Bundesliga · resolved market
VfL Bochum vs. VfL Osnabrück: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6613f0b6a390e0e9509c62d9138da0ef843cad8bb859f78abb958202ed302d8f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Bundesligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $78,326
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $93,361
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $78,326 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 62 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Bundesliga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x34a1…7622backed Under | 36c | 24,222$8,621 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,601.01 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.16per pick | 41cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 58c | 8,888$5,182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,182.38 | 2,564 | 39.8%1,020 W · 1,544 L | -8.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Under | 61c | 5,667$3,471 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,195.76 | 480 | 30.6%147 W · 333 L | -8.1wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8191…da72backed Under | 75c | 5,110$3,830 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,279.35 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +53.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 50c | 4,821$2,389 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,432.31 | 514 | 42.2%217 W · 297 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Over | 69c | 4,515$3,119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,119.22 | 150 | 55.3%83 W · 67 L | +8.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Over | 64c | 3,329$2,122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,122.34 | 860 | 32.7%281 W · 579 L | -15.7wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67bf…f983backed Over | 17c | 2,941$489 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$488.92 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.10per pick | 15cpaid | -34%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 19c | 2,650$513 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,137.53 | 731 | 51.7%378 W · 353 L | +25.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1016…b09bbacked Over | 61c | 2,500$1,520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,520.24 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.20per pick | 60cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb98…b473backed Over | 70c | 2,000$1,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,400 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.70per pick | 70cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Under | 10c | 1,822$179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,643.13 | 310 | 45.2%140 W · 170 L | +5.9wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x821d…cf16backed Over | 65c | 1,479$965 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$964.94 | 41 | 29.3%12 W · 29 L | -5.0wins | -0.12per pick | 41cpaid | -51.6%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x56ff…81a0backed Over | 80c | 1,137$910 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$909.89 | 41 | 65.9%27 W · 14 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +10%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d3d…5fcfbacked Over | 69c | 645.15$445 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$445.15 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Over | 55c | 568.3$312 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$311.62 | 352 | 37.2%131 W · 221 L | -11.0wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf16e…43afbacked Under | 9c | 555.56$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$505.56 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.13per pick | 21cpaid | +270.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b13…37dbbacked Under | 60c | 543.31$326 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217.32 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc34b…9296backed Under | 33c | 509$166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$343.44 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.21per pick | 45cpaid | +57.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1bec…8d52backed Over | 25c | 470.1$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.67 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Under | 20c | 400$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$322 | 671 | 45.6%306 W · 365 L | +8.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b20…a8e0backed Under | 30c | 333.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$233.33 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8152…5b51backed Under | 37c | 304.87$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190.57 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.28per pick | 38cpaid | +59.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9db0…0f6abacked Over | 50c | 300$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 55 | 54.5%30 W · 25 L | +3.9wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f2…8c8dbacked Over | 70c | 281.59$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.41 | 35 | 48.6%17 W · 18 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd8…6731backed Under | 57c | 263.62$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.62 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +89.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x168c…f24bbacked Under | 75c | 254.24$191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.59 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +49.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1031…2febbacked Under | 80c | 250.31$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.31 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa178…11a2backed Over | 60c | 250$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 194 | 55.2%107 W · 87 L | +5.0wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Over | 5c | 236.51$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.82 | 39 | 38.5%15 W · 24 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -20%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x780f…5f16backed Over | 46c | 216.71$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2104…82d7backed Over | 61c | 164.2$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 62 | 62.9%39 W · 23 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Over | 63c | 149.84$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.71 | 49 | 46.9%23 W · 26 L | -2.5wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Over | 76c | 118.06$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.95 | 34 | 50%17 W · 17 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaaf5…c7b6backed Under | 54c | 115.03$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.03 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Over | 26c | 97.6$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.97 | 1,315 | 40.6%534 W · 781 L | -44.4wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe134…f6dabacked Under | 50c | 94.47$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.19 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.19per pick | 56cpaid | +41.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x66ac…5e75backed Under | 57c | 87.87$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.87 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +75.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Over | 35c | 84$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.19 | 65 | 53.8%35 W · 30 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9075…cfe8backed Over | 61c | 80$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.48 | 256 | 52%133 W · 123 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Over | 50c | 73.11$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.34 | 35 | 42.9%15 W · 20 L | -3.9wins | -0.11per pick | 54cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 19c | 70.83$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.02 | 1,108 | 50.5%560 W · 548 L | +6.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc785…4ef2backed Over | 56c | 68.39$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.53 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -2.2wins | -0.16per pick | 44cpaid | -59.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9455…7defbacked Under | 80c | 62.58$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.58 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +56.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe748…c645backed Over | 70c | 51.13$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.79 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | +35.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Over | 59c | 43.86$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.95 | 545 | 40.9%223 W · 322 L | -13.9wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc5a9…e5d9backed Over | 71c | 43.66$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.71per pick | 71cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7eeb…b6bdbacked Over | 45c | 43.62$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.71 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4bcd…c00fbacked Under | 47c | 42.55$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.55 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +101.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x88a9…e618backed Under | 80c | 37.55$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.55 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf4b0…d8dbbacked Under | 80c | 37.55$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.55 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf740…bbdabacked Over | 62c | 32.24$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.99 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.13per pick | 38cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb89…82aabacked Under | 53c | 30.88$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.65 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +90.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01af…7bc2backed Over | 80c | 24.92$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.94 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.6wins | -0.39per pick | 64cpaid | -62.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe419…8aedbacked Under | 74c | 22.24$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.81 | 33 | 27.3%9 W · 24 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -28%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x62a8…4a14backed Over | 66c | 21.16$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.12per pick | 72cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0ad6…eab6backed Over | 66c | 20.85$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.79 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -3.1wins | -0.39per pick | 52cpaid | -79.7%equal weight | 39-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5767…14ffbacked Over | 79c | 18.56$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.66 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.79per pick | 79cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8227…f436backed Over | 71c | 17$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.5wins | -0.74per pick | 74cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc1fd…10ccbacked Under | 80c | 15$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.04 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c6d…e91cbacked Over | 73c | 14.99$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.95 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | -2.8wins | -0.17per pick | 70cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x91e6…2db1backed Over | 80c | 12.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.80per pick | 80cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- VfL Bochum vs. VfL Osnabrück: O/U 1.5this page
- Spread: VfL Bochum (-1.5)VfL Osnabrück won
- Spread: VfL Osnabrück (-1.5)VfL Bochum won
- Spread: VfL Osnabrück (-2.5)VfL Bochum won
- VfL Bochum vs. VfL Osnabrück: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- VfL Bochum vs. VfL Osnabrück: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- VfL Bochum vs. VfL Osnabrück: O/U 2.5Under won
- VfL Bochum vs. VfL Osnabrück: O/U 3.5Under won
- VfL Bochum vs. VfL Osnabrück: O/U 4.5Under won
- VfL Bochum vs. VfL Osnabrück: O/U 5.5Under won
- VfL Bochum vs. VfL Osnabrück: VfL Bochum O/U 0.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.