TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Asian League · resolved market

Spread: Al Ettifaq Saudi Club (-1.5)

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Al Nassr Saudi Clubof Al Ettifaq Saudi Club, Al Nassr Saudi Club
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$1,553
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$1,661

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,553 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 9 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Asian League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x99f0…9495backed Al Ettifaq Saudi Club2c897.06$21 inLost-$21.4929432%94 W · 200 L-9.5wins-0.03per pick35cpaid-17.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Al Nassr Saudi Club49c95.99$47 inWon+$49.42,42438%920 W · 1,504 L+0.7wins0.00per pick38cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa87d…ff4dbacked Al Ettifaq Saudi Club60c83.19$50 inLost-$50837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-38.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2c46…dac9backed Al Nassr Saudi Club58c57.1$33 inWon+$23.9177056.2%433 W · 337 L+40.8wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+10.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x5ad5…37b9backed Al Nassr Saudi Club72c51$37 inWon+$14.436743.3%29 W · 38 L+9.9wins+0.15per pick29cpaid+82%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x68f8…12c8backed Al Ettifaq Saudi Club61c46$28 inLost-$282979.3%23 W · 6 L+4.0wins+0.14per pick65cpaid+21.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x3ca9…424abacked Al Nassr Saudi Club65c37.32$24 inWon+$12.8912956.6%73 W · 56 L-0.5wins0.00per pick57cpaid-10%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Al Ettifaq Saudi Club58c37.15$22 inLost-$21.6682842.4%351 W · 477 L+19.4wins+0.02per pick40cpaid-2.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Al Ettifaq Saudi Club43c28.31$12 inLost-$12.171,30956.8%743 W · 566 L+66.1wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+14.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 19 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.