TailMyPicks
Market

Asian League · resolved market

Spread: Al Nassr Saudi Club (-1.5)

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Al Ettifaq Saudi Clubof Al Nassr Saudi Club, Al Ettifaq Saudi Club
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$14,723
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$14,586

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $14,723 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 34 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Asian League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x0346…52a5backed Al Nassr Saudi Club24c3,676$890 inLost-$889.882,52039.8%1,002 W · 1,518 L-21.2wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd786…59b8backed Al Nassr Saudi Club57c2,333$1,330 inLost-$1,329.83616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.3wins-0.22per pick39cpaid-46.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x762e…4bf0backed Al Ettifaq Saudi Club43c2,186$950 inWon+$1,236.291450%7 W · 7 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Al Ettifaq Saudi Club42c1,603$676 inWon+$927.151,66236.2%602 W · 1,060 L-34.7wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-14.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0c3e…3c4cbacked Al Nassr Saudi Club3c1,538$45 inLost-$44.620165.7%132 W · 69 L+28.2wins+0.14per pick52cpaid+40.1%equal weight64+0.12 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Al Nassr Saudi Club58c641.43$375 inLost-$374.511,46435.6%521 W · 943 L-33.5wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-10.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x99f0…9495backed Al Ettifaq Saudi Club43c581$250 inWon+$331.1730731.9%98 W · 209 L-9.6wins-0.03per pick35cpaid-18.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Al Ettifaq Saudi Club43c545.49$235 inWon+$310.961,74950.7%887 W · 862 L+30.3wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x026d…47edbacked Al Ettifaq Saudi Club42c499.96$212 inWon+$287.98757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.9wins+0.13per pick44cpaid+25.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Al Ettifaq Saudi Club43c368.09$158 inWon+$209.671,99154.1%1,078 W · 913 L+29.2wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xdc41…dd7ebacked Al Nassr Saudi Club57c337$191 inLost-$190.5617742.4%75 W · 102 L+3.2wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+16.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9e3e…f882backed Al Ettifaq Saudi Club43c286.99$123 inWon+$163.5876239.2%299 W · 463 L+21.7wins+0.03per pick36cpaid+10.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7eb8…902abacked Al Nassr Saudi Club57c218.11$124 inLost-$124.3210%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.57per pick57cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfd4f…a4d3backed Al Nassr Saudi Club58c165.4$96 inLost-$95.9310%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.58per pick58cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Al Ettifaq Saudi Club49c150.09$73 inWon+$76.982,45637.9%931 W · 1,525 L+0.1wins0.00per pick38cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed Al Nassr Saudi Club20c139.99$28 inLost-$2828247.9%135 W · 147 L-5.4wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-17.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Al Ettifaq Saudi Club42c121.74$51 inWon+$70.781,76650.2%887 W · 879 L+31.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+6.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7b18…dd26backed Al Ettifaq Saudi Club42c105.39$45 inWon+$60.834860.4%29 W · 19 L+5.5wins+0.11per pick49cpaid+28.5%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked Al Ettifaq Saudi Club66c103$68 inWon+$35.0229350.9%149 W · 144 L+2.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-10.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc8ee…affdbacked Al Nassr Saudi Club57c102.46$58 inLost-$58.510%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.57per pick57cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x694c…eb70backed Al Nassr Saudi Club59c101.69$60 inLost-$601526.7%4 W · 11 L-1.6wins-0.10per pick37cpaid-19.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2889…edcfbacked Al Nassr Saudi Club56c80$45 inLost-$44.8425%1 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.31per pick56cpaid-50%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf059…6dd9backed Al Ettifaq Saudi Club43c71.81$31 inWon+$40.933040%12 W · 18 L-2.7wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-19.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x3ca9…424abacked Al Ettifaq Saudi Club54c67.56$36 inWon+$31.2513956.8%79 W · 60 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick57cpaid-10.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9deb…a4f2backed Al Nassr Saudi Club59c50.85$30 inLost-$30250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.12per pick62cpaid-24.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbbdf…b8a0backed Al Nassr Saudi Club59c40$24 inLost-$23.64351.2%22 W · 21 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0056…a7f7backed Al Ettifaq Saudi Club41c38.75$16 inWon+$22.866355.6%35 W · 28 L+2.7wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+13.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0ac5…f963backed Al Ettifaq Saudi Club43c38.22$16 inWon+$21.7813142.7%56 W · 75 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc99c…62aebacked Al Nassr Saudi Club56c35.71$20 inLost-$20333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.16per pick50cpaid-51%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xaf76…dfcbbacked Al Nassr Saudi Club57c35.09$20 inLost-$201546.7%7 W · 8 L-1.1wins-0.07per pick54cpaid-20.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Al Ettifaq Saudi Club43c35.08$15 inWon+$201,23549.9%616 W · 619 L+9.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0633…355abacked Al Nassr Saudi Club57c34.04$19 inLost-$19.41861.1%11 W · 7 L+1.1wins+0.06per pick55cpaid+4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1715…a049backed Al Ettifaq Saudi Club43c26.95$12 inWon+$15.364647.8%22 W · 24 L-4.5wins-0.10per pick58cpaid-20.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x5419…e3d2backed Al Nassr Saudi Club57c26.16$15 inLost-$14.91250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.13per pick63cpaid-27.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 19 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.