TailMyPicks
Market

Asian League · resolved market

Spread: Al Nassr Saudi Club (-2.5)

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Al Ettifaq Saudi Clubof Al Nassr Saudi Club, Al Ettifaq Saudi Club
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$7,332
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$7,673

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,332 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 25 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Asian League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x6d3c…d294backed Al Ettifaq Saudi Club63c1,503$948 inWon+$555.551,74950.7%887 W · 862 L+30.3wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Al Ettifaq Saudi Club63c1,325$835 inWon+$490.321,66236.2%602 W · 1,060 L-34.7wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-14.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Al Nassr Saudi Club37c972.67$360 inLost-$359.8984342.2%356 W · 487 L+19.8wins+0.02per pick40cpaid-2.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Al Ettifaq Saudi Club63c438.65$276 inWon+$162.32,52039.8%1,002 W · 1,518 L-21.2wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Al Nassr Saudi Club6c323.37$18 inLost-$18.372,45637.9%931 W · 1,525 L+0.1wins0.00per pick38cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfcc7…4d38backed Al Ettifaq Saudi Club63c315.87$199 inWon+$116.874470.5%31 W · 13 L+3.3wins+0.08per pick63cpaid+9.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x5ad5…37b9backed Al Nassr Saudi Club8c302.53$25 inLost-$24.786743.3%29 W · 38 L+9.9wins+0.15per pick29cpaid+82%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x487e…0d66backed Al Nassr Saudi Club37c272.75$100 inLost-$100475%3 W · 1 L+1.6wins+0.41per pick34cpaid+130.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x31ad…089abacked Al Nassr Saudi Club37c270.24$100 inLost-$99.99366.7%2 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.36per pick30cpaid+147.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xdc41…dd7ebacked Al Nassr Saudi Club37c253$92 inLost-$92.4317742.4%75 W · 102 L+3.2wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+16.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe90f…4148backed Al Nassr Saudi Club37c249.84$92 inLost-$92.44250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.05per pick45cpaid-5.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Al Nassr Saudi Club37c138.06$51 inLost-$51.021,23549.9%616 W · 619 L+9.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3cf4…5324backed Al Nassr Saudi Club37c135.14$50 inLost-$50580%4 W · 1 L+2.2wins+0.45per pick35cpaid+136.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x5cd4…035bbacked Al Ettifaq Saudi Club65c100$65 inWon+$351100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+53.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Al Ettifaq Saudi Club62c77.19$48 inWon+$29.3327337%101 W · 172 L-12.1wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-9.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1715…a049backed Al Ettifaq Saudi Club64c70.74$45 inWon+$25.84647.8%22 W · 24 L-4.5wins-0.10per pick58cpaid-20.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x75e9…e746backed Al Nassr Saudi Club37c67.57$25 inLost-$25475%3 W · 1 L+1.6wins+0.40per pick35cpaid+128.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Al Nassr Saudi Club37c64.28$24 inLost-$23.61,99154.1%1,078 W · 913 L+29.2wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x9e3e…f882backed Al Ettifaq Saudi Club64c58.92$38 inWon+$21.0776239.2%299 W · 463 L+21.7wins+0.03per pick36cpaid+10.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd443…5f71backed Al Nassr Saudi Club35c39$14 inLost-$13.6520256.4%114 W · 88 L+9.7wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+11.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7b18…dd26backed Al Nassr Saudi Club37c35.76$13 inLost-$13.234860.4%29 W · 19 L+5.5wins+0.11per pick49cpaid+28.5%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Al Nassr Saudi Club39c29.41$11 inLost-$11.421,46435.6%521 W · 943 L-33.5wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-10.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf2c3…f821backed Al Ettifaq Saudi Club64c25$16 inWon+$9.052100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+40.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2da3…f258backed Al Ettifaq Saudi Club63c20$13 inWon+$7.352470.8%17 W · 7 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick68cpaid+6.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x9c5b…ec01backed Al Ettifaq Saudi Club64c17.49$11 inWon+$6.36450%32 W · 32 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-5.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 19 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.