5…41abbacked Jagiellonia Białystok60c33.77$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.51650%3 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9028…8608backed Jagiellonia Białystok67c32.69$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.6858061.9%359 W · 221 L+22.5wins+0.04per pick58cpaid+2.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb699…6d41backed Jagiellonia Białystok64c32$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.52425%1 W · 3 L-1.6wins-0.40per pick65cpaid-60.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x22da…2866backed Jagiellonia Białystok67c31.94$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.5129470.1%206 W · 88 L+21.6wins+0.07per pick63cpaid+9.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xdf51…7cccbacked Jagiellonia Białystok58c30$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.6771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.2wins+0.17per pick55cpaid+31.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1ed1…fd2abacked Jagiellonia Białystok44c26.11$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.722245.5%10 W · 12 L+1.4wins+0.06per pick39cpaid+10.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1715…a049backed Jagiellonia Białystok64c23.13$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.339154.9%50 W · 41 L-5.0wins-0.05per pick60cpaid-8.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3f0b…5720backed Rangers FC56c21.11$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.823455.9%19 W · 15 L-1.2wins-0.03per pick59cpaid-18.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x066f…b576backed Jagiellonia Białystok60c18.59$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.4325440.6%103 W · 151 L-13.5wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-12.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Jagiellonia Białystok64c16.67$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61,03346.1%476 W · 557 L-3.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid-5.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 16 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.